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Always the underdog

CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-5557u
ROI
-9.6%
win rate
43%
bets
2832
drawdown
479.2%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

5% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-914u
period 6top-up-976u
period 5top-up-973u
period 4top-up-658u
period 3top-up-798u
period 2top-up-946u
period 1top-up-292u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale17247%-559-9.8%73.6%Select
1% of bankroll283243%-1996-8.6%195.8%Select
Flat (10 units)283243%-2330-8.2%228.1%Select
2% of bankroll283243%-3415-8.9%323.5%Select
5% of bankroll283243%-5557-9.6%479.2%Selected
10% of bankroll283243%-6556-10.3%497.3%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2832, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26FOKUS – YounglingsYounglings2.355lost-5-4557
14.10.26FORZE Reload – LFO 10LFO 102.645lost-5-4553
14.10.26Black Phoenix – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC2.035lost-5-4548
14.10.26fnatic – HOTUfnatic1.945won+5-4543
14.10.26Just Players – FOKUSFOKUS2.085won+5-4547
14.10.26PCIFIC – RyvexPCIFIC1.924won+4-4552
14.10.26G2 Ares – The Last ResortThe Last Resort2.025lost-5-4556
14.10.26fnatic – SashiSashi2.985lost-5-4552
14.10.26Lynn Vision – Alter EgoLynn Vision2.035won+5-4547
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.575lost-5-4552
14.10.26HOTU – fnaticfnatic1.935lost-5-4547
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.195lost-5-4542
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.675won+8-4536
14.10.26GenOne – 666666662.415won+7-4545
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedLavked2.054won+5-4551
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.215lost-5-4556
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.094won+5-4551
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.785lost-5-4556
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.015lost-5-4551
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.295won+6-4546
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.115lost-5-4552
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.905lost-5-4548
13.10.26100 Thieves – LiquidLiquid2.045lost-5-4543
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoJust Swing2.306lost-6-4537
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.045won+6-4532
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.116lost-6-4537
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHaoJiJieHao1.996lost-6-4531
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.106lost-6-4526
13.10.26Chicken Coop – ZomblersChicken Coop1.966won+6-4519
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters2.266lost-6-4525
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.017lost-7-4519
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.697lost-7-4512
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.097lost-7-4505
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.688lost-8-4498
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XIXI3.188lost-8-4490
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasInner Circle1.998lost-8-4482
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.459lost-9-4474
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsAlter Ego2.078won+9-4465
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.028won+8-4474
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.549lost-9-4482
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYMARKandLARRY2.068won+9-4474
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersEnjoy1.969lost-9-4482
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarDETONATE2.189lost-9-4474
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.619lost-9-4465
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.129won+18-4455
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.409lost-9-4473
11.10.26BET-M – PRIVATEPRIVATE1.919won+8-4464
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.649lost-9-4472
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.458won+12-4463
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersJust Players1.979lost-9-4475
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya3.529lost-9-4467
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenBebop2.9010lost-10-4457
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoThe KnockoutX2.3110lost-10-4447
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritAurora2.5410won+15-4437
11.10.26Just Players – MisaMisa2.5510lost-10-4452
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.1410won+11-4442
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGKZG2.0710lost-10-4453
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestGround Zero2.1411lost-11-4443
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopChicken Coop2.2410won+12-4432
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEWanted Goons2.2510lost-10-4444
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.