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Always the underdog

CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-543u
ROI
-4%
win rate
45%
bets
1374
drawdown
63.9%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-29u
period 6top-up-82u
period 5profit withdrawn+32u
period 4top-up-155u
period 3top-up-175u
period 2top-up-159u
period 1profit withdrawn+25u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Flat (10 units)137445%-543-4%63.9%Select
1% of bankroll137445%-574-4.3%65.9%Select
Martingale8748%-735-25.1%80.3%Select
2% of bankroll137445%-1190-4.7%124.3%Select
5% of bankroll137445%-3016-5.9%244.5%Select
10% of bankroll137445%-5097-7.7%293.3%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1374, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26fnatic – SashiSashi2.9810lost-10457
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.5710lost-10467
14.10.26Astralis – SashiSashi2.4210lost-10477
14.10.26GenOne – 666666662.4110won+14487
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.0110lost-10473
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.2910won+13483
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.1110lost-10470
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.0410won+10480
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.1110lost-10470
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasInner Circle1.9910lost-10480
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersEnjoy1.9610lost-10490
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainOvertake Sector1.9610won+10500
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.6110lost-10490
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.1210won+21500
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.6410lost-10479
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.4510won+15489
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersJust Players1.9710lost-10474
11.10.26Just Players – MisaMisa2.5510lost-10484
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS2.1010won+11494
10.10.26Elusive – MarsborneElusive3.1510lost-10483
10.10.26Wildcard – Last Dance USLast Dance US2.1310lost-10493
10.10.26Bebop – 6666Bebop2.0910lost-10503
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners2.1010won+11513
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakMindfreak2.5110lost-10502
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsmadlikewizards2.7010lost-10512
10.10.26Club 333 – DETONATEDETONATE2.0110won+10522
10.10.26Ground Zero – KZGKZG2.3810lost-10512
10.10.26Grêmio – BORRACHEIROSGrêmio1.9810lost-10522
10.10.26Galorys – Turma do PagodeGalorys1.9010won+9532
09.10.26Falcons – SpiritFalcons2.2910lost-10523
09.10.26MOUZ NXT – LeoMOUZ NXT2.6110won+16533
09.10.26FURIA – MOUZFURIA2.3410lost-10517
09.10.26Acend – NexusAcend2.0110lost-10527
09.10.26BORING PLAYERS – Chinggis WarriorsBORING PLAYERS2.1310lost-10537
09.10.26GamerLegion – SINNERSGamerLegion2.2410won+12547
09.10.26HOTU – AcendAcend2.7010lost-10535
09.10.26mellren – BebopBebop3.0810won+21545
09.10.26Azuolas – EnjoyAzuolas2.8910won+19524
09.10.26Villainous – Reign AboveVillainous2.2010won+12505
09.10.26LP – Turma do PagodeLP2.2910won+13493
09.10.26Bounty Hunters – ALKAALKA1.9610lost-10480
08.10.26INFINITE – G2 AresG2 Ares1.9910won+10490
08.10.26FaZe – SangalFaZe2.5810won+16480
08.10.26SINNERS – Black PhoenixSINNERS1.9710lost-10464
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEPRIVATE2.0710won+11474
08.10.26megoshort – Fire Fluxmegoshort2.5610lost-10464
08.10.26Azuolas – MisaAzuolas2.4310lost-10474
08.10.26BERG – mellrenBERG3.3210lost-10484
08.10.26bLight blue – BORING PLAYERSbLight blue1.9410lost-10494
08.10.26Lynn Vision – Chinggis WarriorsLynn Vision1.9110won+9504
08.10.26The Last Resort – PrivateerPrivateer2.8110won+18495
08.10.26Enjoy – 666666662.5010won+15476
08.10.26G2 Ares – RBLSG2 Ares2.0510won+10461
08.10.26Banda Chuya – IllyriansBanda Chuya2.1910lost-10451
08.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ColorNuclear TigeRES2.0210won+10461
08.10.26Wanted Goons – Iowa StormboarWanted Goons2.9310lost-10451
08.10.26Isurus – MEIA NOITEMEIA NOITE2.0710lost-10461
08.10.26BESTIA Academy – ALKAALKA1.9010won+9471
08.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – ex-Keyd Starsex-Keyd Stars2.0410won+10462
07.10.26Famalicão – Lazer CatsFamalicão2.5510lost-10451
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.