Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
-3468u
ROI
-7.6%
win rate
44%
bets
1377
drawdown
320.1%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Always the underdog
payments
Stake size
5% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-193u
period 6top-up-879u
period 5top-up-577u
period 4top-up-390u
period 3top-up-570u
period 2top-up-452u
period 1top-up-407u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat (10 units) | 1377 | 44% | -732 | -5.3% | 80.7% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 1377 | 44% | -739 | -5.8% | 80.5% | Select |
| Martingale | 97 | 41% | -836 | -18.9% | 87.6% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 1377 | 44% | -1473 | -6.3% | 153.6% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 1377 | 44% | -3468 | -7.6% | 320.1% | Selected |
| 10% of bankroll | 1377 | 44% | -5672 | -9.6% | 440.2% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1377, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | FORZE Reload – LFO 10 | LFO 10 | 2.64 | 42 | lost | -42 | -2468 |
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – HOTU | fnatic | 2.03 | 40 | won | +41 | -2426 |
| 14.10.26 | PCIFIC – Ryvex | PCIFIC | 1.92 | 39 | won | +35 | -2467 |
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | Sashi | 2.98 | 41 | lost | -41 | -2503 |
| 14.10.26 | Banda Chuya – 6666 | Banda Chuya | 2.57 | 43 | lost | -43 | -2462 |
| 14.10.26 | HOTU – fnatic | fnatic | 1.93 | 45 | lost | -45 | -2419 |
| 14.10.26 | GenOne – 6666 | 6666 | 2.41 | 42 | won | +60 | -2374 |
| 13.10.26 | Grêmio – LOS NINOS | Grêmio | 2.01 | 44 | lost | -44 | -2434 |
| 13.10.26 | GenOne – Butterfly | Butterfly | 2.29 | 42 | won | +54 | -2390 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | Omega | 2.11 | 44 | lost | -44 | -2443 |
| 13.10.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Illyrians | Illyrians | 2.04 | 42 | won | +43 | -2399 |
| 13.10.26 | Liquid – BBL | BBL | 2.11 | 44 | lost | -44 | -2443 |
| 12.10.26 | Sangal – Betclic | Betclic | 2.45 | 46 | lost | -46 | -2399 |
| 12.10.26 | Enjoy – Saint Sinners | Enjoy | 1.96 | 49 | lost | -49 | -2353 |
| 12.10.26 | DETONATE – Iowa Stormboar | DETONATE | 2.18 | 51 | lost | -51 | -2304 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Yawara | 2.61 | 54 | lost | -54 | -2253 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 49 | won | +103 | -2199 |
| 11.10.26 | XI – ASTRAL | XI | 2.20 | 46 | won | +55 | -2302 |
| 11.10.26 | acidhouze – Inner Circle Academy | acidhouze | 2.45 | 43 | won | +62 | -2357 |
| 11.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Just Players | Just Players | 1.97 | 45 | lost | -45 | -2419 |
| 11.10.26 | Just Players – Misa | Misa | 2.55 | 47 | lost | -47 | -2374 |
| 11.10.26 | ex-Keyd Stars – Yawara | ex-Keyd Stars | 1.95 | 45 | won | +43 | -2327 |
| 10.10.26 | Without a Roof – Last Dance US | Last Dance US | 3.37 | 48 | lost | -48 | -2370 |
| 10.10.26 | NRG – Unreal Nightmare | Unreal Nightmare | 2.49 | 50 | lost | -50 | -2322 |
| 10.10.26 | Bebop – 6666 | Bebop | 2.09 | 53 | lost | -53 | -2272 |
| 10.10.26 | WBT Academy – Saint Sinners | Saint Sinners | 2.10 | 50 | won | +55 | -2219 |
| 10.10.26 | Abyssal – Mindfreak | Mindfreak | 2.51 | 53 | lost | -53 | -2274 |
| 10.10.26 | FlyQuest – madlikewizards | madlikewizards | 2.70 | 55 | lost | -55 | -2221 |
| 10.10.26 | Desi Boyz – EMPIRE | EMPIRE | 1.94 | 53 | won | +50 | -2166 |
| 10.10.26 | Club 333 – DETONATE | DETONATE | 2.01 | 50 | won | +51 | -2216 |
| 10.10.26 | ALKA – MEIA NOITE | MEIA NOITE | 2.27 | 47 | won | +60 | -2267 |
| 10.10.26 | Grêmio – BORRACHEIROS | Grêmio | 1.98 | 50 | lost | -50 | -2327 |
| 09.10.26 | Falcons – Spirit | Falcons | 2.29 | 53 | lost | -53 | -2277 |
| 09.10.26 | Saint Sinners – Just Players | Saint Sinners | 2.35 | 55 | lost | -55 | -2224 |
| 09.10.26 | FURIA – MOUZ | FURIA | 2.34 | 58 | lost | -58 | -2169 |
| 09.10.26 | Misa – 6666 | 6666 | 2.07 | 55 | won | +59 | -2111 |
| 09.10.26 | Saint Sinners – MOUZ NXT | MOUZ NXT | 2.13 | 58 | lost | -58 | -2170 |
| 09.10.26 | GamerLegion – SINNERS | GamerLegion | 2.24 | 55 | won | +68 | -2112 |
| 09.10.26 | HOTU – Acend | Acend | 2.70 | 58 | lost | -58 | -2180 |
| 09.10.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Azuolas | 2.89 | 53 | won | +100 | -2122 |
| 09.10.26 | Black Phoenix – Leo | Leo | 2.05 | 55 | lost | -55 | -2222 |
| 09.10.26 | Villainous – Reign Above | Villainous | 2.20 | 52 | won | +63 | -2166 |
| 09.10.26 | LP – Turma do Pagode | LP | 2.29 | 49 | won | +63 | -2229 |
| 09.10.26 | Procyon – BESTIA Academy | Procyon | 1.89 | 47 | won | +42 | -2293 |
| 08.10.26 | INFINITE – G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 1.99 | 45 | won | +44 | -2334 |
| 08.10.26 | Saint Sinners – mellren | Saint Sinners | 2.54 | 42 | won | +64 | -2379 |
| 08.10.26 | Lilmix – Fire Flux | Lilmix | 4.10 | 44 | lost | -44 | -2443 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | PRIVATE | 2.07 | 42 | won | +44 | -2399 |
| 08.10.26 | Azuolas – Misa | Azuolas | 2.43 | 44 | lost | -44 | -2444 |
| 08.10.26 | megoshort – Fire Flux | megoshort | 2.56 | 46 | lost | -46 | -2400 |
| 08.10.26 | bLight blue – BORING PLAYERS | bLight blue | 1.94 | 48 | lost | -48 | -2354 |
| 08.10.26 | HYPERSPIRIT – Banda Chuya | Banda Chuya | 1.97 | 51 | lost | -51 | -2305 |
| 08.10.26 | ENCE – LFO 10 | LFO 10 | 2.19 | 54 | lost | -54 | -2254 |
| 08.10.26 | The Last Resort – Privateer | Privateer | 2.81 | 49 | won | +89 | -2201 |
| 08.10.26 | Enjoy – 6666 | 6666 | 2.50 | 46 | won | +69 | -2290 |
| 08.10.26 | G2 Ares – RBLS | G2 Ares | 2.05 | 44 | won | +46 | -2359 |
| 08.10.26 | Acend – ex-Zero Tenacity | Acend | 2.52 | 40 | won | +62 | -2404 |
| 08.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Color | Nuclear TigeRES | 2.02 | 39 | won | +39 | -2466 |
| 08.10.26 | Wanted Goons – Iowa Stormboar | Wanted Goons | 2.93 | 41 | lost | -41 | -2505 |
| 08.10.26 | Galorys – Grêmio | Grêmio | 2.94 | 37 | won | +72 | -2465 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.