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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-4712u
ROI
-10.4%
win rate
40%
bets
1854
drawdown
471.2%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

5% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-915u
period 6top-up-918u
period 5top-up-976u
period 4top-up-186u
period 3top-up-703u
period 2top-up-865u
period 1top-up-150u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale2429%-944-60.8%94.8%Select
1% of bankroll185440%-1602-10%160.2%Select
Flat (10 units)185440%-1866-10.1%186.6%Select
2% of bankroll185440%-2769-10.1%276.9%Select
5% of bankroll185440%-4712-10.4%471.2%Select
10% of bankroll185440%-5944-11.7%594.4%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1854, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26FURIA – BETBOOMBETBOOM2.044lost-4-3712
14.10.26FOKUS – YounglingsYounglings2.455lost-5-3708
14.10.26FORZE Reload – LFO 10LFO 102.645lost-5-3703
14.10.26Butterfly – Nuclear TigeRESButterfly2.295lost-5-3698
14.10.26Just Players – FOKUSFOKUS2.085won+5-3693
14.10.26G2 Ares – The Last ResortThe Last Resort2.025lost-5-3698
14.10.26fnatic – SashiSashi2.986lost-6-3693
14.10.26HOTU – AstralisAstralis2.355won+7-3688
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.575lost-5-3694
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.196lost-6-3689
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.675won+9-3683
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedLavked2.055won+5-3692
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.215lost-5-3697
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.095won+5-3692
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.785lost-5-3698
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.016lost-6-3692
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.295won+7-3687
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.115lost-5-3694
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.906lost-6-3688
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLBBL2.166lost-6-3682
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.046won+6-3676
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.116lost-6-3682
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.106lost-6-3676
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPex-Keyd Stars2.187lost-7-3670
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.017lost-7-3663
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.697lost-7-3656
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.098lost-8-3648
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.688lost-8-3641
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.188won+9-3632
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.458lost-8-3641
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsAlter Ego2.078won+8-3633
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.027won+8-3642
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.548lost-8-3649
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYMARKandLARRY2.067won+8-3641
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBORRACHEIROS2.098lost-8-3649
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.127won+15-3641
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.407lost-7-3656
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.648lost-8-3649
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.457won+11-3641
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya3.528lost-8-3652
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenBebop2.908lost-8-3644
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoThe KnockoutX2.319lost-9-3636
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritAurora2.548won+12-3627
11.10.26Just Players – MisaMisa2.558lost-8-3640
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.148won+9-3631
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGKZG2.078lost-8-3640
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestGround Zero2.149lost-9-3632
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarZomblers2.078won+9-3623
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEWanted Goons2.259lost-9-3632
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopChicken Coop2.248won+10-3623
11.10.26FlyQuest – KZGKZG2.819lost-9-3634
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert2.028won+8-3625
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertFathom2.839lost-9-3633
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USLast Dance US3.379lost-9-3625
10.10.26Holy Cannoli – Unreal NightmareUnreal Nightmare2.179won+10-3616
10.10.26MOUZ – SpiritMOUZ2.258won+10-3626
10.10.26Black Phoenix – Iberian SoulIberian Soul2.409lost-9-3636
10.10.26NRG – Unreal NightmareUnreal Nightmare2.499lost-9-3627
10.10.26Bebop – 6666Bebop2.099lost-9-3618
10.10.26Chinggis Warriors – THE UNITTHE UNIT2.3910lost-10-3609
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.