Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
-1144u
ROI
-11.5%
win rate
44%
bets
251
drawdown
121.9%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Always the underdog
💰
Stake size
5% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-401u
period 3top-up-388u
period 2top-up-526u
period 1profit withdrawn+171u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 251 | 44% | -248 | -10.3% | 34.1% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 251 | 44% | -252 | -10% | 35.2% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 251 | 44% | -487 | -10.6% | 62.1% | Select |
| Martingale | 17 | 35% | -1000 | -82.5% | 100% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 251 | 44% | -1144 | -11.5% | 121.9% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 251 | 44% | -2031 | -13.2% | 183.2% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 251, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | Lavked – ENCE | Lavked | 1.96 | 32 | lost | -32 | -144 |
| 20.08.26 | LPH – WBT | LPH | 2.00 | 33 | lost | -33 | -112 |
| 19.08.26 | Lavked – Revise | Lavked | 2.17 | 31 | won | +37 | -79 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 2.29 | 29 | won | +38 | -115 |
| 18.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – ex-RUSTEC | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.41 | 28 | won | +39 | -154 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 2.85 | 29 | lost | -29 | -192 |
| 16.08.26 | Legacy – MIBR | Legacy | 2.02 | 28 | won | +28 | -163 |
| 16.08.26 | Astralis – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Astralis | 1.93 | 26 | won | +24 | -192 |
| 16.08.26 | Nexus – Bushido Wildcats | Nexus | 2.41 | 28 | lost | -28 | -216 |
| 15.08.26 | Leo – Misa | Misa | 2.28 | 26 | won | +33 | -188 |
| 15.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – ENCE | MOUZ NXT | 2.15 | 25 | won | +28 | -222 |
| 14.08.26 | PARIVISION – 100 Thieves | PARIVISION | 2.32 | 23 | won | +31 | -250 |
| 14.08.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – Phantom Academy | Phantom Academy | 1.96 | 24 | lost | -24 | -281 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 2.61 | 26 | lost | -26 | -256 |
| 13.08.26 | ENCE – Enjoy | ENCE | 2.02 | 27 | lost | -27 | -231 |
| 13.08.26 | Luminosity – Spirit | Luminosity | 2.99 | 28 | lost | -28 | -204 |
| 12.08.26 | Wildcard – FURIA | Wildcard | 2.03 | 30 | lost | -30 | -176 |
| 12.08.26 | Luminosity – GamerLegion | Luminosity | 1.97 | 31 | lost | -31 | -146 |
| 09.08.26 | Jam – UNiTY | UNiTY | 2.33 | 33 | lost | -33 | -114 |
| 09.08.26 | Fluxo – fnatic | Fluxo | 2.13 | 35 | lost | -35 | -81 |
| 09.08.26 | FOKUS – Acend | FOKUS | 1.90 | 37 | lost | -37 | -46 |
| 09.08.26 | SINNERS – EYEBALLERS | SINNERS | 2.05 | 39 | lost | -39 | -10 |
| 08.08.26 | LPH – Nexus | Nexus | 1.97 | 37 | won | +36 | 29 |
| 08.08.26 | GenOne – Galactik rebels | Galactik rebels | 2.72 | 39 | lost | -39 | -7 |
| 08.08.26 | NAVI Junior – LPH | NAVI Junior | 2.23 | 41 | lost | -41 | 32 |
| 08.08.26 | K27 – SINNERS | SINNERS | 2.12 | 43 | lost | -43 | 73 |
| 08.08.26 | Echo – OG | OG | 2.11 | 45 | lost | -45 | 116 |
| 07.08.26 | FKOMAR – Iberian Soul | Iberian Soul | 1.92 | 43 | won | +40 | 161 |
| 07.08.26 | Inner Circle – NIO | NIO | 2.57 | 45 | lost | -45 | 121 |
| 07.08.26 | Just Players – Butterfly | Just Players | 2.09 | 48 | lost | -48 | 167 |
| 05.08.26 | GamersLab – Jam | GamersLab | 2.11 | 50 | lost | -50 | 215 |
| 05.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – Butterfly | ex-RUSTEC | 1.92 | 53 | lost | -53 | 265 |
| 05.08.26 | Betclic – Liquid | Betclic | 1.90 | 51 | won | +46 | 318 |
| 04.08.26 | Nemiga – GenOne | Nemiga | 2.89 | 53 | lost | -53 | 272 |
| 04.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Leo | Bushido Wildcats | 1.92 | 51 | won | +47 | 326 |
| 04.08.26 | Sashi – Phantom | Sashi | 1.94 | 49 | won | +46 | 279 |
| 04.08.26 | Grêmio – paiN Academy | Grêmio | 1.89 | 47 | won | +41 | 233 |
| 04.08.26 | Yawara – ex-GUARA | ex-GUARA | 1.89 | 49 | lost | -49 | 191 |
| 03.08.26 | Walczaki – ex-RUSTEC | Walczaki | 2.05 | 52 | lost | -52 | 240 |
| 03.08.26 | ARCRED – Butterfly | ARCRED | 2.05 | 54 | lost | -54 | 292 |
| 03.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – Misa | MOUZ NXT | 1.89 | 52 | won | +46 | 347 |
| 03.08.26 | Mindfreak – FURY | Mindfreak | 1.96 | 55 | lost | -55 | 300 |
| 02.08.26 | Vexar – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 2.34 | 51 | won | +69 | 355 |
| 02.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fire Flux | Bushido Wildcats | 1.99 | 49 | won | +48 | 286 |
| 02.08.26 | 6666 – 9INE | 6666 | 2.10 | 52 | lost | -52 | 238 |
| 02.08.26 | Lazer Cats – ex-1win | Lazer Cats | 1.94 | 49 | won | +47 | 289 |
| 01.08.26 | CYBERSHOKE – megoshort | megoshort | 2.41 | 52 | lost | -52 | 243 |
| 01.08.26 | ex-1win – INOX Division | ex-1win | 2.64 | 48 | won | +78 | 295 |
| 01.08.26 | Betclic – The Last Resort | Betclic | 2.25 | 45 | won | +57 | 216 |
| 01.08.26 | DEPO – DONSTU | DONSTU | 2.02 | 48 | lost | -48 | 160 |
| 01.08.26 | Trouble makers – THE UNIT | Trouble makers | 1.89 | 50 | lost | -50 | 207 |
| 31.07.26 | JiJieHao – Black Phoenix | Black Phoenix | 1.90 | 29 | won | +26 | 257 |
| 31.07.26 | HAVU – ROUNDS | ROUNDS | 1.89 | 31 | lost | -31 | 231 |
| 31.07.26 | FaZe – The MongolZ | The MongolZ | 1.98 | 32 | lost | -32 | 262 |
| 31.07.26 | INOX Division – Falcons Force | Falcons Force | 2.95 | 34 | lost | -34 | 294 |
| 31.07.26 | UNiTY – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 1.92 | 36 | lost | -36 | 328 |
| 31.07.26 | ROUNDS – BC.Game | BC.Game | 1.92 | 34 | won | +32 | 364 |
| 31.07.26 | Voca – SportsBetExpert | Voca | 2.06 | 33 | won | +35 | 333 |
| 31.07.26 | Atreides – Honvéd | Atreides | 2.17 | 34 | lost | -34 | 298 |
| 30.07.26 | 1win – Butterfly | 1win | 1.92 | 36 | lost | -36 | 332 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.