Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
+123u
ROI
+1%
win rate
49%
bets
1242
drawdown
36.4%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Always the underdog
💰
Stake size
Flat (10 units)
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+12u
period 3top-up-147u
period 2profit withdrawn+116u
period 1profit withdrawn+143u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 603 | 51% | +2509 | +11.1% | 38.4% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 1242 | 49% | +123 | +1% | 36.4% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 1242 | 49% | +86 | +0.3% | 56% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 1242 | 49% | +83 | +0.7% | 34.5% | Selected |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 1242 | 49% | -370 | -0.6% | 91.7% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 1242 | 49% | -2071 | -1.7% | 125.8% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1242, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | LPH – WBT | LPH | 2.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1123 |
| 20.08.26 | mellren – Bushido Wildcats | mellren | 2.46 | 10 | won | +15 | 1133 |
| 20.08.26 | B8 – Spirit | B8 | 2.38 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1119 |
| 20.08.26 | Metizport – Color | Metizport | 1.92 | 10 | won | +9 | 1129 |
| 20.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – benched gods | benched gods | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1119 |
| 20.08.26 | ex-Sashi Academy – Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 1.96 | 10 | won | +10 | 1109 |
| 20.08.26 | Falcons – The MongolZ | The MongolZ | 2.49 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1100 |
| 19.08.26 | GamerLegion – MOUZ | GamerLegion | 2.41 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1110 |
| 19.08.26 | FURIA – Aurora | FURIA | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1120 |
| 19.08.26 | Honvéd – Bushido Wildcats | Honvéd | 2.81 | 10 | won | +18 | 1109 |
| 19.08.26 | Metizport – Fire Flux | Metizport | 1.92 | 10 | won | +9 | 1091 |
| 19.08.26 | PCIFIC – SPARTA | SPARTA | 1.99 | 10 | won | +10 | 1082 |
| 19.08.26 | Permitta – Falcons Force | Falcons Force | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1072 |
| 19.08.26 | G2 – Astralis | Astralis | 2.06 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1062 |
| 19.08.26 | Lavked – Revise | Lavked | 2.17 | 10 | won | +12 | 1072 |
| 19.08.26 | Entropy – Fire Flux | Entropy | 2.16 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1060 |
| 19.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – SPARTA | MOUZ NXT | 2.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1070 |
| 19.08.26 | Black Phoenix – Raccoons | Raccoons | 1.95 | 10 | won | +9 | 1080 |
| 19.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | UNiTY | 2.54 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1071 |
| 19.08.26 | Inner Circle Academy – MOUZ NXT | MOUZ NXT | 1.93 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1081 |
| 18.08.26 | Misa – Strael Bora | Misa | 2.09 | 10 | won | +11 | 1091 |
| 18.08.26 | Lavked – HAVU | HAVU | 1.94 | 10 | won | +9 | 1080 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC – OG | OG | 2.06 | 10 | won | +11 | 1071 |
| 18.08.26 | Metizport – SPARTA | Metizport | 1.90 | 10 | won | +9 | 1060 |
| 18.08.26 | Color – The Last Resort | Color | 1.91 | 10 | won | +9 | 1051 |
| 18.08.26 | Entropy – PCIFIC | Entropy | 2.11 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1042 |
| 18.08.26 | Leo – ex-RUSTEC | Leo | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1052 |
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Misa | 3.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1062 |
| 18.08.26 | WBT – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 3.07 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1072 |
| 18.08.26 | Permitta – OG | OG | 1.94 | 10 | won | +9 | 1082 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 2.29 | 10 | won | +13 | 1072 |
| 18.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – SPARTA | MOUZ NXT | 1.98 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1060 |
| 18.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – ex-RUSTEC | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.41 | 10 | won | +14 | 1070 |
| 18.08.26 | Honvéd – Entropy | Entropy | 1.92 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1055 |
| 17.08.26 | Enjoy – HAVU | HAVU | 2.66 | 10 | won | +17 | 1065 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Permitta | Permitta | 2.77 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1049 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 2.86 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1059 |
| 17.08.26 | Nexus – G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 2.05 | 10 | won | +10 | 1069 |
| 17.08.26 | ENCE – BERG | BERG | 1.96 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1058 |
| 17.08.26 | Atreides – ex-Sashi Academy | Atreides | 2.06 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1068 |
| 17.08.26 | Permitta – UNiTY | UNiTY | 1.95 | 10 | won | +9 | 1078 |
| 17.08.26 | ALKA – QUINTESSÊNCIA | QUINTESSÊNCIA | 1.96 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1069 |
| 16.08.26 | Lavked – INOX Division | Lavked | 2.70 | 10 | won | +17 | 1079 |
| 16.08.26 | Legacy – MIBR | Legacy | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1062 |
| 16.08.26 | DragonClaw – ex-Zero Tenacity | DragonClaw | 2.16 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1052 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-Sashi Academy – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 1.97 | 10 | won | +10 | 1062 |
| 16.08.26 | Fire Flux – GUESS | GUESS | 1.94 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1052 |
| 16.08.26 | UNiTY – Misa | Misa | 1.99 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1062 |
| 16.08.26 | Honvéd – mellren | Honvéd | 2.06 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1072 |
| 16.08.26 | magic – 9z | magic | 2.03 | 10 | won | +10 | 1082 |
| 16.08.26 | EAC – Lavked | Lavked | 1.97 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1072 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 2.64 | 10 | won | +16 | 1082 |
| 16.08.26 | FORZE Reload – DONSTU | DONSTU | 2.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1065 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Fortress | 3.32 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1075 |
| 16.08.26 | BERG – HAVU | HAVU | 2.19 | 10 | won | +12 | 1085 |
| 16.08.26 | Nexus – Bushido Wildcats | Nexus | 2.41 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1073 |
| 16.08.26 | ROUNDS – Vexar | ROUNDS | 2.20 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1083 |
| 16.08.26 | paiN Academy – ALKA | paiN Academy | 2.18 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1093 |
| 15.08.26 | Spirit – BIG | BIG | 2.07 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1103 |
| 15.08.26 | Lavked – OG | Lavked | 2.08 | 10 | won | +11 | 1113 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.