Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-116u
ROI
-1%
win rate
50%
bets
249
drawdown
67.8%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
💰
Stake size
Martingale
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+0u
period 3profit withdrawn+0u
period 2top-up-1000u
period 1profit withdrawn+884u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% of bankroll | 666 | 46% | +6779 | +9.6% | 41.6% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 666 | 46% | +1469 | +4.7% | 39% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 666 | 46% | +250 | +2% | 36.1% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 666 | 46% | +78 | +1.2% | 26% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 666 | 46% | +35 | +0.5% | 28.6% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Martingale | 249 | 50% | -116 | -1% | 67.8% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 249, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.06.26 | Enjoy – Sashi Academy | Sashi Academy | 2.33 | 452 | lost | -452 | 884 |
| 29.06.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Vasco | Vasco | 2.22 | 640 | lost | -640 | 1336 |
| 28.06.26 | 6666 – BERG | 6666 | 2.03 | 320 | lost | -320 | 1976 |
| 28.06.26 | Fluxo – UNO MILLE | Fluxo | 2.03 | 160 | lost | -160 | 2296 |
| 28.06.26 | Yawara – Blitzkrieg | Blitzkrieg | 2.03 | 80 | lost | -80 | 2456 |
| 28.06.26 | Leo – Aimhaus | Aimhaus | 2.01 | 40 | lost | -40 | 2536 |
| 27.06.26 | Fake do Biru – LP | Fake do Biru | 2.49 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2576 |
| 27.06.26 | Vasco – Red Feet | Vasco | 2.30 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2596 |
| 26.06.26 | Walczaki – Inner Circle | Inner Circle | 2.12 | 20 | won | +22 | 2606 |
| 26.06.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – PCIFIC | PCIFIC | 2.04 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2583 |
| 26.06.26 | Acend – INFINITE | Acend | 2.12 | 40 | won | +45 | 2593 |
| 26.06.26 | Fortress – Endless Journey | Fortress | 2.02 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2549 |
| 25.06.26 | Vasco – Isurus | Vasco | 2.14 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2569 |
| 25.06.26 | Acend – Sharks | Sharks | 2.09 | 10 | won | +11 | 2579 |
| 25.06.26 | Echo – Walczaki | Echo | 2.18 | 40 | won | +47 | 2568 |
| 25.06.26 | DEPO – CYBERSHOKE Prospects | DEPO | 2.12 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2521 |
| 25.06.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – Dark Moon | Dark Moon | 2.30 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2541 |
| 24.06.26 | Betclic – OG | Betclic | 2.19 | 10 | won | +12 | 2551 |
| 24.06.26 | Echo – FOKUS | Echo | 2.27 | 10 | won | +13 | 2539 |
| 24.06.26 | Inner Circle – Sharks | Sharks | 2.08 | 10 | won | +11 | 2526 |
| 24.06.26 | AM – Eternal Fire | AM | 2.05 | 10 | won | +11 | 2515 |
| 23.06.26 | Sharks – Eternal Fire | Sharks | 2.24 | 20 | won | +25 | 2505 |
| 23.06.26 | FOKUS – OG | OG | 2.04 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2480 |
| 23.06.26 | INFINITE – EAC | EAC | 2.30 | 20 | won | +26 | 2490 |
| 22.06.26 | Lilmix – ReThink | Lilmix | 2.40 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2464 |
| 22.06.26 | Walczaki – KOLESIE | Walczaki | 2.01 | 40 | won | +40 | 2474 |
| 22.06.26 | Chicken Coop – Club 333 | Club 333 | 2.30 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2434 |
| 21.06.26 | FURIA – Falcons | FURIA | 2.10 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2454 |
| 21.06.26 | ReThink – roamsfiest | roamsfiest | 2.03 | 10 | won | +10 | 2464 |
| 21.06.26 | INFINITE – INOX Division | INFINITE | 2.08 | 20 | won | +22 | 2453 |
| 21.06.26 | Chicken Coop – Overtake Sector | Overtake Sector | 2.53 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2432 |
| 20.06.26 | GenOne – 100 Thieves | 100 Thieves | 2.11 | 10 | won | +11 | 2442 |
| 20.06.26 | Phantom – Walczaki | Phantom | 2.04 | 80 | won | +83 | 2431 |
| 20.06.26 | 1win – Virtus.pro | 1win | 2.23 | 40 | lost | -40 | 2347 |
| 20.06.26 | FOKUS – CYBERSHOKE | CYBERSHOKE | 2.28 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2387 |
| 19.06.26 | ReThink – BAKS | BAKS | 2.03 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2407 |
| 19.06.26 | WW – CYBERSHOKE | CYBERSHOKE | 2.02 | 320 | won | +327 | 2417 |
| 19.06.26 | K27 – SHISHKA | SHISHKA | 2.04 | 160 | lost | -160 | 2090 |
| 19.06.26 | INFINITE – ex-RUBY | INFINITE | 2.06 | 80 | lost | -80 | 2250 |
| 19.06.26 | Acend – INOX Division | Acend | 2.21 | 40 | lost | -40 | 2330 |
| 19.06.26 | Sashi – KOLESIE | Sashi | 2.12 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2370 |
| 18.06.26 | Nemesis – Bebop | Bebop | 2.22 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2390 |
| 18.06.26 | Echo – KOLESIE | Echo | 2.33 | 10 | won | +13 | 2400 |
| 18.06.26 | Aurora – BetBoom | Aurora | 2.00 | 10 | won | +10 | 2387 |
| 18.06.26 | TDK – Walczaki | Walczaki | 2.52 | 593 | won | +900 | 2377 |
| 18.06.26 | FOKUS – Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 2.10 | 640 | lost | -640 | 1477 |
| 17.06.26 | KOLESIE – illwill | illwill | 2.57 | 320 | lost | -320 | 2117 |
| 17.06.26 | SPARTA – Bebop | SPARTA | 2.24 | 160 | lost | -160 | 2437 |
| 17.06.26 | SPARTA – INOX Division | SPARTA | 2.62 | 80 | lost | -80 | 2597 |
| 17.06.26 | PsychoFace – Virtus.pro | PsychoFace | 2.44 | 40 | lost | -40 | 2677 |
| 17.06.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – K27 | K27 | 2.18 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2717 |
| 16.06.26 | PsychoFace – Leo | PsychoFace | 2.14 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2737 |
| 16.06.26 | K27 – 100 Thieves | K27 | 2.11 | 40 | won | +44 | 2747 |
| 16.06.26 | illwill – ex-RUBY | illwill | 2.50 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2703 |
| 16.06.26 | HOTU – TDK | HOTU | 2.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2723 |
| 15.06.26 | SPARTA – G2 Ares | SPARTA | 2.25 | 160 | won | +200 | 2733 |
| 15.06.26 | Virtus.pro – brazylijski luz | brazylijski luz | 2.06 | 80 | lost | -80 | 2532 |
| 15.06.26 | Nemesis – CYBERSHOKE | CYBERSHOKE | 2.12 | 40 | lost | -40 | 2612 |
| 15.06.26 | 100 Thieves – Betclic | Betclic | 2.14 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2652 |
| 15.06.26 | TDK – Young Ninjas | Young Ninjas | 2.29 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2672 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.