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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS2Martingalepayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-1006u
ROI
-16.6%
win rate
42%
bets
129
drawdown
100.4%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

Martingale

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+0u
period 6profit withdrawn+0u
period 5profit withdrawn+0u
period 4profit withdrawn+0u
period 3profit withdrawn+0u
period 2top-up-1000u
period 1top-up-6u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale12942%-1006-16.6%100.4%Select
1% of bankroll184940%-1430-9%143.7%Select
Flat (10 units)184940%-1742-9.4%175.4%Select
2% of bankroll184940%-2364-8.6%237.3%Select
5% of bankroll184940%-3677-7.9%368.1%Select
10% of bankroll184940%-4936-9.1%493.6%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 129, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
18.05.26illwill – ex-RUBYillwill2.12153lost-153-6
18.05.26AM – megoshortmegoshort2.07160lost-160147
18.05.26Nemesis – WalczakiNemesis2.6180lost-80307
17.05.26BRUTE – Rune EatersRune Eaters2.0940lost-40387
17.05.26Vasco – METANOIA WolvesVasco2.0220lost-20427
17.05.26R2 – HereWeGoAgainHereWeGoAgain2.0210lost-10447
17.05.26G2 Ares – Falcons ForceFalcons Force2.2320won+25457
17.05.26Inner Circle Academy – BASEMENT BOYSInner Circle Academy2.0010lost-10433
17.05.26Just Players – OlyBetJust Players2.0610won+11443
17.05.26JiJieHao – Lynn VisionLynn Vision2.0220won+20432
16.05.26PURE – HonvédPURE2.0310lost-10412
16.05.26TDK – LavkedTDK2.1110won+11422
16.05.26Lynn Vision – THUNDER dOWNUNDERLynn Vision2.1320won+23411
15.05.26Isurus – ex-KRÜex-KRÜ2.0710lost-10388
15.05.26Atreides – DONSTUDONSTU2.0810won+11398
15.05.26ex-Zero Tenacity – Just PlayersJust Players2.08160won+172387
15.05.26FURIA – FalconsFURIA2.0180lost-80215
15.05.26Young Ninjas – HashirasHashiras2.0240lost-40295
15.05.26Lavked – fnaticfnatic2.2820lost-20335
15.05.26Spirit – G2G22.0910lost-10355
15.05.26Sashi – OxujiSashi2.1010won+11365
14.05.26Just Players – HashirasJust Players2.0340won+41354
14.05.26HOTU – WalczakiHOTU2.7720lost-20313
14.05.26GUARA – METANOIA WolvesGUARA2.0210lost-10333
14.05.26Nuclear TigeRES – LavkedNuclear TigeRES2.2720won+25343
14.05.26FAVBET – WalczakiFAVBET3.1210lost-10317
13.05.26SINNERS – AstralisAstralis2.0810won+11327
13.05.26Tricked – ex-RUBYTricked2.1510won+11316
13.05.26GenOne – OlyBetGenOne2.0110won+10305
13.05.26SPARTA – TNCSPARTA2.1520won+23295
13.05.26Project 91 – SAWSAW2.0810lost-10272
13.05.26Haunted House – Change The GameHaunted House2.02143won+145282
13.05.26Gentle Mates – magicGentle Mates2.06640lost-640137
13.05.26Astralis – LegacyAstralis2.03320lost-320777
13.05.26Bounty Hunters – MIBR feMIBR fe2.14160lost-1601097
12.05.26paiN – FUTFUT2.0280lost-801257
12.05.26LP – BESTIA AcademyBESTIA Academy2.2140lost-401337
12.05.26aAa – G2 AresaAa2.4220lost-201377
12.05.26BET-M – WalczakiBET-M3.0510lost-101397
12.05.26Procyon – GUARAProcyon2.0310won+101407
12.05.26FURIA – Gentle MatesFURIA2.0210won+101397
12.05.26Nuclear TigeRES – Eternal FireEternal Fire2.0410won+101386
12.05.26FlyQuest – NEXVOIDFlyQuest2.0910won+111376
12.05.26SPARTA – OxujiSPARTA2.69160won+2701365
12.05.26Lynn Vision – Haunted HouseHaunted House2.0280lost-801095
12.05.26FAVBET – OxujiFAVBET2.3540lost-401175
12.05.26HEROIC – magicHEROIC2.0820lost-201215
12.05.26JiJieHao – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors2.0010lost-101235
12.05.26Yawara – VEXAVEXA2.1110won+111245
11.05.26NRG – FUTFUT2.0340won+411234
11.05.26Vitality – BC.GameBC.Game2.1820lost-201193
11.05.26AM – WalczakiAM2.6710lost-101213
11.05.26Last Bullet – KaleidoKaleido2.2520won+251223
11.05.26Isurus – GUARAGUARA2.0810lost-101198
11.05.26Haunted House – THUNDER dOWNUNDERHaunted House2.3720won+271208
11.05.26MOUZ NXT – INOX DivisionMOUZ NXT2.5510lost-101180
11.05.26Lynn Vision – Alter EgoLynn Vision2.0320won+211190
11.05.26FlyQuest – JiJieHaoFlyQuest2.0210lost-101170
11.05.26Chinggis Warriors – NEXVOIDChinggis Warriors2.0920won+221180
11.05.26UNO MILLE – GalorysGalorys2.0710lost-101158
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.