Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
-375u
ROI
-5.9%
win rate
47%
bets
182
drawdown
66.6%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Always the underdog
💰
Stake size
Martingale
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+0u
period 3top-up-1000u
period 2profit withdrawn+320u
period 1profit withdrawn+305u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 249 | 47% | -82 | -3.3% | 14.9% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 249 | 47% | -90 | -3.6% | 15.4% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 249 | 47% | -196 | -3.9% | 30.4% | Select |
| Martingale | 182 | 47% | -375 | -5.9% | 66.6% | Selected |
| 5% of bankroll | 249 | 47% | -595 | -4.8% | 72.8% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 249 | 47% | -1439 | -6% | 131.7% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 182, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.07.26 | INOX Division – G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 2.13 | 616 | lost | -616 | 625 |
| 26.07.26 | INOX Division – Phantom | Phantom | 2.02 | 320 | lost | -320 | 1241 |
| 26.07.26 | NEW VISION – ex-MANA | NEW VISION | 2.07 | 160 | lost | -160 | 1561 |
| 25.07.26 | Privateer – ROUNDS | ROUNDS | 1.91 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1721 |
| 25.07.26 | los kogutos – Entropy | los kogutos | 2.04 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1801 |
| 25.07.26 | HOTU – INFINITE | INFINITE | 2.28 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1841 |
| 25.07.26 | STATE – Fortress | Fortress | 2.42 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1861 |
| 25.07.26 | Omega – NOVAQ | NOVAQ | 2.20 | 20 | won | +24 | 1871 |
| 25.07.26 | The Huns – 5star | 5star | 1.95 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1847 |
| 24.07.26 | Privateer – Misa | Misa | 2.10 | 80 | won | +88 | 1857 |
| 24.07.26 | Astralis – HEROIC | Astralis | 1.89 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1769 |
| 24.07.26 | megoshort – ROUNDS | megoshort | 2.24 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1809 |
| 23.07.26 | 100 Thieves – Nuclear TigeRES | 100 Thieves | 1.90 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1829 |
| 22.07.26 | 100 Thieves – Falcons | 100 Thieves | 2.29 | 20 | won | +26 | 1839 |
| 22.07.26 | Eternal Fire – CYBERSHOKE | CYBERSHOKE | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1813 |
| 22.07.26 | Aurora – K27 | Aurora | 1.93 | 320 | won | +297 | 1823 |
| 21.07.26 | Procyon – ALKA | Procyon | 2.06 | 160 | lost | -160 | 1526 |
| 21.07.26 | 3DMAX – Gentle Mates | 3DMAX | 2.48 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1686 |
| 21.07.26 | HOTU – HEROIC | HEROIC | 2.43 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1766 |
| 21.07.26 | Honvéd – Misa | Misa | 2.35 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1806 |
| 21.07.26 | BET-M – CYBERSHOKE | BET-M | 1.93 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1826 |
| 21.07.26 | Mai Tai – eternal premium | Mai Tai | 2.01 | 40 | won | +41 | 1836 |
| 20.07.26 | Misa – Lilmix | Lilmix | 2.03 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1796 |
| 19.07.26 | Citron – Dhala | Dhala | 1.95 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1816 |
| 19.07.26 | Mai Tai – ROUNDS | Mai Tai | 2.27 | 10 | won | +13 | 1826 |
| 19.07.26 | FlyQuest – Ground Zero | FlyQuest | 1.92 | 10 | won | +9 | 1813 |
| 18.07.26 | HEROIC – K27 | HEROIC | 2.25 | 40 | won | +50 | 1804 |
| 18.07.26 | Privateer – The Last Resort | Privateer | 1.97 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1754 |
| 18.07.26 | Blitzkrieg – Vasco | Vasco | 2.24 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1774 |
| 18.07.26 | THUNDER dOWNUNDER – Ground Zero | THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 2.11 | 20 | won | +22 | 1784 |
| 17.07.26 | BIG Academy – DONSTU | DONSTU | 2.16 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1762 |
| 16.07.26 | Imperial – Fluxo | Fluxo | 2.28 | 10 | won | +13 | 1772 |
| 16.07.26 | 3DMAX – paiN | 3DMAX | 2.26 | 10 | won | +13 | 1759 |
| 16.07.26 | Entropy – Misa | Misa | 2.12 | 20 | won | +22 | 1746 |
| 15.07.26 | Bounty Hunters – Keyd Stars | Keyd Stars | 1.90 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1724 |
| 15.07.26 | Entropy – Honvéd | Entropy | 2.38 | 10 | won | +14 | 1734 |
| 14.07.26 | BIG Academy – ex-MANA | BIG Academy | 1.95 | 10 | won | +9 | 1720 |
| 13.07.26 | Inner Circle Academy – BIG Academy | BIG Academy | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1711 |
| 13.07.26 | LP – Imperial | Imperial | 2.11 | 20 | won | +22 | 1701 |
| 12.07.26 | fnatic – Misa | Misa | 2.18 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1678 |
| 12.07.26 | QUAZAR – The Last Resort | The Last Resort | 2.18 | 10 | won | +12 | 1688 |
| 11.07.26 | Virtus.pro – Inner Circle | Inner Circle | 1.92 | 10 | won | +9 | 1677 |
| 11.07.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – Enjoy | BASEMENT BOYS | 2.19 | 10 | won | +12 | 1667 |
| 10.07.26 | Lynn Vision – Ground Zero | Lynn Vision | 2.22 | 20 | won | +24 | 1656 |
| 09.07.26 | Bounty Hunters – Fluxo | Fluxo | 2.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1631 |
| 06.07.26 | Fluxo – paiN Academy | Fluxo | 1.99 | 160 | won | +158 | 1641 |
| 04.07.26 | Diamant – Phantom Academy | Diamant | 1.96 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1483 |
| 02.07.26 | Yawara – Red Feet | Red Feet | 1.96 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1563 |
| 02.07.26 | Atreides – Subtop De France | Subtop De France | 2.05 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1603 |
| 02.07.26 | 3DMAX – EYEBALLERS | 3DMAX | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1623 |
| 01.07.26 | 9z – EYEBALLERS | EYEBALLERS | 1.92 | 20 | won | +18 | 1633 |
| 01.07.26 | Blitzkrieg – Vasco | Vasco | 2.20 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1615 |
| 29.06.26 | Phantom Academy – DH Premium | Phantom Academy | 1.96 | 160 | won | +153 | 1625 |
| 29.06.26 | Enjoy – Sashi Academy | Sashi Academy | 2.33 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1472 |
| 28.06.26 | 6666 – BERG | 6666 | 2.03 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1552 |
| 27.06.26 | train launcher – roamsfiest | train launcher | 1.95 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1592 |
| 26.06.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – PCIFIC | PCIFIC | 2.04 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1612 |
| 26.06.26 | Johnny Speeds – ReThink | ReThink | 1.93 | 20 | won | +19 | 1622 |
| 26.06.26 | Clutchain fe – MIBR fe | Clutchain fe | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1603 |
| 25.06.26 | Keyd Stars – UNO MILLE | UNO MILLE | 2.02 | 20 | won | +20 | 1613 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.