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Always the underdog

CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-654u
ROI
-4.8%
win rate
45%
bets
1373
drawdown
72.5%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-86u
period 6top-up-135u
period 5profit withdrawn+32u
period 4top-up-155u
period 3top-up-175u
period 2top-up-159u
period 1profit withdrawn+25u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Flat (10 units)137345%-654-4.8%72.5%Select
1% of bankroll137345%-674-5.2%73.6%Select
Martingale8748%-735-25.1%80.3%Select
2% of bankroll137345%-1365-5.7%136.6%Select
5% of bankroll137345%-3273-7%258.4%Select
10% of bankroll137345%-5259-8.8%299.7%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1373, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.5710lost-10346
14.10.26Astralis – SashiSashi2.4210lost-10356
14.10.26GenOne – 666666662.4110won+14366
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.0110lost-10352
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.2910won+13362
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.1110lost-10349
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.0410won+10359
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHaoJiJieHao1.9910lost-10349
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.4510lost-10359
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersEnjoy1.9610lost-10369
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainOvertake Sector1.9610won+10379
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.6110lost-10369
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.1210won+21379
11.10.26antidaun – Saint Sinnersantidaun1.9710lost-10358
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.4510won+15368
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersJust Players1.9710lost-10354
11.10.26benched gods – IllyriansIllyrians1.9210won+9364
11.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Yawaraex-Keyd Stars1.9510won+10354
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USLast Dance US3.3710lost-10345
10.10.26NRG – Unreal NightmareUnreal Nightmare2.4910lost-10355
10.10.26Bebop – 6666Bebop2.0910lost-10365
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakMindfreak2.5110lost-10375
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners2.1010won+11385
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsmadlikewizards2.7010lost-10374
10.10.26FarmVille – Wanted GoonsWanted Goons2.6310won+16384
10.10.26Club 333 – DETONATEDETONATE2.0110won+10368
10.10.26ALKA – MEIA NOITEMEIA NOITE2.2710won+13358
10.10.26Isurus – ProcyonIsurus2.0810lost-10345
09.10.26Falcons – SpiritFalcons2.2910lost-10355
09.10.26Iberian Soul – Noir VerseNoir Verse1.9310lost-10365
09.10.26FURIA – MOUZFURIA2.3410lost-10375
09.10.26Misa – 666666662.0710won+11385
09.10.26The Huns – Alter EgoThe Huns2.0110lost-10374
09.10.26GamerLegion – SINNERSGamerLegion2.2410won+12384
09.10.26HOTU – AcendAcend2.7010lost-10372
09.10.26mellren – BebopBebop3.0810won+21382
09.10.26Black Phoenix – LeoLeo2.0510lost-10361
09.10.26Villainous – Reign AboveVillainous2.2010won+12371
09.10.26LP – Turma do PagodeLP2.2910won+13359
09.10.26Bounty Hunters – ALKAALKA1.9610lost-10346
08.10.26INFINITE – G2 AresG2 Ares1.9910won+10356
08.10.26Saint Sinners – mellrenSaint Sinners2.5410won+15346
08.10.26FaZe – SangalFaZe2.5810won+16331
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEPRIVATE2.0710won+11315
08.10.26Azuolas – MisaAzuolas2.4310lost-10304
08.10.26EAC – PUREEAC2.1210lost-10314
08.10.26Lynn Vision – Chinggis WarriorsLynn Vision1.9110won+9324
08.10.26bLight blue – BORING PLAYERSbLight blue1.9410lost-10315
08.10.26THE UNIT – The KnockoutXTHE UNIT1.9510lost-10325
08.10.26ENCE – LFO 10LFO 102.1910lost-10335
08.10.26Azuolas – Noir VerseAzuolas2.5310lost-10345
08.10.26OG – SangalOG2.2410lost-10355
08.10.26Lavked – FortressFortress2.5110lost-10365
08.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ColorNuclear TigeRES2.0210won+10375
08.10.26Villainous – FarmVilleVillainous2.0610lost-10365
08.10.26BESTIA Academy – ALKAALKA1.9010won+9375
08.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – ex-Keyd Starsex-Keyd Stars2.0410won+10366
08.10.26Isurus – MEIA NOITEMEIA NOITE2.0710lost-10355
07.10.26Sangal – NAVI JuniorNAVI Junior2.8110won+18365
07.10.26Lazer Cats – NAVI JuniorNAVI Junior2.0710won+11347
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.