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Always the underdog

CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-445u
ROI
-3.2%
win rate
45%
bets
1371
drawdown
61.5%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-5u
period 6top-up-111u
period 5top-up-33u
period 4profit withdrawn+37u
period 3top-up-216u
period 2top-up-159u
period 1profit withdrawn+42u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Flat (10 units)137145%-445-3.2%61.5%Select
1% of bankroll137145%-476-3.7%60.7%Select
Martingale8749%-696-21.5%78.3%Select
2% of bankroll137145%-998-4.2%109.4%Select
5% of bankroll137145%-2599-5.6%209.2%Select
10% of bankroll137145%-4585-7.9%254.9%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1371, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyB8 Academy1.9010lost-10555
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.0110lost-10565
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.2910won+13575
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.1110lost-10562
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.0410won+10572
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.1110lost-10562
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasInner Circle1.9910lost-10572
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersEnjoy1.9610lost-10582
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainOvertake Sector1.9610won+10592
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.6110lost-10582
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.1210won+21592
11.10.26XI – ASTRALXI2.2010won+12571
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersJust Players1.9710lost-10559
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.4510won+15569
11.10.26benched gods – IllyriansIllyrians1.9210won+9554
11.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Yawaraex-Keyd Stars1.9510won+10545
10.10.26Holy Cannoli – Unreal NightmareUnreal Nightmare2.1710won+12536
10.10.26Wildcard – Last Dance USLast Dance US2.1310lost-10524
10.10.26Bebop – 6666Bebop2.0910lost-10534
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakMindfreak2.5110lost-10544
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners2.1010won+11554
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsmadlikewizards2.7010lost-10543
10.10.26Desi Boyz – EMPIREEMPIRE1.9410won+9553
10.10.26regain – VillainousVillainous2.2610lost-10543
10.10.26Grêmio – BORRACHEIROSGrêmio1.9810lost-10553
10.10.26Isurus – ProcyonIsurus2.0810lost-10563
09.10.26Falcons – SpiritFalcons2.2910lost-10573
09.10.26Saint Sinners – Just PlayersSaint Sinners2.3510lost-10583
09.10.26FURIA – MOUZFURIA2.3410lost-10593
09.10.26WBT Academy – SAW YoungstersSAW Youngsters2.4710won+15603
09.10.26BORING PLAYERS – Chinggis WarriorsBORING PLAYERS2.1310lost-10589
09.10.26GamerLegion – SINNERSGamerLegion2.2410won+12599
09.10.26HOTU – AcendAcend2.7010lost-10586
09.10.26Black Phoenix – LeoLeo2.0510lost-10596
09.10.26Azuolas – EnjoyAzuolas2.8910won+19606
09.10.26regain – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.9710won+10587
09.10.26Grêmio – YawaraGrêmio2.0510lost-10578
09.10.26LP – Turma do PagodeLP2.2910won+13588
08.10.26INFINITE – G2 AresG2 Ares1.9910won+10575
08.10.26SINNERS – Black PhoenixSINNERS1.9710lost-10565
08.10.26FaZe – SangalFaZe2.5810won+16575
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEPRIVATE2.0710won+11559
08.10.26EAC – PUREEAC2.1210lost-10548
08.10.26Azuolas – MisaAzuolas2.4310lost-10558
08.10.26Alter Ego – KaleidoKaleido2.2010won+12568
08.10.26THE UNIT – The KnockoutXTHE UNIT1.9510lost-10556
08.10.26The Last Resort – PrivateerPrivateer2.8110won+18566
08.10.26HYPERSPIRIT – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya1.9610lost-10548
08.10.26Azuolas – Noir VerseAzuolas2.5310lost-10558
08.10.26OG – SangalOG2.2410lost-10568
08.10.26Banda Chuya – IllyriansBanda Chuya2.1910lost-10578
08.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ColorNuclear TigeRES2.0210won+10588
08.10.26Marsborne – Without a RoofWithout a Roof2.0410won+10578
08.10.26Galorys – GrêmioGrêmio2.9410won+19568
08.10.26METANOIA Wolves – LPMETANOIA Wolves3.1310lost-10548
08.10.26BESTIA Academy – ALKAALKA1.9010won+9558
07.10.26Famalicão – Lazer CatsFamalicão2.5510lost-10549
07.10.26Sangal – SAWSAW2.0910lost-10559
07.10.26Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTECIberian Soul2.4010won+14569
07.10.26BERG – LeoBERG3.0810lost-10555
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.