Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.
profit
-209u
ROI
-41%
win rate
17%
bets
6
drawdown
34.1%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
💰
Stake size
10% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-410u
period 3profit withdrawn+201u
period 2profit withdrawn+0u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 6 | 17% | -29 | -49% | 4.8% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 6 | 17% | -30 | -49.9% | 4.9% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 6 | 17% | -56 | -48.2% | 9.2% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 6 | 17% | -126 | -45.6% | 20.6% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 6 | 17% | -209 | -41% | 34.1% | Select |
| Martingale | 6 | 17% | -290 | -90.6% | 30.4% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 6, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Misa | 3.47 | 66 | lost | -66 | 791 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Fortress | 3.33 | 73 | lost | -73 | 857 |
| 07.08.26 | fnatic – 6666 | 6666 | 3.20 | 81 | lost | -81 | 930 |
| 05.08.26 | BESTIA – METANOIA Wolves | METANOIA Wolves | 3.02 | 90 | lost | -90 | 1011 |
| 03.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | UNiTY | 3.01 | 100 | lost | -100 | 1101 |
| 28.07.26 | TDK – BAKS | BAKS | 3.01 | 100 | won | +201 | 1201 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.