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Always the underdog

CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-3016u
ROI
-5.9%
win rate
45%
bets
1374
drawdown
244.5%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

5% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-287u
period 6top-up-620u
period 5top-up-177u
period 4top-up-648u
period 3top-up-656u
period 2top-up-684u
period 1profit withdrawn+57u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Flat (10 units)137445%-543-4%63.9%Select
1% of bankroll137445%-574-4.3%65.9%Select
Martingale8748%-735-25.1%80.3%Select
2% of bankroll137445%-1190-4.7%124.3%Select
5% of bankroll137445%-3016-5.9%244.5%Select
10% of bankroll137445%-5097-7.7%293.3%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1374, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26fnatic – SashiSashi2.9838lost-38-2016
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.5739lost-39-1978
14.10.26Astralis – SashiSashi2.4242lost-42-1939
14.10.26GenOne – 666666662.4139won+55-1897
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.0141lost-41-1952
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.2938won+49-1911
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.1140lost-40-1961
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.0438won+40-1920
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.1140lost-40-1960
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasInner Circle1.9943lost-43-1920
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersEnjoy1.9645lost-45-1877
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainOvertake Sector1.9643won+41-1832
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.6145lost-45-1874
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.1241won+86-1829
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.6443lost-43-1915
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.4540won+58-1872
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersJust Players1.9742lost-42-1930
11.10.26Just Players – MisaMisa2.5544lost-44-1888
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS2.1042won+46-1844
10.10.26Elusive – MarsborneElusive3.1544lost-44-1890
10.10.26Wildcard – Last Dance USLast Dance US2.1346lost-46-1846
10.10.26Bebop – 6666Bebop2.0949lost-49-1799
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners2.1046won+51-1750
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakMindfreak2.5149lost-49-1801
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsmadlikewizards2.7051lost-51-1752
10.10.26Club 333 – DETONATEDETONATE2.0149won+50-1701
10.10.26Ground Zero – KZGKZG2.3851lost-51-1750
10.10.26Grêmio – BORRACHEIROSGrêmio1.9854lost-54-1699
10.10.26Galorys – Turma do PagodeGalorys1.9052won+46-1645
09.10.26Falcons – SpiritFalcons2.2955lost-55-1691
09.10.26MOUZ NXT – LeoMOUZ NXT2.6151won+82-1637
09.10.26FURIA – MOUZFURIA2.3453lost-53-1718
09.10.26Acend – NexusAcend2.0156lost-56-1665
09.10.26BORING PLAYERS – Chinggis WarriorsBORING PLAYERS2.1359lost-59-1609
09.10.26GamerLegion – SINNERSGamerLegion2.2456won+69-1550
09.10.26HOTU – AcendAcend2.7058lost-58-1619
09.10.26mellren – BebopBebop3.0853won+110-1560
09.10.26Azuolas – EnjoyAzuolas2.8948won+92-1670
09.10.26Villainous – Reign AboveVillainous2.2046won+55-1762
09.10.26LP – Turma do PagodeLP2.2943won+55-1816
09.10.26Bounty Hunters – ALKAALKA1.9645lost-45-1872
08.10.26INFINITE – G2 AresG2 Ares1.9943won+43-1827
08.10.26FaZe – SangalFaZe2.5840won+63-1869
08.10.26SINNERS – Black PhoenixSINNERS1.9742lost-42-1932
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEPRIVATE2.0740won+43-1890
08.10.26megoshort – Fire Fluxmegoshort2.5642lost-42-1933
08.10.26Azuolas – MisaAzuolas2.4344lost-44-1891
08.10.26BERG – mellrenBERG3.3246lost-46-1847
08.10.26bLight blue – BORING PLAYERSbLight blue1.9449lost-49-1800
08.10.26Lynn Vision – Chinggis WarriorsLynn Vision1.9147won+43-1752
08.10.26The Last Resort – PrivateerPrivateer2.8143won+77-1794
08.10.26Enjoy – 666666662.5040won+60-1872
08.10.26G2 Ares – RBLSG2 Ares2.0538won+40-1932
08.10.26Banda Chuya – IllyriansBanda Chuya2.1940lost-40-1971
08.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ColorNuclear TigeRES2.0238won+39-1932
08.10.26Wanted Goons – Iowa StormboarWanted Goons2.9340lost-40-1970
08.10.26Isurus – MEIA NOITEMEIA NOITE2.0742lost-42-1930
08.10.26BESTIA Academy – ALKAALKA1.9040won+36-1888
08.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – ex-Keyd Starsex-Keyd Stars2.0438won+40-1925
07.10.26Famalicão – Lazer CatsFamalicão2.5540lost-40-1964
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.