Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match β the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
-257u
ROI
-2.1%
win rate
48%
bets
1243
drawdown
61.4%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
π―
What we bet on
Always the underdog
π°
Stake size
Flat (10 units)
π
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
π
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin β this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-32u
period 3profit withdrawn+158u
period 2top-up-321u
period 1top-up-63u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 290 | 49% | +241 | +2.2% | 50.7% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 1243 | 48% | -257 | -2.1% | 61.4% | Selected |
| 1% of bankroll | 1243 | 48% | -260 | -2.2% | 58% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 1243 | 48% | -530 | -2.4% | 101.8% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 1243 | 48% | -1464 | -3.4% | 181.8% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 1243 | 48% | -3087 | -6.4% | 266.4% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1243, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | Β±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | mellren β Bushido Wildcats | mellren | 2.46 | 10 | won | +15 | 743 |
| 20.08.26 | FaZe β Vitality | Vitality | 2.15 | 10 | won | +11 | 728 |
| 20.08.26 | B8 β Spirit | B8 | 2.37 | 10 | lost | -10 | 716 |
| 20.08.26 | Metizport β Color | Metizport | 1.92 | 10 | won | +9 | 726 |
| 20.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity β benched gods | benched gods | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 717 |
| 20.08.26 | Natus Vincere β Legacy | Legacy | 1.90 | 10 | won | +9 | 707 |
| 20.08.26 | ex-Sashi Academy β Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 1.96 | 10 | won | +10 | 698 |
| 20.08.26 | G2 Ares β Bebop | Bebop | 1.98 | 10 | lost | -10 | 688 |
| 19.08.26 | HonvΓ©d β Bushido Wildcats | HonvΓ©d | 2.81 | 10 | won | +18 | 698 |
| 19.08.26 | Permitta β Falcons Force | Falcons Force | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 680 |
| 19.08.26 | Metizport β Fire Flux | Metizport | 1.92 | 10 | won | +9 | 670 |
| 19.08.26 | The Last Resort β OG | The Last Resort | 1.98 | 10 | lost | -10 | 661 |
| 19.08.26 | FUT β magic | FUT | 1.98 | 10 | won | +10 | 671 |
| 19.08.26 | G2 β Astralis | Astralis | 2.06 | 10 | lost | -10 | 661 |
| 19.08.26 | Enjoy β ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.17 | 10 | won | +12 | 671 |
| 19.08.26 | Misa β The Last Resort | Misa | 2.19 | 10 | lost | -10 | 659 |
| 19.08.26 | Black Phoenix β Raccoons | Raccoons | 1.95 | 10 | won | +9 | 669 |
| 19.08.26 | HYPERSPIRIT β Permitta | Permitta | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 660 |
| 19.08.26 | Misa β ex-Sashi Academy | Misa | 1.98 | 10 | lost | -10 | 670 |
| 19.08.26 | GenOne β UNiTY | UNiTY | 2.54 | 10 | lost | -10 | 680 |
| 18.08.26 | Misa β Strael Bora | Misa | 2.09 | 10 | won | +11 | 690 |
| 18.08.26 | DONSTU β MOUZ NXT | DONSTU | 2.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 679 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC β OG | OG | 2.06 | 10 | won | +11 | 689 |
| 18.08.26 | Color β The Last Resort | Color | 1.91 | 10 | won | +9 | 678 |
| 18.08.26 | Fire Flux β PCIFIC | PCIFIC | 1.96 | 10 | won | +10 | 669 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega β Entropy | Entropy | 2.68 | 10 | won | +17 | 660 |
| 18.08.26 | Leo β ex-RUSTEC | Leo | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 643 |
| 18.08.26 | WBT β Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 3.07 | 10 | lost | -10 | 653 |
| 18.08.26 | Color β Misa | Misa | 2.06 | 10 | lost | -10 | 663 |
| 18.08.26 | Permitta β OG | OG | 1.94 | 10 | won | +9 | 673 |
| 18.08.26 | MOUZ NXT β SPARTA | MOUZ NXT | 1.98 | 10 | lost | -10 | 663 |
| 18.08.26 | Metizport β DONSTU | DONSTU | 2.13 | 10 | lost | -10 | 673 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC β Fortress | Fortress | 2.69 | 10 | lost | -10 | 683 |
| 18.08.26 | HonvΓ©d β Entropy | Entropy | 1.92 | 10 | lost | -10 | 693 |
| 18.08.26 | PCIFIC β Just Players | Just Players | 1.91 | 10 | won | +9 | 703 |
| 17.08.26 | Revise β FORZE Reload | FORZE Reload | 1.97 | 10 | lost | -10 | 694 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats β Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 2.85 | 10 | lost | -10 | 704 |
| 17.08.26 | Nexus β G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 2.05 | 10 | won | +10 | 714 |
| 17.08.26 | LPH β SAW Youngsters | SAW Youngsters | 2.23 | 10 | lost | -10 | 704 |
| 17.08.26 | ENCE β BERG | BERG | 1.96 | 10 | lost | -10 | 714 |
| 17.08.26 | benched gods β Phantom Academy | benched gods | 2.03 | 10 | won | +10 | 724 |
| 17.08.26 | ALKA β QUINTESSΓNCIA | QUINTESSΓNCIA | 1.96 | 10 | lost | -10 | 714 |
| 16.08.26 | Lavked β INOX Division | Lavked | 2.70 | 10 | won | +17 | 724 |
| 16.08.26 | Legacy β MIBR | Legacy | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 707 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-Sashi Academy β Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 1.97 | 10 | won | +10 | 696 |
| 16.08.26 | Keyd Stars β Imperial | Keyd Stars | 2.21 | 10 | lost | -10 | 687 |
| 16.08.26 | Astralis β Ninjas in Pyjamas | Astralis | 1.93 | 10 | won | +9 | 697 |
| 16.08.26 | Fire Flux β GUESS | GUESS | 1.94 | 10 | lost | -10 | 687 |
| 16.08.26 | Mai Tai β BERG | Mai Tai | 2.50 | 10 | won | +15 | 697 |
| 16.08.26 | INOX Division β BASEMENT BOYS | BASEMENT BOYS | 2.21 | 10 | won | +12 | 682 |
| 16.08.26 | MOUZ β PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 2.21 | 10 | lost | -10 | 670 |
| 16.08.26 | ENCE β WBT | ENCE | 2.13 | 10 | lost | -10 | 680 |
| 16.08.26 | BERG β HAVU | HAVU | 2.19 | 10 | won | +12 | 690 |
| 16.08.26 | The MongolZ β paiN | paiN | 1.95 | 10 | lost | -10 | 678 |
| 16.08.26 | Lynn Vision β Vitality | Vitality | 1.94 | 10 | won | +9 | 688 |
| 16.08.26 | ROUNDS β Vexar | ROUNDS | 2.20 | 10 | lost | -10 | 679 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-MANA β ex-RUSTEC | ex-MANA | 2.35 | 10 | lost | -10 | 689 |
| 16.08.26 | paiN Academy β ALKA | paiN Academy | 2.18 | 10 | lost | -10 | 699 |
| 15.08.26 | Spirit β BIG | BIG | 2.07 | 10 | lost | -10 | 709 |
| 15.08.26 | Noir Verse β ex-Sashi Academy | Noir Verse | 1.94 | 10 | won | +9 | 719 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.