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Always the underdog

CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-422u
ROI
-3.1%
win rate
45%
bets
1375
drawdown
44.6%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-121u
period 6top-up-152u
period 5profit withdrawn+58u
period 4profit withdrawn+61u
period 3top-up-178u
period 2top-up-37u
period 1top-up-53u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Flat (10 units)137545%-422-3.1%44.6%Select
1% of bankroll137545%-458-3.4%48.1%Select
Martingale8444%-790-24.1%83.7%Select
2% of bankroll137545%-976-3.8%97.8%Select
5% of bankroll137545%-2677-5%236.3%Select
10% of bankroll137545%-5109-7.3%376.4%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1375, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26BET-M – FORZE ReloadBET-M2.1310lost-10578
14.10.26fnatic – SashiSashi2.9810lost-10588
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.5710lost-10598
14.10.26HOTU – fnaticfnatic1.9310lost-10608
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyB8 Academy1.9010lost-10618
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.0110lost-10628
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.2910won+13638
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.1110lost-10625
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.0410won+10635
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHaoJiJieHao1.9910lost-10625
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasInner Circle1.9910lost-10635
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersEnjoy1.9610lost-10645
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarDETONATE2.1810lost-10655
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.6110lost-10665
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.1210won+21675
11.10.26XI – ASTRALXI2.2010won+12654
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersJust Players1.9710lost-10642
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.4510won+14652
11.10.26benched gods – IllyriansIllyrians1.9210won+9637
11.10.26Galorys – MEIA NOITEMEIA NOITE2.8410lost-10628
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USLast Dance US3.3710lost-10638
10.10.26Wildcard – Last Dance USLast Dance US2.1310lost-10648
10.10.26Bebop – 6666Bebop2.0910lost-10658
10.10.26Lavked – FortressFortress2.4510lost-10668
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakMindfreak2.5110lost-10678
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsmadlikewizards2.7010lost-10688
10.10.26Ground Zero – KZGKZG2.3810lost-10698
10.10.26Club 333 – DETONATEDETONATE2.0110won+10708
10.10.26Galorys – Turma do PagodeGalorys1.9010won+9698
10.10.26Grêmio – BORRACHEIROSGrêmio1.9810lost-10689
09.10.26Falcons – SpiritFalcons2.2910lost-10699
09.10.26Iberian Soul – Noir VerseNoir Verse1.9310lost-10709
09.10.26FURIA – MOUZFURIA2.3410lost-10719
09.10.26Acend – NexusAcend2.0110lost-10729
09.10.26Vitalem Aerem – Rare AtomVitalem Aerem2.4810won+15739
09.10.26GamerLegion – SINNERSGamerLegion2.2410won+12724
09.10.26HOTU – AcendAcend2.7010lost-10712
09.10.26mellren – BebopBebop3.0810won+21722
09.10.26Black Phoenix – LeoLeo2.0510lost-10701
09.10.26Zomblers – Desi BoyzZomblers1.8910won+9711
09.10.26Procyon – BESTIA AcademyProcyon1.8910won+9702
09.10.26Bounty Hunters – ALKAALKA1.9610lost-10693
08.10.26INFINITE – G2 AresG2 Ares1.9910won+10703
08.10.26FaZe – SangalFaZe2.5810won+16693
08.10.26MOUZ NXT – HYPERSPIRITMOUZ NXT1.9510won+10677
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEPRIVATE2.0710won+11668
08.10.26Azuolas – MisaAzuolas2.4310lost-10657
08.10.26megoshort – Fire Fluxmegoshort2.5610lost-10667
08.10.26Lynn Vision – Chinggis WarriorsLynn Vision1.9110won+9677
08.10.26Alter Ego – KaleidoKaleido2.2010won+12668
08.10.26The Last Resort – PrivateerPrivateer2.8110won+18656
08.10.26HYPERSPIRIT – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya1.9710lost-10638
08.10.26Enjoy – 666666662.5010won+15648
08.10.26G2 Ares – RBLSG2 Ares2.0510won+10633
08.10.26Banda Chuya – IllyriansBanda Chuya2.1910lost-10622
08.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ColorNuclear TigeRES2.0210won+10632
08.10.26Villainous – FarmVilleVillainous2.0610lost-10622
08.10.26BESTIA Academy – ALKAALKA1.9010won+9632
08.10.26Isurus – MEIA NOITEMEIA NOITE2.0710lost-10623
08.10.26Galorys – GrêmioGrêmio2.9410won+19633
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.