Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
-2827u
ROI
-15.3%
win rate
40%
bets
547
drawdown
233.7%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Always the underdog
payments
Stake size
5% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-515u
period 6top-up-798u
period 5top-up-360u
period 4top-up-461u
period 3top-up-250u
period 2top-up-600u
period 1profit withdrawn+156u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1% of bankroll | 547 | 40% | -696 | -13.8% | 74.3% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 547 | 40% | -731 | -13.4% | 78% | Select |
| Martingale | 51 | 49% | -854 | -37.2% | 88.3% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 547 | 40% | -1323 | -14.3% | 131.4% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 547 | 40% | -2827 | -15.3% | 233.7% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 547 | 40% | -4368 | -16.4% | 289.3% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 547, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | UPGRADE – Butterfly | Butterfly | 1.97 | 23 | won | +22 | -1827 |
| 14.10.26 | PCIFIC – Ryvex | PCIFIC | 1.92 | 22 | won | +20 | -1850 |
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | Sashi | 2.98 | 23 | lost | -23 | -1870 |
| 14.10.26 | Lynn Vision – Alter Ego | Lynn Vision | 2.03 | 22 | won | +23 | -1847 |
| 14.10.26 | Enjoy – B8 Academy | B8 Academy | 1.90 | 23 | lost | -23 | -1869 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | Omega | 2.11 | 25 | lost | -25 | -1846 |
| 13.10.26 | Liquid – BBL | BBL | 2.11 | 26 | lost | -26 | -1822 |
| 12.10.26 | Sangal – Betclic | Betclic | 2.45 | 27 | lost | -27 | -1796 |
| 12.10.26 | BORRACHEIROS – Bounty Hunters | BORRACHEIROS | 2.09 | 29 | lost | -29 | -1769 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 26 | won | +55 | -1740 |
| 11.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Just Players | Just Players | 1.97 | 27 | lost | -27 | -1795 |
| 11.10.26 | benched gods – Illyrians | Illyrians | 1.92 | 26 | won | +24 | -1768 |
| 10.10.26 | WBT Academy – Saint Sinners | Saint Sinners | 2.10 | 25 | won | +27 | -1792 |
| 10.10.26 | Ground Zero – KZG | KZG | 2.38 | 26 | lost | -26 | -1819 |
| 10.10.26 | Galorys – Turma do Pagode | Galorys | 1.90 | 25 | won | +22 | -1793 |
| 09.10.26 | Misa – 6666 | 6666 | 2.07 | 24 | won | +25 | -1815 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | Bebop | 3.08 | 21 | won | +44 | -1840 |
| 09.10.26 | Black Phoenix – Leo | Leo | 2.05 | 22 | lost | -22 | -1884 |
| 09.10.26 | Chicken Coop – DETONATE | DETONATE | 1.97 | 24 | lost | -24 | -1862 |
| 08.10.26 | SINNERS – Black Phoenix | SINNERS | 1.97 | 25 | lost | -25 | -1838 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | PRIVATE | 2.07 | 24 | won | +25 | -1813 |
| 08.10.26 | Azuolas – Misa | Azuolas | 2.43 | 25 | lost | -25 | -1839 |
| 08.10.26 | Rare Atom – Just Swing | Just Swing | 2.37 | 23 | won | +32 | -1814 |
| 08.10.26 | THE UNIT – The KnockoutX | THE UNIT | 1.95 | 25 | lost | -25 | -1846 |
| 08.10.26 | METANOIA Wolves – LP | METANOIA Wolves | 3.13 | 26 | lost | -26 | -1821 |
| 07.10.26 | Famalicão – Lazer Cats | Famalicão | 2.55 | 27 | lost | -27 | -1795 |
| 07.10.26 | RBLS – Famalicão | Famalicão | 2.40 | 29 | lost | -29 | -1768 |
| 07.10.26 | Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTEC | Iberian Soul | 2.40 | 27 | won | +37 | -1740 |
| 07.10.26 | MAYBE – ENCE | MAYBE | 2.35 | 28 | lost | -28 | -1777 |
| 07.10.26 | THE UNIT – XDM | XDM | 2.00 | 30 | lost | -30 | -1749 |
| 07.10.26 | Falcons Force – Orion Wanderers | Orion Wanderers | 2.11 | 31 | lost | -31 | -1719 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – Falcons Force | Falcons Force | 2.38 | 29 | won | +40 | -1688 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – Orion Wanderers | Orion Wanderers | 2.32 | 31 | lost | -31 | -1728 |
| 07.10.26 | Gothic – LPH | Gothic | 2.29 | 29 | won | +37 | -1698 |
| 06.10.26 | FURIA – Aurora | FURIA | 1.97 | 30 | lost | -30 | -1735 |
| 06.10.26 | Spirit – 1win | 1win | 2.41 | 28 | won | +40 | -1704 |
| 05.10.26 | PARIVISION – FURIA | PARIVISION | 2.32 | 30 | lost | -30 | -1744 |
| 03.10.26 | Aurora – 9z | 9z | 2.27 | 31 | lost | -31 | -1714 |
| 03.10.26 | regain – LAG | regain | 2.41 | 33 | lost | -33 | -1683 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Alliance | 3.45 | 35 | lost | -35 | -1650 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – BASEMENT BOYS | BASEMENT BOYS | 2.52 | 37 | lost | -37 | -1615 |
| 02.10.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – Glitch | Glitch | 2.15 | 39 | lost | -39 | -1578 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | XEPT | 3.30 | 41 | lost | -41 | -1540 |
| 02.10.26 | Bounty Hunters – MEIA NOITE | MEIA NOITE | 2.23 | 43 | lost | -43 | -1499 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – SportsBetExpert | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.56 | 40 | won | +62 | -1456 |
| 02.10.26 | Fire Flux – benched gods | benched gods | 2.15 | 42 | lost | -42 | -1518 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Sangal | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.09 | 44 | lost | -44 | -1477 |
| 02.10.26 | Astralis – FaZe | Astralis | 1.94 | 42 | won | +39 | -1433 |
| 02.10.26 | 1337 – NEXVOID | 1337 | 2.44 | 44 | lost | -44 | -1472 |
| 01.10.26 | FaZe – Nemiga | FaZe | 3.98 | 47 | lost | -47 | -1428 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | EAC | 2.71 | 43 | won | +73 | -1381 |
| 01.10.26 | Lavked – HYPERSPIRIT | HYPERSPIRIT | 1.97 | 45 | lost | -45 | -1454 |
| 01.10.26 | Astralis – Alliance | Astralis | 2.08 | 48 | lost | -48 | -1409 |
| 01.10.26 | ex-ODDIK – Mira | ex-ODDIK | 2.29 | 50 | lost | -50 | -1362 |
| 30.09.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Azuolas | 2.45 | 11 | lost | -11 | -1312 |
| 29.09.26 | MAYBE – Illyrians | MAYBE | 2.40 | 10 | won | +14 | -1301 |
| 29.09.26 | ARCRED – Rune Eaters | ARCRED | 1.97 | 9 | won | +9 | -1315 |
| 29.09.26 | DEPO – PAQT | PAQT | 2.36 | 9 | won | +12 | -1324 |
| 28.09.26 | Leo – Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 2.21 | 8 | won | +10 | -1336 |
| 28.09.26 | regain – LAG | regain | 2.21 | 9 | lost | -9 | -1347 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.