Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.
profit
+438u
ROI
+25.8%
win rate
41%
bets
17
drawdown
28.5%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
payments
Stake size
10% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+426u
period 6top-up-18u
period 5profit withdrawn+228u
period 4top-up-190u
period 3profit withdrawn+0u
period 2top-up-8u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% of bankroll | 17 | 41% | +438 | +25.8% | 28.5% | Selected |
| Martingale | 17 | 41% | +351 | +85.6% | 6.1% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 17 | 41% | +242 | +28.4% | 14.6% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 17 | 41% | +102 | +29.8% | 5.9% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 17 | 41% | +52 | +30.7% | 2.9% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 17 | 41% | +52 | +30.3% | 3% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 17, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 118 | won | +249 | 1438 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | Bebop | 3.08 | 97 | won | +202 | 1189 |
| 08.10.26 | BERG – mellren | BERG | 3.32 | 108 | lost | -108 | 986 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Privateer | Privateer | 3.36 | 88 | won | +207 | 1095 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Alliance | 3.45 | 97 | lost | -97 | 888 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | XEPT | 3.30 | 108 | lost | -108 | 985 |
| 02.10.26 | BBL – SportsBetExpert | BBL | 3.02 | 90 | won | +182 | 1093 |
| 01.10.26 | FaZe – Nemiga | FaZe | 3.98 | 100 | lost | -100 | 912 |
| 25.09.26 | Nemiga – INOX Division | INOX Division | 3.10 | 109 | lost | -109 | 1012 |
| 22.09.26 | Fortress – LPH | Fortress | 3.00 | 121 | lost | -121 | 1121 |
| 01.09.26 | Entropy – Virtus.pro | Entropy | 3.12 | 100 | won | +212 | 1242 |
| 28.08.26 | SINNERS – Bushido Wildcats | SINNERS | 3.28 | 100 | won | +228 | 1030 |
| 31.07.26 | INOX Division – Falcons Force | Falcons Force | 3.64 | 90 | lost | -90 | 802 |
| 28.07.26 | TDK – BET-M | BET-M | 3.51 | 100 | lost | -100 | 892 |
| 27.05.26 | Bounty Hunters – GameHunters | GameHunters | 3.25 | 81 | won | +182 | 992 |
| 14.05.26 | FAVBET – Walczaki | FAVBET | 3.12 | 90 | lost | -90 | 810 |
| 12.05.26 | BET-M – Walczaki | BET-M | 3.05 | 100 | lost | -100 | 900 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.