Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
-1000u
ROI
-23.7%
win rate
48%
bets
110
drawdown
100%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Always the underdog
💰
Stake size
Martingale
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+0u
period 3profit withdrawn+0u
period 2profit withdrawn+0u
period 1top-up-1000u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 2438 | 47% | -713 | -3.3% | 77.6% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 2438 | 47% | -728 | -3% | 80.8% | Select |
| Martingale | 110 | 48% | -1000 | -23.7% | 100% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 2438 | 47% | -1381 | -3.6% | 132.2% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 2438 | 47% | -2940 | -4.6% | 274.8% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 2438 | 47% | -3902 | -6.5% | 345.2% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 110, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.05.26 | Falcons – M80 | M80 | 2.02 | 132 | lost | -132 | 0 |
| 20.05.26 | Kinoa – BIG Academy | Kinoa | 1.89 | 640 | lost | -640 | 132 |
| 20.05.26 | The MongolZ – B8 | The MongolZ | 1.95 | 320 | lost | -320 | 772 |
| 20.05.26 | AM – Falcons Force | Falcons Force | 1.89 | 160 | lost | -160 | 1092 |
| 20.05.26 | Young Ninjas – Misa | Young Ninjas | 1.95 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1252 |
| 20.05.26 | MIBR – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 1.89 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1332 |
| 20.05.26 | Falcons – BC.Game | BC.Game | 1.95 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1372 |
| 20.05.26 | Legacy – NRG | NRG | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1392 |
| 20.05.26 | MOUZ – TYLOO | TYLOO | 2.02 | 20 | won | +20 | 1402 |
| 20.05.26 | B8 – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1.95 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1382 |
| 20.05.26 | The MongolZ – Lynn Vision | The MongolZ | 2.03 | 40 | won | +41 | 1392 |
| 20.05.26 | 3DMAX – MIBR | 3DMAX | 1.89 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1351 |
| 20.05.26 | PARIVISION – Liquid | Liquid | 1.95 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1371 |
| 20.05.26 | MIBR Academy – Procyon | Procyon | 1.95 | 20 | won | +19 | 1381 |
| 19.05.26 | ex-KRÜ – paiN Academy | ex-KRÜ | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1362 |
| 19.05.26 | FOKUS – Oxuji | FOKUS | 1.95 | 10 | won | +10 | 1372 |
| 19.05.26 | Ursa – ALGO | Ursa | 2.03 | 10 | won | +10 | 1362 |
| 19.05.26 | fnatic – Falcons Force | fnatic | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 1352 |
| 19.05.26 | R2 – METANOIA Wolves | METANOIA Wolves | 2.03 | 10 | won | +10 | 1343 |
| 19.05.26 | Oramond – Lavked | Oramond | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 1333 |
| 19.05.26 | Phantom – TNC | Phantom | 1.95 | 20 | won | +19 | 1324 |
| 19.05.26 | 100 Thieves – Nuclear TigeRES | 100 Thieves | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1305 |
| 19.05.26 | ASTRAL – CYBERSHOKE Prospects | CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 1.96 | 10 | won | +10 | 1315 |
| 19.05.26 | PsychoFace – HEROIC Academy | PsychoFace | 1.95 | 20 | won | +19 | 1305 |
| 19.05.26 | AM – BRUTE | AM | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1286 |
| 19.05.26 | Bebop – Misa | Bebop | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 1296 |
| 19.05.26 | HOTU – Sashi | HOTU | 1.89 | 20 | won | +18 | 1287 |
| 19.05.26 | Eternal Fire – Rune Eaters | Rune Eaters | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1270 |
| 19.05.26 | Nemiga – TDK | Nemiga | 1.95 | 10 | won | +10 | 1280 |
| 19.05.26 | ex-RUBY – GenOne | ex-RUBY | 2.03 | 80 | won | +82 | 1270 |
| 19.05.26 | Hashiras – Young Ninjas | Young Ninjas | 1.96 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1188 |
| 19.05.26 | VEXA – UNO MILLE | VEXA | 1.95 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1228 |
| 19.05.26 | HereWeGoAgain – Red Feet | HereWeGoAgain | 1.95 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1248 |
| 18.05.26 | Galorys – paiN Academy | Galorys | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1258 |
| 18.05.26 | VEXA – Blitzkrieg | VEXA | 2.02 | 20 | won | +20 | 1248 |
| 18.05.26 | Oramond – ALGO | Oramond | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1227 |
| 18.05.26 | Yawara – ex-KRÜ | Yawara | 1.89 | 20 | won | +18 | 1237 |
| 18.05.26 | BET-M – Tricked | BET-M | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1219 |
| 18.05.26 | ex-RUBY – ASTRAL | ASTRAL | 1.95 | 80 | won | +76 | 1229 |
| 18.05.26 | PsychoFace – Leo | PsychoFace | 1.89 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1153 |
| 18.05.26 | EAC – GenOne | EAC | 1.95 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1193 |
| 18.05.26 | illwill – ex-RUBY | illwill | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1213 |
| 18.05.26 | AM – megoshort | AM | 1.89 | 320 | won | +284 | 1223 |
| 18.05.26 | Ursa – Lazer Cats | Ursa | 1.89 | 160 | lost | -160 | 939 |
| 18.05.26 | SPARTA – Just Players | SPARTA | 2.10 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1099 |
| 18.05.26 | Nemesis – Walczaki | Nemesis | 1.95 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1179 |
| 18.05.26 | fnatic – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.95 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1219 |
| 18.05.26 | GUARA – Vasco | Vasco | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1239 |
| 18.05.26 | UNO MILLE – GUARA | UNO MILLE | 2.03 | 10 | won | +10 | 1249 |
| 18.05.26 | Procyon – BESTIA Academy | BESTIA Academy | 1.89 | 20 | won | +18 | 1239 |
| 18.05.26 | METANOIA Wolves – paiN Academy | METANOIA Wolves | 1.95 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1221 |
| 17.05.26 | ALKA – MIBR Academy | ALKA | 1.96 | 10 | won | +10 | 1231 |
| 17.05.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – Endless Journey | Endless Journey | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 1222 |
| 17.05.26 | ex-KRÜ – BESTIA Academy | ex-KRÜ | 2.02 | 20 | won | +20 | 1213 |
| 17.05.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 1.95 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1192 |
| 17.05.26 | BRUTE – Rune Eaters | BRUTE | 1.96 | 80 | won | +77 | 1202 |
| 17.05.26 | SHISHKA – Endless Journey | SHISHKA | 1.95 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1126 |
| 17.05.26 | Vasco – METANOIA Wolves | Vasco | 1.95 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1166 |
| 17.05.26 | Legacy – BetBoom | BetBoom | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1186 |
| 17.05.26 | MASONIC – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 1196 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.