Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match β the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
-1000u
ROI
-52.6%
win rate
53%
bets
49
drawdown
100%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
π―
What we bet on
Always the underdog
π°
Stake size
Martingale
π
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
π
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin β this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+0u
period 3profit withdrawn+0u
period 2profit withdrawn+0u
period 1top-up-1000u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 618 | 46% | -261 | -4.4% | 38.1% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 618 | 46% | -297 | -4.8% | 41.3% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 618 | 46% | -469 | -4.1% | 61.6% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 618 | 46% | -991 | -3.8% | 99.5% | Select |
| Martingale | 49 | 53% | -1000 | -52.6% | 100% | Selected |
| 10% of bankroll | 618 | 46% | -1978 | -4.4% | 142.4% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 49, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | Β±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.05.26 | Gaimin Gladiators β Acend | Gaimin Gladiators | 2.10 | 612 | lost | -612 | 0 |
| 22.05.26 | AM β PsychoFace | PsychoFace | 1.96 | 320 | lost | -320 | 612 |
| 22.05.26 | Ursa β TNC | Ursa | 1.95 | 160 | lost | -160 | 932 |
| 22.05.26 | MOUZ β paiN | paiN | 1.94 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1092 |
| 22.05.26 | Falcons β Legacy | Legacy | 1.94 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1172 |
| 22.05.26 | Yawara β BESTIA Academy | BESTIA Academy | 1.89 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1212 |
| 21.05.26 | Isurus β Procyon | Procyon | 1.95 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1232 |
| 21.05.26 | OG β Rebels | OG | 2.01 | 10 | won | +10 | 1242 |
| 21.05.26 | ex-RUBY β Just Players | ex-RUBY | 2.09 | 40 | won | +43 | 1231 |
| 21.05.26 | LP β VEXA | VEXA | 1.94 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1188 |
| 21.05.26 | Betclic β Rebels | Betclic | 1.95 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1208 |
| 21.05.26 | AM β GenOne | AM | 1.94 | 10 | won | +9 | 1218 |
| 21.05.26 | Kinoa β ALGO | Kinoa | 1.95 | 10 | won | +9 | 1209 |
| 21.05.26 | Inner Circle β Acend | Acend | 1.96 | 40 | won | +38 | 1199 |
| 21.05.26 | Acend β KOLESIE | Acend | 1.89 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1161 |
| 21.05.26 | Passion UA β Metizport | Passion UA | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1181 |
| 21.05.26 | 1win β Nuclear TigeRES | 1win | 1.95 | 20 | won | +19 | 1191 |
| 21.05.26 | NRG β MOUZ | NRG | 1.95 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1172 |
| 21.05.26 | VEXA β Red Feet | VEXA | 2.09 | 10 | won | +11 | 1182 |
| 20.05.26 | ALGO β HEROIC Academy | HEROIC Academy | 1.95 | 10 | won | +10 | 1171 |
| 20.05.26 | fnatic β Oramond | Oramond | 2.03 | 40 | won | +41 | 1161 |
| 20.05.26 | Kinoa β BIG Academy | Kinoa | 1.89 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1120 |
| 20.05.26 | The MongolZ β B8 | The MongolZ | 1.95 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1140 |
| 20.05.26 | AM β Falcons Force | AM | 1.95 | 20 | won | +19 | 1150 |
| 20.05.26 | B8 β Ninjas in Pyjamas | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1.95 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1131 |
| 19.05.26 | R2 β METANOIA Wolves | METANOIA Wolves | 2.03 | 10 | won | +10 | 1141 |
| 19.05.26 | ASTRAL β CYBERSHOKE Prospects | CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 1.95 | 10 | won | +10 | 1131 |
| 19.05.26 | Phantom β TNC | Phantom | 1.95 | 20 | won | +19 | 1122 |
| 19.05.26 | Bebop β Misa | Misa | 1.95 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1102 |
| 19.05.26 | Eternal Fire β Rune Eaters | Eternal Fire | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 1112 |
| 18.05.26 | Galorys β paiN Academy | Galorys | 2.02 | 20 | won | +20 | 1104 |
| 18.05.26 | SPARTA β Just Players | SPARTA | 2.10 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1083 |
| 17.05.26 | ALKA β MIBR Academy | ALKA | 1.96 | 20 | won | +19 | 1093 |
| 17.05.26 | Vasco β METANOIA Wolves | Vasco | 1.95 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1074 |
| 17.05.26 | GenOne β ex-Zero Tenacity | GenOne | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 1084 |
| 17.05.26 | MASONIC β Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 1075 |
| 17.05.26 | R2 β HereWeGoAgain | R2 | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 1066 |
| 16.05.26 | A Great Chaos β MASONIC | MASONIC | 1.95 | 20 | won | +19 | 1057 |
| 16.05.26 | SHISHKA β CYBERSHOKE Prospects | SHISHKA | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1038 |
| 16.05.26 | Inner Circle Academy β HonvΓ©d | Inner Circle Academy | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 1048 |
| 16.05.26 | Lynn Vision β THUNDER dOWNUNDER | Lynn Vision | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 1039 |
| 16.05.26 | Johnny Speeds β Oxuji | Oxuji | 1.95 | 10 | won | +10 | 1030 |
| 16.05.26 | MASONIC β PURE | MASONIC | 1.89 | 20 | won | +18 | 1021 |
| 16.05.26 | SPARTA β Walczaki | SPARTA | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1003 |
| 16.05.26 | Keyd Stars β METANOIA Wolves | Keyd Stars | 1.89 | 40 | won | +35 | 1013 |
| 15.05.26 | FURIA β Falcons | FURIA | 1.89 | 20 | lost | -20 | 978 |
| 15.05.26 | MANA β Falcons Force | MANA | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 998 |
| 15.05.26 | Sashi β Oxuji | Sashi | 1.89 | 20 | won | +18 | 1008 |
| 15.05.26 | ORDALUK β Hapoka | ORDALUK | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 990 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.