Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match β the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
-196u
ROI
-3.1%
win rate
47%
bets
624
drawdown
29%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
π―
What we bet on
Always the underdog
π°
Stake size
Flat (10 units)
π
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
π
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin β this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-212u
period 3profit withdrawn+28u
period 2profit withdrawn+6u
period 1top-up-19u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 624 | 47% | -196 | -3.1% | 29% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 624 | 47% | -207 | -3.5% | 28% | Select |
| Martingale | 172 | 47% | -329 | -5.5% | 62.1% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 624 | 47% | -437 | -3.9% | 51.5% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 624 | 47% | -1230 | -5.3% | 121.9% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 624 | 47% | -2607 | -8% | 221.6% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 624, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | Β±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | G2 β FURIA | G2 | 1.92 | 10 | lost | -10 | 804 |
| 20.08.26 | Lavked β ENCE | Lavked | 1.94 | 10 | lost | -10 | 814 |
| 20.08.26 | mellren β Bushido Wildcats | mellren | 2.46 | 10 | won | +15 | 824 |
| 20.08.26 | Metizport β Color | Metizport | 1.92 | 10 | won | +9 | 809 |
| 20.08.26 | HonvΓ©d β SAW Youngsters | SAW Youngsters | 2.17 | 10 | lost | -10 | 800 |
| 20.08.26 | Falcons β The MongolZ | The MongolZ | 2.49 | 10 | lost | -10 | 810 |
| 19.08.26 | FURIA β Aurora | FURIA | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 820 |
| 19.08.26 | HonvΓ©d β Bushido Wildcats | HonvΓ©d | 2.81 | 10 | won | +18 | 810 |
| 19.08.26 | Metizport β Fire Flux | Metizport | 1.92 | 10 | won | +9 | 791 |
| 19.08.26 | G2 β Astralis | Astralis | 2.11 | 10 | lost | -10 | 782 |
| 19.08.26 | Enjoy β ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.17 | 10 | won | +12 | 792 |
| 19.08.26 | MOUZ NXT β SPARTA | MOUZ NXT | 2.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 781 |
| 19.08.26 | Black Phoenix β Raccoons | Raccoons | 1.95 | 10 | won | +10 | 791 |
| 19.08.26 | HYPERSPIRIT β Permitta | Permitta | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 781 |
| 19.08.26 | SAW Youngsters β ex-MANA | SAW Youngsters | 1.92 | 10 | won | +9 | 791 |
| 19.08.26 | Inner Circle Academy β MOUZ NXT | MOUZ NXT | 1.96 | 10 | lost | -10 | 782 |
| 19.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats β Endless Journey | Endless Journey | 2.72 | 10 | lost | -10 | 792 |
| 18.08.26 | Color β The Last Resort | Color | 1.91 | 10 | won | +9 | 802 |
| 18.08.26 | DONSTU β MOUZ NXT | DONSTU | 1.99 | 10 | lost | -10 | 793 |
| 18.08.26 | Fortress β Permitta | Fortress | 2.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 803 |
| 18.08.26 | Color β Misa | Misa | 2.06 | 10 | lost | -10 | 813 |
| 18.08.26 | HonvΓ©d β Entropy | Entropy | 1.92 | 10 | lost | -10 | 823 |
| 18.08.26 | PCIFIC β Just Players | Just Players | 1.91 | 10 | won | +9 | 833 |
| 18.08.26 | G2 Ares β Permitta | G2 Ares | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 824 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats β Permitta | Permitta | 2.77 | 10 | lost | -10 | 834 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats β Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 2.85 | 10 | lost | -10 | 844 |
| 17.08.26 | mellren β Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 2.15 | 10 | lost | -10 | 854 |
| 17.08.26 | Raccoons β Fire Flux | Raccoons | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 864 |
| 17.08.26 | Atreides β ex-Sashi Academy | Atreides | 2.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | 855 |
| 17.08.26 | benched gods β Phantom Academy | benched gods | 2.03 | 10 | won | +10 | 865 |
| 16.08.26 | Legacy β MIBR | Legacy | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 854 |
| 16.08.26 | Keyd Stars β Imperial | Keyd Stars | 2.24 | 10 | lost | -10 | 844 |
| 16.08.26 | G2 Ares β Permitta | G2 Ares | 1.95 | 10 | lost | -10 | 854 |
| 16.08.26 | INOX Division β BASEMENT BOYS | BASEMENT BOYS | 2.21 | 10 | won | +12 | 864 |
| 16.08.26 | magic β 9z | magic | 1.95 | 10 | won | +10 | 852 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-MANA β ex-RUSTEC | ex-MANA | 2.36 | 10 | lost | -10 | 843 |
| 15.08.26 | Keyd Stars β Galorys | Keyd Stars | 2.00 | 10 | won | +10 | 853 |
| 15.08.26 | Lavked β OG | Lavked | 2.06 | 10 | won | +11 | 843 |
| 15.08.26 | magic β 3DMAX | 3DMAX | 2.49 | 10 | lost | -10 | 832 |
| 15.08.26 | Fire Flux β OG | OG | 2.00 | 10 | won | +10 | 842 |
| 15.08.26 | GUESS β Arch | GUESS | 1.94 | 10 | won | +9 | 832 |
| 15.08.26 | Bebop β HonvΓ©d | HonvΓ©d | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 823 |
| 15.08.26 | Misa β Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 2.06 | 10 | lost | -10 | 814 |
| 15.08.26 | Fire Flux β NEW VISION | NEW VISION | 2.46 | 10 | won | +15 | 824 |
| 14.08.26 | Galorys β BORRACHEIROS | BORRACHEIROS | 1.97 | 10 | lost | -10 | 809 |
| 14.08.26 | Lavked β BASEMENT BOYS | Lavked | 2.39 | 10 | won | +14 | 819 |
| 14.08.26 | OG β BAKS | OG | 1.97 | 10 | lost | -10 | 805 |
| 14.08.26 | ex-MANA β Lazer Cats | ex-MANA | 2.00 | 10 | won | +10 | 815 |
| 14.08.26 | Privateer β Fire Flux | Privateer | 2.23 | 10 | lost | -10 | 805 |
| 14.08.26 | Phantom Academy β Revise | Revise | 1.96 | 10 | won | +10 | 815 |
| 14.08.26 | EAC β benched gods | EAC | 2.09 | 10 | won | +11 | 806 |
| 14.08.26 | MOUZ NXT β Enjoy | MOUZ NXT | 2.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | 795 |
| 14.08.26 | HonvΓ©d β Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 2.08 | 10 | won | +11 | 805 |
| 14.08.26 | HYPERSPIRIT β Bebop | Bebop | 1.97 | 10 | lost | -10 | 794 |
| 14.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves β paiN Academy | METANOIA Wolves | 2.32 | 10 | lost | -10 | 804 |
| 13.08.26 | Legacy β FaZe | Legacy | 1.99 | 10 | lost | -10 | 814 |
| 13.08.26 | Aurora β M80 | M80 | 2.15 | 10 | lost | -10 | 824 |
| 12.08.26 | Vitality β 100 Thieves | Vitality | 2.48 | 10 | won | +15 | 834 |
| 12.08.26 | Vexar β Raccoons | Vexar | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 819 |
| 12.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC β SAW Youngsters | SAW Youngsters | 2.24 | 10 | lost | -10 | 829 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.