Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match β the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
-1000u
ROI
-15.8%
win rate
56%
bets
196
drawdown
100%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
π―
What we bet on
Always the underdog
π°
Stake size
Martingale
π
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
π
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin β this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+0u
period 3profit withdrawn+0u
period 2profit withdrawn+0u
period 1top-up-1000u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% of bankroll | 1241 | 49% | +4779 | +2.9% | 63.2% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 1241 | 49% | +1405 | +2.1% | 51.8% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 1241 | 49% | +196 | +0.8% | 46.8% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 1241 | 49% | +51 | +0.4% | 33.1% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 1241 | 49% | +17 | +0.1% | 37.6% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Martingale | 196 | 56% | -1000 | -15.8% | 100% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 196, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | Β±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.05.26 | Betclic β GenOne | Betclic | 2.14 | 758 | lost | -758 | 0 |
| 28.05.26 | Phantom β TNC | Phantom | 2.12 | 640 | lost | -640 | 758 |
| 28.05.26 | Acend β Just Players | Acend | 2.09 | 320 | lost | -320 | 1398 |
| 28.05.26 | INOX Division β ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.89 | 160 | lost | -160 | 1718 |
| 28.05.26 | Chicken Coop β Voca | Chicken Coop | 1.89 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1878 |
| 27.05.26 | BET-M β Virtus.pro | BET-M | 1.96 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1958 |
| 27.05.26 | ex-RUBY β ASTRAL | ASTRAL | 2.05 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1998 |
| 27.05.26 | Eternal Fire β fnatic | fnatic | 1.90 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2018 |
| 27.05.26 | Bebop β Oramond | Oramond | 1.89 | 40 | won | +36 | 2028 |
| 27.05.26 | brazylijski luz β White Tigers | White Tigers | 2.00 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1993 |
| 27.05.26 | Young Ninjas β TNC | Young Ninjas | 2.31 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2013 |
| 27.05.26 | FaZe β Alliance | FaZe | 2.10 | 10 | won | +11 | 2023 |
| 27.05.26 | BESTIA β 25 cents | BESTIA | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 2012 |
| 27.05.26 | brazylijski luz β HonvΓ©d | HonvΓ©d | 2.09 | 80 | won | +87 | 2003 |
| 27.05.26 | TNC β ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.09 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1916 |
| 27.05.26 | Project 91 β Vexar | Project 91 | 2.09 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1956 |
| 27.05.26 | SemperFi β THUNDER dOWNUNDER | THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 1.95 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1976 |
| 27.05.26 | HEROIC β Ninjas in Pyjamas | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.02 | 20 | won | +20 | 1986 |
| 27.05.26 | DONSTU β brazylijski luz | DONSTU | 2.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1966 |
| 27.05.26 | ASTRAL β ALGO | ALGO | 2.10 | 20 | won | +22 | 1976 |
| 27.05.26 | Rebels β Bushido Wildcats | Rebels | 1.96 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1953 |
| 27.05.26 | Nemiga β Oramond | Nemiga | 1.95 | 10 | won | +9 | 1963 |
| 27.05.26 | Misa β SAW | Misa | 2.07 | 10 | won | +11 | 1954 |
| 27.05.26 | 3DMAX β magic | magic | 1.95 | 20 | won | +19 | 1943 |
| 27.05.26 | Nuclear TigeRES β PsychoFace | PsychoFace | 2.07 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1924 |
| 27.05.26 | ALGO β Prestige | ALGO | 2.07 | 10 | won | +11 | 1934 |
| 27.05.26 | M80 β Iowa Stormboar | M80 | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1924 |
| 26.05.26 | ASTRAL β MANA | MANA | 2.31 | 10 | won | +13 | 1914 |
| 26.05.26 | ALGO β BRUTE | ALGO | 2.16 | 10 | won | +12 | 1900 |
| 26.05.26 | Nemesis β INOX Division | Nemesis | 1.95 | 10 | won | +10 | 1889 |
| 26.05.26 | The Last Resort β Dripmen | The Last Resort | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 1879 |
| 26.05.26 | CYBERSHOKE β Dark Moon | CYBERSHOKE | 1.89 | 80 | won | +71 | 1870 |
| 26.05.26 | Oramond β HAVU | HAVU | 2.20 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1799 |
| 26.05.26 | AM β Lazer Cats | Lazer Cats | 2.17 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1839 |
| 26.05.26 | Project 91 β brazylijski luz | Project 91 | 2.17 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1859 |
| 26.05.26 | Vexar β Lilmix | Vexar | 1.90 | 10 | won | +9 | 1869 |
| 26.05.26 | Rune Eaters β Bebop | Bebop | 1.96 | 80 | won | +76 | 1860 |
| 26.05.26 | 163NEWS β BET-M | 163NEWS | 1.89 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1784 |
| 26.05.26 | ENCE β CYBERSHOKE Prospects | ENCE | 2.08 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1824 |
| 26.05.26 | Falcons Force β brazylijski luz | Falcons Force | 2.20 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1844 |
| 26.05.26 | ARCRED β 163NEWS | ARCRED | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 1854 |
| 26.05.26 | PsychoFace β WW | PsychoFace | 1.94 | 10 | won | +9 | 1845 |
| 25.05.26 | Tricksters β PsychoFace | PsychoFace | 2.01 | 20 | won | +20 | 1836 |
| 25.05.26 | SSSghoul β OKSUCC | SSSghoul | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1815 |
| 25.05.26 | HYPERSPIRIT β Bebop | HYPERSPIRIT | 1.95 | 10 | won | +9 | 1825 |
| 25.05.26 | G2 Ares β Lilmix | Lilmix | 2.10 | 20 | won | +22 | 1816 |
| 25.05.26 | ALGO β Just Players | ALGO | 2.14 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1794 |
| 25.05.26 | MANA β Falcons Force | MANA | 1.93 | 10 | won | +9 | 1804 |
| 25.05.26 | Phantom β BRUTE | Phantom | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1795 |
| 25.05.26 | Oramond β Rune Eaters | Oramond | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1784 |
| 25.05.26 | Hashiras β NEW VISION | NEW VISION | 2.00 | 40 | won | +40 | 1774 |
| 25.05.26 | Enjoy β Dripmen | Dripmen | 1.96 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1734 |
| 25.05.26 | BIG Academy β Kinoa | Kinoa | 1.95 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1754 |
| 25.05.26 | Leo β GenOne | GenOne | 1.91 | 20 | won | +18 | 1764 |
| 25.05.26 | SAW β Subtop De France | Subtop De France | 1.95 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1746 |
| 25.05.26 | Lavked β Phantom | Phantom | 1.96 | 10 | won | +10 | 1756 |
| 25.05.26 | ex-RUBY β Ursa | Ursa | 2.37 | 10 | won | +14 | 1747 |
| 25.05.26 | EC BANGA β Julie&Cie | Julie&Cie | 1.95 | 20 | won | +19 | 1733 |
| 25.05.26 | Athlon β Oxuji | Athlon | 2.03 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1714 |
| 25.05.26 | RUSTEC β Entropy | RUSTEC | 1.95 | 10 | won | +10 | 1724 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.