Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
-274u
ROI
-2.1%
win rate
51%
bets
316
drawdown
68.3%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Always the underdog
💰
Stake size
Martingale
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+0u
period 3top-up-1000u
period 2profit withdrawn+169u
period 1profit withdrawn+558u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat (10 units) | 617 | 49% | +41 | +0.7% | 28.3% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 617 | 49% | +26 | +0.4% | 28.5% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 617 | 49% | +18 | +0.1% | 47% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 617 | 49% | -229 | -0.7% | 77.5% | Select |
| Martingale | 316 | 51% | -274 | -2.1% | 68.3% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 617 | 49% | -1304 | -2.3% | 108% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 316, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03.07.26 | SAW – Entropy | Entropy | 1.93 | 485 | lost | -485 | 726 |
| 03.07.26 | Honvéd – Subtop De France | Subtop De France | 1.90 | 320 | lost | -320 | 1212 |
| 03.07.26 | Luminosity – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Luminosity | 1.96 | 160 | lost | -160 | 1532 |
| 03.07.26 | EYEBALLERS – TYLOO | EYEBALLERS | 1.89 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1692 |
| 03.07.26 | regain – raisedbypixels | raisedbypixels | 2.02 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1772 |
| 02.07.26 | Entropy – Endless Journey | Entropy | 2.29 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1812 |
| 02.07.26 | BetBoom – BIG | BIG | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1832 |
| 02.07.26 | METANOIA Wolves – VEXA | VEXA | 1.93 | 10 | won | +9 | 1842 |
| 02.07.26 | Wampirki – SAW | SAW | 2.03 | 10 | won | +10 | 1832 |
| 02.07.26 | Luminosity – Lynn Vision | Lynn Vision | 1.93 | 20 | won | +19 | 1822 |
| 01.07.26 | BIG – Lynn Vision | Lynn Vision | 1.91 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1803 |
| 01.07.26 | PARIVISION – Alliance | PARIVISION | 2.61 | 80 | won | +129 | 1813 |
| 01.07.26 | Wampirki – Julie&Cie | Julie&Cie | 2.17 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1685 |
| 01.07.26 | Luminosity – Nemesis | Luminosity | 2.31 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1725 |
| 01.07.26 | Inner Circle Academy – Misa | Misa | 2.04 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1745 |
| 01.07.26 | 3DMAX – Ninjas in Pyjamas | 3DMAX | 2.21 | 40 | won | +48 | 1755 |
| 01.07.26 | Patins da Ferrari – GUARA | GUARA | 1.90 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1706 |
| 30.06.26 | bullpeek – mXm | bullpeek | 1.95 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1726 |
| 30.06.26 | Lilmix – NEW VISION | Lilmix | 2.18 | 10 | won | +12 | 1736 |
| 30.06.26 | BIG Academy – Wampirki | Wampirki | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1725 |
| 30.06.26 | Festina Lente – raisedbypixels | raisedbypixels | 2.03 | 10 | won | +10 | 1714 |
| 29.06.26 | Entropy – Mai Tai | Entropy | 2.10 | 40 | won | +44 | 1704 |
| 29.06.26 | SAW – megoshort | megoshort | 1.92 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1660 |
| 29.06.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Vasco | Vasco | 2.22 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1680 |
| 29.06.26 | UNO MILLE – ShindeN | ShindeN | 1.95 | 80 | won | +76 | 1690 |
| 28.06.26 | 6666 – BERG | 6666 | 2.03 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1614 |
| 28.06.26 | Fluxo – UNO MILLE | Fluxo | 2.03 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1654 |
| 28.06.26 | 6666 – SINQU REHTI | 6666 | 1.95 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1674 |
| 28.06.26 | ASTRAL – BERG | ASTRAL | 1.93 | 20 | won | +19 | 1684 |
| 28.06.26 | Aimhaus – Coalesce | Aimhaus | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1665 |
| 27.06.26 | Echo – Acend | Acend | 1.97 | 20 | won | +19 | 1675 |
| 27.06.26 | ReThink – roamsfiest | roamsfiest | 2.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1656 |
| 27.06.26 | GameHunters – VEXA | GameHunters | 1.94 | 10 | won | +9 | 1666 |
| 26.06.26 | MIBR Academy – Isurus | MIBR Academy | 1.92 | 10 | won | +9 | 1656 |
| 26.06.26 | roamsfiest – train launcher | train launcher | 1.96 | 10 | won | +10 | 1647 |
| 26.06.26 | Walczaki – Inner Circle | Inner Circle | 2.12 | 160 | won | +179 | 1638 |
| 26.06.26 | Fortress – Endless Journey | Fortress | 2.02 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1459 |
| 25.06.26 | Sashi – Inner Circle | Sashi | 1.94 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1539 |
| 25.06.26 | Vasco – Isurus | Vasco | 2.14 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1579 |
| 25.06.26 | Inner Circle – 9INE | 9INE | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1599 |
| 25.06.26 | The Huns – NOVAQ | The Huns | 1.89 | 40 | won | +36 | 1609 |
| 25.06.26 | DEPO – Dark Moon | Dark Moon | 2.00 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1574 |
| 25.06.26 | Rune Eaters – NOVAQ | Rune Eaters | 1.96 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1594 |
| 25.06.26 | DEPO – PCIFIC | PCIFIC | 1.90 | 20 | won | +18 | 1604 |
| 24.06.26 | train launcher – Venom | Venom | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1585 |
| 24.06.26 | Betclic – OG | Betclic | 2.19 | 10 | won | +12 | 1595 |
| 24.06.26 | Inner Circle – Sharks | Sharks | 2.08 | 10 | won | +11 | 1584 |
| 24.06.26 | AM – Eternal Fire | AM | 2.05 | 10 | won | +11 | 1573 |
| 23.06.26 | INFINITE – K27 | INFINITE | 1.96 | 20 | won | +19 | 1562 |
| 23.06.26 | Johnny Speeds – Venom | Venom | 1.99 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1543 |
| 23.06.26 | Sharks – Eternal Fire | Sharks | 2.24 | 160 | won | +198 | 1553 |
| 23.06.26 | FOKUS – OG | OG | 2.04 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1355 |
| 22.06.26 | Lilmix – ReThink | Lilmix | 2.40 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1435 |
| 21.06.26 | Virtus.pro – ex-RUBY | Virtus.pro | 1.94 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1475 |
| 21.06.26 | Echo – K27 | Echo | 1.97 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1495 |
| 21.06.26 | ReThink – roamsfiest | roamsfiest | 2.03 | 40 | won | +41 | 1505 |
| 21.06.26 | Chicken Coop – Overtake Sector | Overtake Sector | 2.53 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1464 |
| 20.06.26 | K27 – Acend | Acend | 1.90 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1484 |
| 20.06.26 | Echo – Inner Circle | Echo | 1.95 | 20 | won | +19 | 1494 |
| 20.06.26 | 1win – Virtus.pro | 1win | 2.23 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1475 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.