Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.
profit
-464u
ROI
-30.3%
win rate
25%
bets
16
drawdown
61.6%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
payments
Stake size
10% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-140u
period 6top-up-116u
period 5top-up-100u
period 4top-up-100u
period 3profit withdrawn+0u
period 2top-up-8u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 16 | 25% | +477 | +62.7% | 13.5% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 16 | 25% | -35 | -21.8% | 6% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 16 | 25% | -36 | -22.7% | 6% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 16 | 25% | -75 | -23.6% | 12% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 16 | 25% | -205 | -26.2% | 30.3% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 16 | 25% | -464 | -30.3% | 61.6% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 16, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 71 | won | +150 | 536 |
| 08.10.26 | Leo – Privateer | Privateer | 3.78 | 79 | lost | -79 | 386 |
| 08.10.26 | BERG – mellren | BERG | 3.32 | 88 | lost | -88 | 465 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Alliance | 3.45 | 97 | lost | -97 | 552 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | XEPT | 3.30 | 108 | lost | -108 | 650 |
| 02.10.26 | BBL – SportsBetExpert | BBL | 3.02 | 90 | won | +182 | 758 |
| 01.10.26 | FaZe – Nemiga | FaZe | 3.98 | 100 | lost | -100 | 576 |
| 26.09.26 | SportsBetExpert – my life be like | my life be like | 3.44 | 98 | lost | -98 | 676 |
| 17.09.26 | Luminosity – B8 | Luminosity | 3.25 | 109 | lost | -109 | 774 |
| 11.09.26 | 1win – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 3.06 | 121 | lost | -121 | 883 |
| 01.09.26 | Entropy – Virtus.pro | Entropy | 3.13 | 100 | won | +213 | 1005 |
| 03.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | UNiTY | 3.19 | 100 | lost | -100 | 792 |
| 31.07.26 | INOX Division – Falcons Force | Falcons Force | 3.64 | 100 | lost | -100 | 892 |
| 27.05.26 | Bounty Hunters – GameHunters | GameHunters | 3.25 | 81 | won | +182 | 992 |
| 14.05.26 | FAVBET – Walczaki | FAVBET | 3.12 | 90 | lost | -90 | 810 |
| 12.05.26 | BET-M – Walczaki | BET-M | 3.05 | 100 | lost | -100 | 900 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.