Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-1006u
ROI
-16.6%
win rate
42%
bets
129
drawdown
100.4%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
payments
Stake size
Martingale
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+0u
period 6profit withdrawn+0u
period 5profit withdrawn+0u
period 4profit withdrawn+0u
period 3profit withdrawn+0u
period 2top-up-1000u
period 1top-up-6u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 129 | 42% | -1006 | -16.6% | 100.4% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 1849 | 40% | -1430 | -9% | 143.7% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 1849 | 40% | -1742 | -9.4% | 175.4% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 1849 | 40% | -2364 | -8.6% | 237.3% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 1849 | 40% | -3677 | -7.9% | 368.1% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 1849 | 40% | -4936 | -9.1% | 493.6% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 129, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.05.26 | illwill – ex-RUBY | illwill | 2.12 | 153 | lost | -153 | -6 |
| 18.05.26 | AM – megoshort | megoshort | 2.07 | 160 | lost | -160 | 147 |
| 18.05.26 | Nemesis – Walczaki | Nemesis | 2.61 | 80 | lost | -80 | 307 |
| 17.05.26 | BRUTE – Rune Eaters | Rune Eaters | 2.09 | 40 | lost | -40 | 387 |
| 17.05.26 | Vasco – METANOIA Wolves | Vasco | 2.02 | 20 | lost | -20 | 427 |
| 17.05.26 | R2 – HereWeGoAgain | HereWeGoAgain | 2.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 447 |
| 17.05.26 | G2 Ares – Falcons Force | Falcons Force | 2.23 | 20 | won | +25 | 457 |
| 17.05.26 | Inner Circle Academy – BASEMENT BOYS | Inner Circle Academy | 2.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 433 |
| 17.05.26 | Just Players – OlyBet | Just Players | 2.06 | 10 | won | +11 | 443 |
| 17.05.26 | JiJieHao – Lynn Vision | Lynn Vision | 2.02 | 20 | won | +20 | 432 |
| 16.05.26 | PURE – Honvéd | PURE | 2.03 | 10 | lost | -10 | 412 |
| 16.05.26 | TDK – Lavked | TDK | 2.11 | 10 | won | +11 | 422 |
| 16.05.26 | Lynn Vision – THUNDER dOWNUNDER | Lynn Vision | 2.13 | 20 | won | +23 | 411 |
| 15.05.26 | Isurus – ex-KRÜ | ex-KRÜ | 2.07 | 10 | lost | -10 | 388 |
| 15.05.26 | Atreides – DONSTU | DONSTU | 2.08 | 10 | won | +11 | 398 |
| 15.05.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – Just Players | Just Players | 2.08 | 160 | won | +172 | 387 |
| 15.05.26 | FURIA – Falcons | FURIA | 2.01 | 80 | lost | -80 | 215 |
| 15.05.26 | Young Ninjas – Hashiras | Hashiras | 2.02 | 40 | lost | -40 | 295 |
| 15.05.26 | Lavked – fnatic | fnatic | 2.28 | 20 | lost | -20 | 335 |
| 15.05.26 | Spirit – G2 | G2 | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 355 |
| 15.05.26 | Sashi – Oxuji | Sashi | 2.10 | 10 | won | +11 | 365 |
| 14.05.26 | Just Players – Hashiras | Just Players | 2.03 | 40 | won | +41 | 354 |
| 14.05.26 | HOTU – Walczaki | HOTU | 2.77 | 20 | lost | -20 | 313 |
| 14.05.26 | GUARA – METANOIA Wolves | GUARA | 2.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 333 |
| 14.05.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Lavked | Nuclear TigeRES | 2.27 | 20 | won | +25 | 343 |
| 14.05.26 | FAVBET – Walczaki | FAVBET | 3.12 | 10 | lost | -10 | 317 |
| 13.05.26 | SINNERS – Astralis | Astralis | 2.08 | 10 | won | +11 | 327 |
| 13.05.26 | Tricked – ex-RUBY | Tricked | 2.15 | 10 | won | +11 | 316 |
| 13.05.26 | GenOne – OlyBet | GenOne | 2.01 | 10 | won | +10 | 305 |
| 13.05.26 | SPARTA – TNC | SPARTA | 2.15 | 20 | won | +23 | 295 |
| 13.05.26 | Project 91 – SAW | SAW | 2.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 272 |
| 13.05.26 | Haunted House – Change The Game | Haunted House | 2.02 | 143 | won | +145 | 282 |
| 13.05.26 | Gentle Mates – magic | Gentle Mates | 2.06 | 640 | lost | -640 | 137 |
| 13.05.26 | Astralis – Legacy | Astralis | 2.03 | 320 | lost | -320 | 777 |
| 13.05.26 | Bounty Hunters – MIBR fe | MIBR fe | 2.14 | 160 | lost | -160 | 1097 |
| 12.05.26 | paiN – FUT | FUT | 2.02 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1257 |
| 12.05.26 | LP – BESTIA Academy | BESTIA Academy | 2.21 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1337 |
| 12.05.26 | aAa – G2 Ares | aAa | 2.42 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1377 |
| 12.05.26 | BET-M – Walczaki | BET-M | 3.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1397 |
| 12.05.26 | Procyon – GUARA | Procyon | 2.03 | 10 | won | +10 | 1407 |
| 12.05.26 | FURIA – Gentle Mates | FURIA | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1397 |
| 12.05.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Eternal Fire | Eternal Fire | 2.04 | 10 | won | +10 | 1386 |
| 12.05.26 | FlyQuest – NEXVOID | FlyQuest | 2.09 | 10 | won | +11 | 1376 |
| 12.05.26 | SPARTA – Oxuji | SPARTA | 2.69 | 160 | won | +270 | 1365 |
| 12.05.26 | Lynn Vision – Haunted House | Haunted House | 2.02 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1095 |
| 12.05.26 | FAVBET – Oxuji | FAVBET | 2.35 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1175 |
| 12.05.26 | HEROIC – magic | HEROIC | 2.08 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1215 |
| 12.05.26 | JiJieHao – Chinggis Warriors | Chinggis Warriors | 2.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1235 |
| 12.05.26 | Yawara – VEXA | VEXA | 2.11 | 10 | won | +11 | 1245 |
| 11.05.26 | NRG – FUT | FUT | 2.03 | 40 | won | +41 | 1234 |
| 11.05.26 | Vitality – BC.Game | BC.Game | 2.18 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1193 |
| 11.05.26 | AM – Walczaki | AM | 2.67 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1213 |
| 11.05.26 | Last Bullet – Kaleido | Kaleido | 2.25 | 20 | won | +25 | 1223 |
| 11.05.26 | Isurus – GUARA | GUARA | 2.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1198 |
| 11.05.26 | Haunted House – THUNDER dOWNUNDER | Haunted House | 2.37 | 20 | won | +27 | 1208 |
| 11.05.26 | MOUZ NXT – INOX Division | MOUZ NXT | 2.55 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1180 |
| 11.05.26 | Lynn Vision – Alter Ego | Lynn Vision | 2.03 | 20 | won | +21 | 1190 |
| 11.05.26 | FlyQuest – JiJieHao | FlyQuest | 2.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1170 |
| 11.05.26 | Chinggis Warriors – NEXVOID | Chinggis Warriors | 2.09 | 20 | won | +22 | 1180 |
| 11.05.26 | UNO MILLE – Galorys | Galorys | 2.07 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1158 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.