Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match β the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
-38u
ROI
-1.5%
win rate
47%
bets
249
drawdown
22.3%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
π―
What we bet on
Always the underdog
π°
Stake size
Flat (10 units)
π
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
π
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin β this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-38u
period 3top-up-61u
period 2top-up-0u
period 1profit withdrawn+61u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 249 | 47% | +1683 | +19.5% | 27.1% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 249 | 47% | -38 | -1.5% | 22.3% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 249 | 47% | -47 | -1.9% | 22.4% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 249 | 47% | -112 | -2.3% | 40.3% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 249 | 47% | -396 | -3.4% | 77.8% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 249 | 47% | -1087 | -5.1% | 116.4% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 249, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | Β±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.08.26 | Black Phoenix β Bushido Wildcats | Black Phoenix | 2.78 | 10 | won | +18 | 962 |
| 18.08.26 | Permitta β OG | OG | 1.94 | 10 | won | +9 | 944 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega β Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 2.29 | 10 | won | +13 | 935 |
| 17.08.26 | Enjoy β HAVU | HAVU | 2.66 | 10 | won | +17 | 922 |
| 17.08.26 | paiN Academy β QUINTESSΓNCIA | paiN Academy | 2.16 | 10 | lost | -10 | 905 |
| 16.08.26 | Keyd Stars β Imperial | Keyd Stars | 2.21 | 10 | lost | -10 | 915 |
| 16.08.26 | FORZE Reload β DONSTU | DONSTU | 2.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 925 |
| 15.08.26 | MOUZ NXT β ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 1.98 | 10 | won | +10 | 935 |
| 15.08.26 | GUESS β Arch | GUESS | 1.94 | 10 | won | +9 | 925 |
| 14.08.26 | Galorys β BORRACHEIROS | BORRACHEIROS | 1.93 | 10 | lost | -10 | 916 |
| 14.08.26 | FUT β MOUZ | FUT | 2.30 | 10 | won | +13 | 926 |
| 14.08.26 | Misa β Leo | Misa | 2.55 | 10 | won | +16 | 913 |
| 14.08.26 | Pugdesonesto β ALKA | Pugdesonesto | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 898 |
| 13.08.26 | BERG β Endless Journey | BERG | 2.16 | 10 | won | +12 | 908 |
| 12.08.26 | 9z β paiN | paiN | 2.29 | 10 | lost | -10 | 896 |
| 12.08.26 | Spirit β JiJieHao | JiJieHao | 2.23 | 10 | won | +12 | 906 |
| 09.08.26 | HOTU β JiJieHao | JiJieHao | 2.44 | 10 | won | +14 | 894 |
| 09.08.26 | 1win β Liquid | Liquid | 1.95 | 10 | lost | -10 | 879 |
| 09.08.26 | 9INE β HOTU | 9INE | 2.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | 889 |
| 09.08.26 | Fluxo β fnatic | Fluxo | 2.13 | 10 | lost | -10 | 899 |
| 08.08.26 | ALKA β paiN Academy | paiN Academy | 2.03 | 10 | lost | -10 | 909 |
| 08.08.26 | Iberian Soul β 6666 | 6666 | 2.26 | 10 | lost | -10 | 919 |
| 08.08.26 | Procyon β ODDIK Academy | Procyon | 2.15 | 10 | won | +11 | 929 |
| 08.08.26 | EYEBALLERS β Phantom | EYEBALLERS | 2.33 | 10 | won | +13 | 918 |
| 08.08.26 | Dhala β Prestige | Dhala | 2.07 | 10 | lost | -10 | 905 |
| 07.08.26 | BRUTE β NAVI Junior | NAVI Junior | 2.52 | 10 | won | +15 | 915 |
| 07.08.26 | Walczaki β Black Phoenix | Walczaki | 2.07 | 10 | lost | -10 | 899 |
| 07.08.26 | INFINITE β Aogiri | Aogiri | 2.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | 909 |
| 06.08.26 | Sashi β Nuclear TigeRES | Sashi | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 919 |
| 06.08.26 | BESTIA β GrΓͺmio | GrΓͺmio | 2.32 | 10 | lost | -10 | 929 |
| 05.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC β Butterfly | ex-RUSTEC | 1.92 | 10 | lost | -10 | 939 |
| 04.08.26 | UNO MILLE β ALKA | ALKA | 1.91 | 10 | won | +9 | 949 |
| 04.08.26 | Just Players β Enjoy | Just Players | 2.09 | 10 | won | +11 | 940 |
| 04.08.26 | Liquid β 9INE | 9INE | 1.91 | 10 | lost | -10 | 929 |
| 04.08.26 | Finishers β Mindfreak | Mindfreak | 1.96 | 10 | won | +10 | 939 |
| 04.08.26 | G2 Ares β Johnny Speeds | G2 Ares | 1.96 | 10 | lost | -10 | 930 |
| 04.08.26 | Yawara β ex-GUARA | ex-GUARA | 1.90 | 10 | lost | -10 | 940 |
| 03.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats β Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 2.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 950 |
| 03.08.26 | Leo β Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 2.49 | 10 | lost | -10 | 960 |
| 03.08.26 | fnatic β Metizport | Metizport | 2.26 | 10 | lost | -10 | 970 |
| 02.08.26 | Fortress β los kogutos | Fortress | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 980 |
| 02.08.26 | Leo β ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 2.76 | 10 | won | +18 | 990 |
| 02.08.26 | MOUZ NXT β WBT | MOUZ NXT | 2.40 | 10 | lost | -10 | 972 |
| 02.08.26 | Omega β DEPO | DEPO | 2.17 | 10 | lost | -10 | 982 |
| 01.08.26 | Black Phoenix β Just Players | Black Phoenix | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 992 |
| 01.08.26 | The Last Resort β Betclic | Betclic | 2.21 | 10 | won | +12 | 982 |
| 01.08.26 | Trouble makers β ZWAW | ZWAW | 2.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 970 |
| 01.08.26 | Liquid β atputies | atputies | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 980 |
| 01.08.26 | DEPO β DONSTU | DONSTU | 2.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 990 |
| 31.07.26 | Fluxo β Imperial | Fluxo | 1.91 | 10 | won | +9 | 1000 |
| 31.07.26 | CYBERSHOKE β STATE | CYBERSHOKE | 2.04 | 10 | won | +10 | 991 |
| 31.07.26 | ROUNDS β Trainwrecks | ROUNDS | 1.98 | 10 | lost | -10 | 980 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU β G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 2.67 | 10 | won | +17 | 990 |
| 31.07.26 | FaZe β The MongolZ | The MongolZ | 1.98 | 10 | lost | -10 | 974 |
| 31.07.26 | HAVU β BC.Game | HAVU | 1.99 | 10 | lost | -10 | 984 |
| 31.07.26 | BASEMENT BOYS β Lazer Cats | Lazer Cats | 2.36 | 10 | won | +14 | 994 |
| 31.07.26 | regain β Chicken Coop | regain | 2.22 | 10 | won | +12 | 980 |
| 30.07.26 | Liquid β Spirit | Liquid | 2.66 | 10 | lost | -10 | 968 |
| 30.07.26 | Black Phoenix β Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 1.98 | 10 | lost | -10 | 978 |
| 30.07.26 | NRG β Marsborne | NRG | 2.09 | 10 | won | +11 | 988 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.