Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
+130u
ROI
+1.4%
win rate
50%
bets
249
drawdown
61%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Always the underdog
💰
Stake size
Martingale
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-757u
period 3profit withdrawn+368u
period 2profit withdrawn+480u
period 1profit withdrawn+38u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5% of bankroll | 249 | 50% | +253 | +1.9% | 39.4% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 249 | 50% | +199 | +0.7% | 68.3% | Select |
| Martingale | 249 | 50% | +130 | +1.4% | 61% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 249 | 50% | +130 | +2.5% | 22.5% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 249 | 50% | +72 | +2.9% | 13.3% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 249 | 50% | +69 | +2.7% | 13.3% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 249, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.08.26 | PCIFIC – SPARTA | SPARTA | 1.99 | 122 | won | +121 | 1130 |
| 18.08.26 | Entropy – PCIFIC | Entropy | 2.11 | 640 | lost | -640 | 1009 |
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Misa | 3.50 | 320 | lost | -320 | 1649 |
| 18.08.26 | Fortress – ex-MANA | Fortress | 2.03 | 160 | lost | -160 | 1969 |
| 17.08.26 | Atreides – ex-Sashi Academy | Atreides | 2.06 | 80 | lost | -80 | 2129 |
| 17.08.26 | ALKA – QUINTESSÊNCIA | QUINTESSÊNCIA | 1.96 | 40 | lost | -40 | 2209 |
| 16.08.26 | EAC – Lavked | Lavked | 1.97 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2249 |
| 15.08.26 | JiJieHao – Aurora | JiJieHao | 1.98 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2269 |
| 15.08.26 | Leo – Misa | Misa | 2.28 | 40 | won | +51 | 2279 |
| 15.08.26 | Misa – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 2.07 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2227 |
| 14.08.26 | Mai Tai – UNiTY | Mai Tai | 2.34 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2247 |
| 14.08.26 | EAC – benched gods | EAC | 2.09 | 10 | won | +11 | 2257 |
| 14.08.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetBoom | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.14 | 20 | won | +23 | 2246 |
| 13.08.26 | Falcons – Astralis | Astralis | 2.44 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2224 |
| 13.08.26 | The Last Resort – HYPERSPIRIT | HYPERSPIRIT | 2.01 | 160 | won | +162 | 2234 |
| 12.08.26 | Falcons – K27 | K27 | 2.03 | 80 | lost | -80 | 2071 |
| 10.08.26 | Ground Zero – Mindfreak | Mindfreak | 2.13 | 40 | lost | -40 | 2151 |
| 09.08.26 | HEROIC – fnatic | HEROIC | 2.44 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2191 |
| 09.08.26 | DEPO – Game Point | Game Point | 2.23 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2211 |
| 09.08.26 | LFO 7 – Anteiku | LFO 7 | 1.89 | 20 | won | +18 | 2221 |
| 09.08.26 | INFINITE – 100 Thieves | INFINITE | 1.96 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2204 |
| 09.08.26 | JiJieHao – DENDELE | JiJieHao | 1.99 | 10 | won | +10 | 2214 |
| 08.08.26 | ABT – 9INE | 9INE | 1.92 | 80 | won | +74 | 2204 |
| 08.08.26 | eSuba – BRUTE | eSuba | 2.29 | 40 | lost | -40 | 2130 |
| 08.08.26 | 100 Thieves – NADE | NADE | 2.05 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2170 |
| 07.08.26 | Virtus.pro – Sangal | Sangal | 2.62 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2190 |
| 07.08.26 | NIO – Kreazion | Kreazion | 1.90 | 40 | won | +36 | 2200 |
| 07.08.26 | BIG – z to forward | z to forward | 1.89 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2164 |
| 06.08.26 | MAYBE – Jam | MAYBE | 2.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2184 |
| 06.08.26 | BET-M – SPARTA | BET-M | 2.16 | 160 | won | +185 | 2194 |
| 06.08.26 | Ground Zero – Abyssal | Abyssal | 2.21 | 80 | lost | -80 | 2009 |
| 04.08.26 | Galorys – MEIA NOITE | MEIA NOITE | 1.96 | 40 | lost | -40 | 2089 |
| 04.08.26 | ex-MANA – Bushido Wildcats | ex-MANA | 2.46 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2129 |
| 04.08.26 | Eternal Fire – INOX Division | Eternal Fire | 2.14 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2149 |
| 04.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Leo | Bushido Wildcats | 1.92 | 10 | won | +9 | 2159 |
| 04.08.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 2.43 | 160 | won | +229 | 2149 |
| 04.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – NEW VISION | NEW VISION | 2.64 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1921 |
| 03.08.26 | los kogutos – BASEMENT BOYS | los kogutos | 2.16 | 40 | lost | -40 | 2001 |
| 03.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 2.43 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2041 |
| 03.08.26 | ARCRED – Butterfly | ARCRED | 2.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2061 |
| 03.08.26 | Voca – NRG | NRG | 1.97 | 10 | won | +10 | 2071 |
| 03.08.26 | NRG – SportsBetExpert | NRG | 2.14 | 10 | won | +11 | 2061 |
| 02.08.26 | DragonClaw – Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 1.92 | 20 | won | +18 | 2050 |
| 02.08.26 | los kogutos – Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 1.90 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2031 |
| 02.08.26 | DEPO – THE UNIT | DEPO | 1.93 | 10 | won | +9 | 2041 |
| 01.08.26 | mellren – Spirit Academy | Spirit Academy | 2.16 | 20 | won | +23 | 2032 |
| 01.08.26 | atputies – The Last Resort | atputies | 2.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2009 |
| 01.08.26 | SINNERS – INOX Division | SINNERS | 3.60 | 20 | won | +52 | 2019 |
| 01.08.26 | Trouble makers – ZWAW | ZWAW | 2.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1967 |
| 01.08.26 | DONSTU – ALTAY | DONSTU | 2.06 | 10 | won | +11 | 1977 |
| 01.08.26 | DEPO – RayRay | DEPO | 2.00 | 80 | won | +80 | 1966 |
| 31.07.26 | Banda Chuya – mellren | Banda Chuya | 2.19 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1886 |
| 31.07.26 | BC.Game – Trainwrecks | Trainwrecks | 1.90 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1926 |
| 31.07.26 | K27 – Just Players | K27 | 2.22 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1946 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 2.67 | 20 | won | +33 | 1956 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – XCLAN | XCLAN | 2.54 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1923 |
| 31.07.26 | ROUNDS – BC.Game | BC.Game | 1.92 | 20 | won | +18 | 1933 |
| 30.07.26 | 3DMAX – MOUZ | 3DMAX | 2.42 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1915 |
| 30.07.26 | KUUSAMO – BOJONG | KUUSAMO | 2.02 | 20 | won | +20 | 1925 |
| 30.07.26 | Black Phoenix – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 1.98 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1904 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.