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Always the underdog

CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-308u
ROI
-5.6%
win rate
44%
bets
548
drawdown
35.6%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-13u
period 6top-up-101u
period 5profit withdrawn+33u
period 4top-up-45u
period 3top-up-70u
period 2top-up-71u
period 1top-up-41u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Flat (10 units)54844%-308-5.6%35.6%Select
1% of bankroll54844%-326-6.1%37%Select
2% of bankroll54844%-682-6.6%75.1%Select
Martingale5143%-901-36.9%91.8%Select
5% of bankroll54844%-1854-7.9%187.4%Select
10% of bankroll54844%-3765-9.8%327.5%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 548, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26FURIA – BETBOOMBETBOOM2.0410lost-10692
14.10.26G2 Ares – The Last ResortThe Last Resort2.0210lost-10702
14.10.26PCIFIC – RyvexPCIFIC1.9210won+9712
14.10.26fnatic – SashiSashi2.9810lost-10703
14.10.26HOTU – AstralisAstralis2.3510won+13713
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyB8 Academy1.9010lost-10699
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.1110lost-10709
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.1110lost-10719
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.4510lost-10729
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBORRACHEIROS2.0910lost-10739
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.1210won+21749
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.4510won+15728
11.10.26Just Players – MisaMisa2.5510lost-10714
10.10.26Lavked – FortressFortress2.4510lost-10724
10.10.26Desi Boyz – EMPIREEMPIRE1.9410won+9734
10.10.26Grêmio – BORRACHEIROSGrêmio1.9810lost-10724
09.10.26Misa – 666666662.0710won+11734
09.10.26Black Phoenix – LeoLeo2.0510lost-10724
09.10.26Azuolas – EnjoyAzuolas2.8910won+19734
09.10.26New Legends – Wanted GoonsWanted Goons2.3510won+13715
08.10.26Leo – PrivateerPrivateer3.7810lost-10701
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEPRIVATE2.0710won+11711
08.10.26CYBERSHOKE – NexusNexus1.9610won+10701
08.10.26THE UNIT – The KnockoutXTHE UNIT1.9510lost-10691
08.10.26HYPERSPIRIT – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya1.9610lost-10701
08.10.26Bounty Hunters – ProcyonProcyon1.9610lost-10711
07.10.26Sangal – NAVI JuniorNAVI Junior2.8110won+18721
07.10.26Lazer Cats – NAVI JuniorNAVI Junior2.0710won+11703
07.10.26Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTECIberian Soul2.4010won+14692
07.10.26Vexar – PrivateerPrivateer3.3610won+24678
07.10.26LFO 10 – MAYBEMAYBE2.0210lost-10655
07.10.26OG – SINQUSINQU2.8510lost-10665
07.10.26OG – Falcons ForceFalcons Force2.3810won+14675
07.10.26PURE – SINQUSINQU2.4510lost-10661
07.10.26Gothic – LPHGothic2.2910won+13671
06.10.26FURIA – AuroraFURIA1.9710lost-10658
06.10.26Spirit – 1win1win2.4110won+14668
05.10.26PARIVISION – FURIAPARIVISION2.3210lost-10654
03.10.26Aurora – 9z9z2.2710lost-10664
03.10.26regain – LAGregain2.4110lost-10674
02.10.26Alliance – NemigaAlliance3.4510lost-10684
02.10.26FOKUS – BBLBBL2.0910won+11694
02.10.26BASEMENT BOYS – GlitchGlitch2.1510lost-10683
02.10.26SportsBetExpert – XEPTXEPT3.3010lost-10693
02.10.26Nexus – 6yuBoJlbl6yuBoJlbl2.2410won+12703
02.10.26Luminosity – BIGBIG1.9110lost-10690
02.10.26Fire Flux – benched godsbenched gods2.1510lost-10700
02.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – SangalNinjas in Pyjamas2.0910lost-10710
02.10.26Astralis – FaZeAstralis1.9410won+9720
02.10.261337 – NEXVOID13372.4410lost-10711
01.10.26FaZe – NemigaFaZe3.9810lost-10721
01.10.26EAC – ex-Zero TenacityEAC2.7110won+17731
01.10.26Yawara – BORRACHEIROSYawara1.9110won+9714
01.10.26SINQU – FamalicãoFamalicão1.9410won+9705
01.10.26ex-ODDIK – Miraex-ODDIK2.2910lost-10695
30.09.26PRIVATE – Nuclear TigeRESPRIVATE2.5910lost-10705
29.09.26MAYBE – IllyriansMAYBE2.4010won+14715
29.09.26WW – DNKDNK2.2410won+12701
29.09.26DEPO – PAQTPAQT2.3610won+14689
28.09.26Leo – Noir VerseNoir Verse2.2110won+12675
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.