Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
-512u
ROI
-3.9%
win rate
45%
bets
319
drawdown
90.9%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Always the underdog
💰
Stake size
Martingale
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+0u
period 3top-up-1000u
period 2profit withdrawn+1004u
period 1top-up-516u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 618 | 47% | -186 | -3% | 34.6% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 618 | 47% | -206 | -3.4% | 34.4% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 618 | 47% | -445 | -3.8% | 64.8% | Select |
| Martingale | 319 | 45% | -512 | -3.9% | 90.9% | Selected |
| 5% of bankroll | 618 | 47% | -1279 | -5.1% | 144.5% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 618 | 47% | -2621 | -7% | 238.6% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 319, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04.07.26 | Alliance – 9z | 9z | 2.32 | 416 | lost | -416 | 488 |
| 04.07.26 | Enjoy – Endless Journey | Endless Journey | 1.90 | 320 | lost | -320 | 904 |
| 03.07.26 | Team Recrent – Team shoke | Team Recrent | 1.89 | 160 | lost | -160 | 1224 |
| 03.07.26 | FaZe – SINNERS | SINNERS | 2.09 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1384 |
| 03.07.26 | EYEBALLERS – TYLOO | EYEBALLERS | 1.89 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1464 |
| 03.07.26 | regain – raisedbypixels | raisedbypixels | 2.02 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1504 |
| 02.07.26 | Yawara – Red Feet | Red Feet | 1.96 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1524 |
| 02.07.26 | eSuba – DEFEATERS | eSuba | 1.95 | 320 | won | +304 | 1534 |
| 02.07.26 | BetBoom – BIG | BIG | 2.09 | 160 | lost | -160 | 1230 |
| 02.07.26 | Atreides – Subtop De France | Subtop De France | 2.05 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1390 |
| 02.07.26 | PARIVISION – TYLOO | PARIVISION | 2.01 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1470 |
| 02.07.26 | Lilmix – DONSTU | Lilmix | 2.20 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1510 |
| 02.07.26 | Alliance – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.26 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1530 |
| 01.07.26 | eSuba – Spirit HU | eSuba | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 1540 |
| 01.07.26 | SAW – Just Players | SAW | 2.36 | 40 | won | +55 | 1532 |
| 01.07.26 | Luminosity – Nemesis | Luminosity | 2.31 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1477 |
| 01.07.26 | Inner Circle Academy – Misa | Misa | 2.04 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1497 |
| 01.07.26 | Lilmix – Misa | Lilmix | 2.46 | 20 | won | +29 | 1507 |
| 01.07.26 | SAW – WBT | SAW | 1.98 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1478 |
| 30.06.26 | DH Premium – mXm | DH Premium | 1.95 | 20 | won | +19 | 1488 |
| 30.06.26 | Subtop De France – Julie&Cie | Julie&Cie | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1469 |
| 30.06.26 | DONSTU – Fortress | DONSTU | 2.01 | 10 | won | +10 | 1479 |
| 30.06.26 | regain – Villainous | regain | 2.02 | 160 | won | +163 | 1469 |
| 30.06.26 | Beyond Limits – Club 333 | Beyond Limits | 1.92 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1306 |
| 29.06.26 | Leo – BERG | BERG | 2.14 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1386 |
| 29.06.26 | BERG – Aimhaus | Aimhaus | 1.95 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1426 |
| 29.06.26 | MIBR Academy – Patins da Ferrari | MIBR Academy | 1.93 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1446 |
| 29.06.26 | ShindeN – LP | ShindeN | 2.36 | 80 | won | +109 | 1456 |
| 28.06.26 | METANOIA Wolves – GUARA | METANOIA Wolves | 1.93 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1347 |
| 28.06.26 | 6666 – SINQU REHTI | 6666 | 1.95 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1387 |
| 28.06.26 | Yawara – Blitzkrieg | Blitzkrieg | 2.03 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1407 |
| 28.06.26 | BERG – SINQU REHTI | BERG | 1.95 | 20 | won | +19 | 1417 |
| 28.06.26 | Leo – Coalesce | Coalesce | 2.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1398 |
| 27.06.26 | Bounty Hunters – UNO MILLE | UNO MILLE | 2.04 | 10 | won | +10 | 1408 |
| 27.06.26 | GameHunters – VEXA | GameHunters | 1.94 | 20 | won | +19 | 1398 |
| 27.06.26 | ex-KRÜ – MAGICOS | ex-KRÜ | 1.94 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1379 |
| 26.06.26 | roamsfiest – train launcher | train launcher | 1.96 | 20 | won | +19 | 1389 |
| 26.06.26 | Atrix – Clutchain fe | Atrix | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1370 |
| 26.06.26 | Sashi Academy – eternal premium | Sashi Academy | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 1380 |
| 26.06.26 | Entropy – DONSTU | Entropy | 2.16 | 20 | won | +23 | 1371 |
| 25.06.26 | Vasco – Isurus | Vasco | 2.14 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1348 |
| 25.06.26 | Keyd Stars – UNO MILLE | UNO MILLE | 2.02 | 20 | won | +20 | 1358 |
| 25.06.26 | EAC – Betclic | EAC | 2.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1337 |
| 25.06.26 | Sashi – AM | Sashi | 1.90 | 40 | won | +36 | 1347 |
| 25.06.26 | Rune Eaters – NOVAQ | Rune Eaters | 1.96 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1311 |
| 25.06.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – Dark Moon | Dark Moon | 2.30 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1331 |
| 24.06.26 | Keyd Stars – Yawara | Keyd Stars | 1.90 | 10 | won | +9 | 1341 |
| 24.06.26 | 9INE – GamerLegion | 9INE | 1.96 | 320 | won | +309 | 1332 |
| 24.06.26 | LEO SE – Venom | LEO SE | 1.89 | 160 | lost | -160 | 1024 |
| 24.06.26 | Sashi – Acend | Sashi | 1.96 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1184 |
| 24.06.26 | ex-MANA – Honvéd | Honvéd | 1.95 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1264 |
| 23.06.26 | K27 – Walczaki | K27 | 1.97 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1304 |
| 23.06.26 | FOKUS – OG | OG | 2.04 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1324 |
| 23.06.26 | Sashi – 9INE | Sashi | 1.94 | 80 | won | +75 | 1334 |
| 23.06.26 | Echo – Betclic | Betclic | 1.97 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1259 |
| 22.06.26 | Chicken Coop – Club 333 | Club 333 | 2.30 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1299 |
| 21.06.26 | Lilmix – ENERGYULTRA | Lilmix | 2.23 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1319 |
| 21.06.26 | ReThink – roamsfiest | roamsfiest | 2.03 | 20 | won | +21 | 1329 |
| 21.06.26 | Chicken Coop – Overtake Sector | Overtake Sector | 2.53 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1308 |
| 20.06.26 | Phantom – Walczaki | Phantom | 2.04 | 20 | won | +21 | 1318 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.