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Always the underdog

CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-5601u
ROI
-10.9%
win rate
43%
bets
2829
drawdown
483%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

5% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-972u
period 6top-up-975u
period 5top-up-959u
period 4top-up-736u
period 3top-up-743u
period 2top-up-851u
period 1top-up-365u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale13347%-605-11.9%73.1%Select
1% of bankroll282943%-1963-8.6%193.5%Select
Flat (10 units)282943%-2286-8.1%225.5%Select
2% of bankroll282943%-3379-9.1%321.1%Select
5% of bankroll282943%-5601-10.9%483%Selected
10% of bankroll282943%-6633-13.6%502.8%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2829, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26FURIA – BETBOOMBETBOOM2.041lost-1-4601
14.10.26fnatic – HOTUfnatic2.031won+1-4599
14.10.26UPGRADE – ButterflyButterfly1.971won+1-4601
14.10.26PCIFIC – RyvexPCIFIC1.921won+1-4602
14.10.26fnatic – SashiSashi2.981lost-1-4603
14.10.26Lynn Vision – Alter EgoLynn Vision2.031won+1-4602
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.571lost-1-4603
14.10.26Astralis – SashiSashi2.421lost-1-4602
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.191lost-1-4600
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.671won+2-4599
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedLavked2.051won+1-4601
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyB8 Academy1.901lost-1-4603
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.211lost-1-4601
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.091won+2-4600
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.781lost-1-4601
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.012lost-2-4600
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.291won+2-4598
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.112lost-2-4600
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.902lost-2-4599
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLBBL2.162lost-2-4597
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoJust Swing2.302lost-2-4595
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.042won+2-4594
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHaoJiJieHao1.992lost-2-4595
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.112lost-2-4594
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.102lost-2-4592
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.952lost-2-4590
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters2.262lost-2-4588
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.012lost-2-4586
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.692lost-2-4583
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.093lost-3-4581
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.683lost-3-4578
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XIXI3.183lost-3-4576
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasInner Circle1.993lost-3-4573
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.453lost-3-4570
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingJust Swing2.043lost-3-4567
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.023won+3-4564
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.553lost-3-4567
12.10.26Rooster – LFO 8LFO 82.043lost-3-4564
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersEnjoy1.964lost-4-4560
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainOvertake Sector1.963won+3-4557
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBORRACHEIROS2.094lost-4-4560
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.123won+7-4556
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.403lost-3-4563
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.644lost-4-4560
11.10.26antidaun – Saint Sinnersantidaun1.974lost-4-4556
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersJust Players1.974lost-4-4552
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.454won+5-4548
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya3.524lost-4-4554
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenBebop2.904lost-4-4550
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoThe KnockoutX2.314lost-4-4546
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritAurora2.544won+6-4541
11.10.26benched gods – IllyriansIllyrians1.924won+4-4548
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.144won+4-4551
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGKZG2.074lost-4-4555
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestGround Zero2.144lost-4-4551
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainEMPIRE2.204lost-4-4547
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEWanted Goons2.255lost-5-4543
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopChicken Coop2.244won+5-4539
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.144lost-4-4544
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS2.104won+5-4539
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.