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Always the underdog

CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-1016u
ROI
-8.7%
win rate
45%
bets
1172
drawdown
101.5%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+0u
period 6profit withdrawn+0u
period 5profit withdrawn+0u
period 4profit withdrawn+0u
period 3profit withdrawn+0u
period 2top-up-1000u
period 1top-up-16u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale26450%-104-1.2%57.3%Select
Flat (10 units)117245%-1016-8.7%101.5%Select
1% of bankroll554643%-2948-7.7%289.4%Select
2% of bankroll554643%-4285-7.7%411.4%Select
5% of bankroll554643%-5867-8.3%532.1%Select
10% of bankroll554643%-6685-9.4%571.2%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1172, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
30.05.26Ursa – TNCUrsa2.272lost-2-16
30.05.26ENCE – boybandboyband1.9010lost-10-13
30.05.26SportsBetExpert – NXGNXG1.9610lost-10-3
30.05.26Marsborne – LAGLAG2.0710lost-107
30.05.26magic – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas2.2410won+1217
30.05.26WW – Gentle MatesWW2.0410lost-104
30.05.26M1Z – GENESISM1Z1.8910lost-1014
30.05.26KUUSAMO – cirahviKUUSAMO1.8910lost-1024
30.05.26FOKUS – fnaticfnatic2.0310lost-1034
30.05.26ALGO – KOLESIEALGO2.0810lost-1044
30.05.26F5 – absolute cinemaF51.9510won+1054
30.05.26Reign Above – FRZFRZ2.0310lost-1045
30.05.26ex-Zero Tenacity – ex-RUBYex-Zero Tenacity2.3710lost-1055
30.05.26LAG – makeSHIFTLAG1.9510won+965
30.05.26NineFly – NXGNineFly1.8910lost-1055
30.05.26brazylijski luz – Vexarbrazylijski luz1.9810lost-1065
30.05.26DEPO – OmegaOmega1.9210won+975
30.05.26Gentle Mates – GenOneGentle Mates1.9510won+1066
30.05.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – FaZeNinjas in Pyjamas2.0410won+1057
30.05.26Tricked – NemigaTricked2.3610lost-1046
30.05.26Young Ninjas – WAZABIWAZABI2.1210lost-1056
30.05.26Phantom – Bushido WildcatsPhantom1.9110won+966
30.05.26G2 Ares – EnjoyEnjoy2.0210won+1057
30.05.26CYBERSHOKE Prospects – AtreidesCYBERSHOKE Prospects1.9710won+1047
30.05.26Omega – Rune EatersRune Eaters2.3110won+1337
30.05.26WW – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds1.9210lost-1024
30.05.26TDK – OmegaOmega2.0910lost-1034
30.05.26Gentle Mates – Eternal FireGentle Mates2.0310won+1044
30.05.26Oramond – LeoLeo2.0810lost-1034
30.05.26ENCE – UNiTYUNiTY1.8910lost-1044
30.05.26OG – Just PlayersOG1.9510won+1054
30.05.26INOX Division – aAaaAa3.2410lost-1044
30.05.26HOTU – DEPODEPO1.9310lost-1054
29.05.26LP – GameHuntersGameHunters3.1510lost-1064
29.05.26FaZe – SharksFaZe2.0510won+1174
29.05.26Just Players – GenOneGenOne1.9810won+1064
29.05.26OKSUCC – DripmenDripmen2.2310won+1254
29.05.26KOLESIE – ASTRALASTRAL1.9010lost-1042
29.05.26cirahvi – boybandcirahvi1.8910lost-1052
29.05.26BESTIA – Bounty HuntersBESTIA2.5210won+1562
29.05.26Young Ninjas – PhantomYoung Ninjas1.9410won+947
29.05.26Tricked – AMTricked2.0110won+1037
29.05.26TDK – TNCTNC1.9010lost-1027
29.05.26magic – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas2.1810lost-1037
29.05.26Gentle Mates – Eternal FireGentle Mates2.2110won+1247
29.05.26ENCE – KUUSAMOENCE1.9510won+935
29.05.26Alliance – SharksSharks1.8910won+925
29.05.26CYBERSHOKE – HYPERSPIRITHYPERSPIRIT2.1410lost-1017
29.05.26100 Thieves – Oramond100 Thieves1.8910won+927
29.05.26Lavked – HEROIC AcademyHEROIC Academy2.9510lost-1018
29.05.26INOX Division – UNiTYUNiTY2.5310won+1528
29.05.26Vexar – NEW VISIONNEW VISION2.0010lost-1012
29.05.26DEPO – Dark MoonDark Moon2.1510lost-1022
29.05.26PCIFIC – Rune EatersRune Eaters2.1910won+1232
29.05.26Nemiga – WWWW2.7210won+1721
29.05.26Misa – brazylijski luzMisa1.9010lost-103
29.05.26OG – EACEAC2.1610lost-1013
29.05.26aAa – ex-Zero TenacityaAa2.6710won+1723
29.05.26Nemesis – LavkedNemesis2.1410won+117
29.05.26RBLS – Rune EatersRune Eaters1.9610lost-10-5
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.