Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
-124u
ROI
-5%
win rate
46%
bets
249
drawdown
16.9%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Always the underdog
💰
Stake size
Flat (10 units)
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+27u
period 3top-up-61u
period 2profit withdrawn+40u
period 1top-up-131u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 249 | 46% | -124 | -5% | 16.9% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 249 | 46% | -126 | -5.1% | 16.7% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 249 | 46% | -255 | -5.3% | 32.9% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 249 | 46% | -656 | -5.8% | 80% | Select |
| Martingale | 11 | 9% | -1000 | -86.5% | 100% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 249 | 46% | -1363 | -6.7% | 155.2% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 249, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.08.26 | The Last Resort – OG | The Last Resort | 1.98 | 10 | lost | -10 | 876 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC – OG | OG | 2.06 | 10 | won | +11 | 886 |
| 18.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – Vexar | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.01 | 10 | won | +10 | 875 |
| 18.08.26 | Bebop – benched gods | Bebop | 2.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | 865 |
| 17.08.26 | Inner Circle Academy – ex-Zero Tenacity | Inner Circle Academy | 1.96 | 10 | won | +10 | 875 |
| 17.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – DragonClaw | DragonClaw | 2.72 | 10 | lost | -10 | 865 |
| 16.08.26 | MOUZ – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 2.21 | 10 | lost | -10 | 875 |
| 15.08.26 | INOX Division – Misa | Misa | 2.69 | 10 | lost | -10 | 885 |
| 15.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 1.98 | 10 | won | +10 | 895 |
| 15.08.26 | Fire Flux – NEW VISION | NEW VISION | 2.46 | 10 | won | +15 | 886 |
| 14.08.26 | OG – BAKS | OG | 1.98 | 10 | lost | -10 | 871 |
| 14.08.26 | The Last Resort – Honvéd | Honvéd | 2.10 | 10 | won | +11 | 881 |
| 14.08.26 | Honvéd – Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 2.08 | 10 | won | +11 | 870 |
| 13.08.26 | Legacy – FaZe | Legacy | 1.99 | 10 | lost | -10 | 859 |
| 13.08.26 | GamerLegion – JiJieHao | GamerLegion | 2.36 | 10 | won | +14 | 869 |
| 12.08.26 | Vexar – Raccoons | Vexar | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 856 |
| 10.08.26 | Ground Zero – Mindfreak | Mindfreak | 2.13 | 10 | lost | -10 | 866 |
| 09.08.26 | 100 Thieves – BC.Game | 100 Thieves | 1.93 | 10 | won | +9 | 876 |
| 09.08.26 | HEROIC – fnatic | HEROIC | 2.44 | 10 | lost | -10 | 866 |
| 09.08.26 | UNiTY – Nexus | UNiTY | 2.14 | 10 | won | +11 | 876 |
| 09.08.26 | Eternal Fire – BIG | BIG | 1.98 | 10 | won | +10 | 865 |
| 09.08.26 | Prestige – Betclic | Prestige | 2.18 | 10 | lost | -10 | 855 |
| 08.08.26 | Fluxo – DUSTY | DUSTY | 2.23 | 10 | lost | -10 | 865 |
| 08.08.26 | Dark Tigre – SINNERS | SINNERS | 2.11 | 10 | won | +11 | 875 |
| 08.08.26 | Partizan – Orion Wanderers | Partizan | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 864 |
| 07.08.26 | Vael – OG | Vael | 1.90 | 10 | lost | -10 | 855 |
| 07.08.26 | HOTU – GenOne | HOTU | 2.29 | 10 | won | +13 | 865 |
| 07.08.26 | Iberian Soul – 6666 | 6666 | 2.33 | 10 | won | +13 | 852 |
| 06.08.26 | 1win – Butterfly | 1win | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 839 |
| 06.08.26 | MAYBE – Jam | MAYBE | 2.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 849 |
| 06.08.26 | Time Waves – Arcade | Arcade | 1.96 | 10 | won | +10 | 859 |
| 05.08.26 | BESTIA – METANOIA Wolves | METANOIA Wolves | 3.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 849 |
| 04.08.26 | Galorys – MEIA NOITE | MEIA NOITE | 1.96 | 10 | lost | -10 | 859 |
| 04.08.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – Leo | BASEMENT BOYS | 1.97 | 10 | won | +10 | 869 |
| 04.08.26 | Nemiga – GenOne | Nemiga | 2.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 860 |
| 04.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Leo | Bushido Wildcats | 1.92 | 10 | won | +9 | 870 |
| 04.08.26 | Sashi – Phantom | Sashi | 1.99 | 10 | won | +10 | 860 |
| 03.08.26 | Imperial – Procyon | Procyon | 2.58 | 10 | lost | -10 | 851 |
| 03.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | UNiTY | 3.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 861 |
| 03.08.26 | Isurus – ODDIK Academy | ODDIK Academy | 2.23 | 10 | lost | -10 | 871 |
| 03.08.26 | WW – CYBERSHOKE Prospects | WW | 2.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 881 |
| 03.08.26 | Voca – NRG | NRG | 1.97 | 10 | won | +10 | 891 |
| 02.08.26 | Young TigeRES – Spirit Academy | Young TigeRES | 1.91 | 10 | lost | -10 | 881 |
| 02.08.26 | Inner Circle Academy – ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 891 |
| 02.08.26 | Sashi – Black Phoenix | Sashi | 2.07 | 10 | won | +11 | 881 |
| 01.08.26 | Fluxo – BESTIA | BESTIA | 2.06 | 10 | won | +11 | 870 |
| 01.08.26 | Liquid – Betclic | Liquid | 1.93 | 10 | won | +9 | 859 |
| 01.08.26 | BC.Game – SINQU | SINQU | 1.90 | 10 | lost | -10 | 850 |
| 01.08.26 | los kogutos – NEW VISION | NEW VISION | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 860 |
| 01.08.26 | Black Phoenix – Butterfly | Black Phoenix | 2.11 | 10 | won | +11 | 870 |
| 01.08.26 | DONSTU – ALTAY | DONSTU | 2.06 | 10 | won | +11 | 859 |
| 31.07.26 | EAC – HOTU | EAC | 2.67 | 10 | won | +17 | 848 |
| 31.07.26 | Banda Chuya – mellren | Banda Chuya | 2.19 | 10 | lost | -10 | 832 |
| 31.07.26 | Lavked – megoshort | megoshort | 2.10 | 10 | won | +11 | 842 |
| 31.07.26 | ROUNDS – Trainwrecks | ROUNDS | 1.98 | 10 | lost | -10 | 831 |
| 31.07.26 | HAVU – BC.Game | HAVU | 1.99 | 10 | lost | -10 | 841 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – XCLAN | XCLAN | 2.54 | 10 | lost | -10 | 851 |
| 30.07.26 | SINQU – BOJONG | BOJONG | 2.03 | 10 | lost | -10 | 861 |
| 30.07.26 | Virtus.pro – BAKS | BAKS | 2.40 | 10 | lost | -10 | 871 |
| 30.07.26 | SPARTA – Just Players | SPARTA | 2.13 | 10 | lost | -10 | 881 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.