Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
-73u
ROI
-0.5%
win rate
48%
bets
382
drawdown
62.1%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Always the underdog
💰
Stake size
Martingale
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+0u
period 3profit withdrawn+0u
period 2top-up-1000u
period 1profit withdrawn+927u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Martingale | 382 | 48% | -73 | -0.5% | 62.1% | Selected |
| Flat (10 units) | 1245 | 46% | -550 | -4.4% | 62.7% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 1245 | 46% | -560 | -4.9% | 59.7% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 1245 | 46% | -1121 | -5.4% | 114.4% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 1245 | 46% | -2581 | -7% | 253.8% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 1245 | 46% | -3768 | -9.4% | 354.7% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 382, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08.06.26 | Ursa – RUSTEC | Ursa | 2.07 | 183 | lost | -183 | 927 |
| 08.06.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – CYBERSHOKE | CYBERSHOKE | 2.17 | 640 | lost | -640 | 1110 |
| 08.06.26 | HYPERSPIRIT – INOX Division | HYPERSPIRIT | 1.97 | 320 | lost | -320 | 1750 |
| 08.06.26 | PsychoFace – brazylijski luz | PsychoFace | 2.19 | 160 | lost | -160 | 2070 |
| 08.06.26 | KOLESIE – ASTRAL | ASTRAL | 2.07 | 80 | lost | -80 | 2230 |
| 08.06.26 | Chicken Coop – Third Prime | Third Prime | 2.12 | 40 | lost | -40 | 2310 |
| 07.06.26 | GenOne – BIG Academy | BIG Academy | 2.01 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2350 |
| 07.06.26 | Spirit – 9z | 9z | 2.10 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2370 |
| 07.06.26 | WBT – Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 2.03 | 40 | won | +41 | 2380 |
| 07.06.26 | B8 – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 1.91 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2339 |
| 07.06.26 | eSuba – LPH | eSuba | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2359 |
| 07.06.26 | FlyQuest – paiN | paiN | 1.94 | 20 | won | +19 | 2369 |
| 07.06.26 | Lilmix – NEW VISION | Lilmix | 2.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2350 |
| 07.06.26 | ARCRED – Walczaki | Walczaki | 2.15 | 20 | won | +23 | 2360 |
| 07.06.26 | Virtus.pro – GenOne | GenOne | 1.91 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2337 |
| 07.06.26 | ENCE – brazylijski luz | brazylijski luz | 1.93 | 20 | won | +19 | 2347 |
| 07.06.26 | KOLESIE – Lazer Cats | Lazer Cats | 2.17 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2329 |
| 07.06.26 | Betclic – Atreides | Betclic | 2.25 | 20 | won | +25 | 2339 |
| 07.06.26 | Wanted Goons – Brahmas | Wanted Goons | 1.95 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2314 |
| 06.06.26 | BetBoom – GamerLegion | BetBoom | 2.11 | 20 | won | +22 | 2324 |
| 06.06.26 | Legacy – FlyQuest | FlyQuest | 2.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2302 |
| 06.06.26 | OLDBOYS PL – bankaPEPSI | OLDBOYS PL | 1.95 | 20 | won | +19 | 2312 |
| 06.06.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – AM | AM | 2.04 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2293 |
| 06.06.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – BIG Academy | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.25 | 20 | won | +25 | 2303 |
| 06.06.26 | G2 – Monte | Monte | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2278 |
| 06.06.26 | Johnny Speeds – 100 Thieves | 100 Thieves | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 2288 |
| 06.06.26 | Legacy – MIBR | MIBR | 1.97 | 10 | won | +10 | 2279 |
| 06.06.26 | Spirit – BetBoom | Spirit | 1.90 | 10 | won | +9 | 2269 |
| 06.06.26 | G2 – M80 | G2 | 2.04 | 10 | won | +10 | 2260 |
| 06.06.26 | FUT – B8 | FUT | 2.34 | 20 | won | +27 | 2250 |
| 06.06.26 | ARCRED – ASTRAL | ASTRAL | 2.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2223 |
| 06.06.26 | Astralis – GamerLegion | Astralis | 2.22 | 20 | won | +24 | 2233 |
| 06.06.26 | RUSTEC – Young Ninjas | RUSTEC | 1.99 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2208 |
| 06.06.26 | 9z – FlyQuest | 9z | 2.09 | 20 | won | +22 | 2218 |
| 06.06.26 | G2 Ares – aAa | aAa | 2.22 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2197 |
| 05.06.26 | GenOne – BIG Academy | BIG Academy | 2.11 | 10 | won | +11 | 2207 |
| 05.06.26 | DONSTU – COPH9K | DONSTU | 2.09 | 10 | won | +11 | 2195 |
| 05.06.26 | XI – LFO 6 | XI | 1.95 | 40 | won | +38 | 2184 |
| 05.06.26 | VP.Prodigy – Clutchain | VP.Prodigy | 1.95 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2146 |
| 05.06.26 | eternal premium – Project 91 | Project 91 | 2.06 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2166 |
| 05.06.26 | ZOTIX – Banger Gang | Banger Gang | 1.96 | 10 | won | +10 | 2176 |
| 05.06.26 | QUAZAR – ReThink | QUAZAR | 1.90 | 10 | won | +9 | 2167 |
| 05.06.26 | 100 Thieves – Phantom | 100 Thieves | 1.97 | 320 | won | +312 | 2158 |
| 05.06.26 | ex-RUBY – RUSTEC | RUSTEC | 2.10 | 160 | lost | -160 | 1846 |
| 05.06.26 | ENRAGE – ROUNDS | ENRAGE | 1.95 | 80 | lost | -80 | 2006 |
| 05.06.26 | Liquid – FlyQuest | Liquid | 2.01 | 40 | lost | -40 | 2086 |
| 05.06.26 | Bushido Wildcats – ex-RUBY | Bushido Wildcats | 1.92 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2126 |
| 05.06.26 | SPARTA – CYBERSHOKE | SPARTA | 2.23 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2146 |
| 05.06.26 | Oxuji – Misa | Misa | 1.93 | 10 | won | +9 | 2156 |
| 05.06.26 | TYLOO – Lynn Vision | TYLOO | 1.91 | 80 | won | +73 | 2147 |
| 05.06.26 | Leo – Lilmix | Lilmix | 2.01 | 40 | lost | -40 | 2074 |
| 05.06.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – Johnny Speeds | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.04 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2114 |
| 04.06.26 | Liquid – HEROIC | HEROIC | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2134 |
| 04.06.26 | MIBR – Lynn Vision | MIBR | 1.93 | 10 | won | +9 | 2144 |
| 04.06.26 | brazylijski luz – The Last Resort | The Last Resort | 1.94 | 40 | won | +37 | 2135 |
| 04.06.26 | 100 Thieves – Ursa | Ursa | 1.93 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2097 |
| 04.06.26 | THUNDER dOWNUNDER – FlyQuest | THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2117 |
| 04.06.26 | INOX Division – brazylijski luz | INOX Division | 1.93 | 20 | won | +19 | 2127 |
| 04.06.26 | PsychoFace – HYPERSPIRIT | PsychoFace | 2.15 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2109 |
| 03.06.26 | Arch – Wingman | Arch | 1.89 | 40 | won | +35 | 2119 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.