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Always the underdog

CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-2667u
ROI
-14.2%
win rate
43%
bets
620
drawdown
242.8%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Always the underdog

💰
Stake size

5% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-683u
period 3top-up-679u
period 2top-up-764u
period 1top-up-541u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
1% of bankroll62043%-697-12.4%72.4%Select
Flat (10 units)62043%-737-11.9%76.9%Select
Martingale3946%-1000-53.2%100%Select
2% of bankroll62043%-1311-12.9%131.1%Select
5% of bankroll62043%-2667-14.2%242.8%Select
10% of bankroll62043%-3686-15.5%304.7%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 620, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Lavked – ENCELavked1.9617lost-17-1667
20.08.26LPH – WBTLPH2.0018lost-18-1651
20.08.26Honvéd – SAW YoungstersSAW Youngsters2.1718lost-18-1633
20.08.26G2 Ares – BebopBebop1.9819lost-19-1614
20.08.26Bushido Wildcats – RaccoonsRaccoons2.3520lost-20-1595
19.08.26Permitta – Falcons ForceFalcons Force1.9820won+19-1575
19.08.26PCIFIC – SPARTASPARTA1.9919won+18-1594
19.08.26G2 – AstralisAstralis2.0620lost-20-1612
19.08.26Enjoy – ex-Zero Tenacityex-Zero Tenacity2.1719won+22-1592
19.08.26Lavked – ReviseLavked2.1717won+20-1614
19.08.26Misa – The Last ResortMisa2.1918lost-18-1635
19.08.26Mai Tai – HonvédMai Tai2.5719lost-19-1616
19.08.26MOUZ NXT – SPARTAMOUZ NXT2.0520lost-20-1597
19.08.26Inner Circle Academy – MOUZ NXTMOUZ NXT1.9321lost-21-1576
18.08.26Misa – Strael BoraMisa2.0920won+22-1555
18.08.26Lavked – HAVUHAVU1.9419won+18-1577
18.08.26Honvéd – Noir VerseNoir Verse1.9720lost-20-1595
18.08.26Color – MisaMisa2.0622lost-22-1575
18.08.26Omega – Fire FluxFire Flux2.2920won+26-1553
18.08.26MOUZ NXT – SPARTAMOUZ NXT1.9821lost-21-1579
18.08.26ex-Zero Tenacity – ex-RUSTECex-Zero Tenacity2.4120won+28-1558
18.08.26Honvéd – EntropyEntropy1.9221lost-21-1586
18.08.26Fortress – ex-MANAFortress2.0322lost-22-1565
18.08.26PCIFIC – Just PlayersJust Players1.9121won+19-1543
17.08.26Bushido Wildcats – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy2.8522lost-22-1562
17.08.26Nexus – G2 AresG2 Ares2.0521won+22-1540
17.08.26Atreides – ex-Sashi AcademyAtreides2.0622lost-22-1562
17.08.26Permitta – UNiTYUNiTY1.9521won+20-1540
16.08.26Legacy – MIBRLegacy2.0220won+21-1560
16.08.26ex-Sashi Academy – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.9719won+19-1581
16.08.26Astralis – Ninjas in PyjamasAstralis1.9318won+17-1599
16.08.26MOUZ – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.2119lost-19-1617
16.08.26Nexus – Bushido WildcatsNexus2.4120lost-20-1597
16.08.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – METANOIA WolvesMETANOIA Wolves2.5821lost-21-1577
15.08.26INOX Division – MisaMisa2.7123lost-23-1555
15.08.26Noir Verse – ex-Sashi AcademyNoir Verse1.9422won+20-1533
15.08.26FURIA – 9zFURIA2.0420won+21-1553
15.08.26Leo – MisaMisa2.2819won+25-1574
15.08.26Atreides – LPHAtreides2.3920lost-20-1599
15.08.26Honvéd – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy2.3319won+25-1579
15.08.26MOUZ NXT – ENCEMOUZ NXT2.1518won+21-1604
15.08.26Fire Flux – NEW VISIONNEW VISION2.4617won+24-1625
14.08.26Galorys – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS1.9318lost-18-1649
14.08.26SINQU – Phantom AcademySINQU1.9817won+17-1632
14.08.26PARIVISION – 100 ThievesPARIVISION2.3216won+21-1648
14.08.26Just Players – ENCEENCE1.9515won+14-1669
14.08.26Leo – benched godsbenched gods2.0616lost-16-1683
14.08.26BASEMENT BOYS – Phantom AcademyPhantom Academy1.9617lost-17-1667
14.08.26Misa – LeoMisa2.5515won+24-1651
14.08.26INOX Division – ex-MANAex-MANA2.6116lost-16-1675
14.08.26NEW VISION – ArchNEW VISION2.3515won+21-1658
14.08.26Enjoy – MisaMisa2.5916lost-16-1679
13.08.26ENCE – EnjoyENCE2.0217lost-17-1663
13.08.26Luminosity – SpiritLuminosity2.9918lost-18-1646
12.08.26Wildcard – FURIAWildcard2.0319lost-19-1628
12.08.26BetBoom – FaZeFaZe1.9918won+18-1610
12.08.26Vexar – RaccoonsVexar1.8919lost-19-1627
12.08.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – LegacyNinjas in Pyjamas1.9220lost-20-1608
12.08.26Luminosity – GamerLegionLuminosity1.9721lost-21-1589
12.08.26Bushido Wildcats – ex-MANAex-MANA2.6322lost-22-1568
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.