Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
-2346u
ROI
-5.1%
win rate
47%
bets
1249
drawdown
224.4%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Always the underdog
💰
Stake size
5% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-391u
period 3top-up-441u
period 2top-up-785u
period 1top-up-728u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 1249 | 47% | -447 | -3.6% | 63.4% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 1249 | 47% | -467 | -3.9% | 60.6% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 1249 | 47% | -956 | -4.2% | 110.9% | Select |
| Martingale | 108 | 51% | -1000 | -28.5% | 100% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 1249 | 47% | -2346 | -5.1% | 224.4% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 1249 | 47% | -3670 | -5.7% | 328.2% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1249, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | Lavked – ENCE | Lavked | 1.96 | 32 | lost | -32 | -1346 |
| 20.08.26 | LPH – WBT | LPH | 2.00 | 34 | lost | -34 | -1314 |
| 20.08.26 | mellren – Bushido Wildcats | mellren | 2.46 | 31 | won | +46 | -1280 |
| 20.08.26 | FaZe – Vitality | Vitality | 2.15 | 30 | won | +34 | -1326 |
| 20.08.26 | Metizport – Color | Metizport | 1.92 | 28 | won | +26 | -1360 |
| 20.08.26 | OG – SPARTA | SPARTA | 2.02 | 30 | lost | -30 | -1386 |
| 20.08.26 | Honvéd – SAW Youngsters | SAW Youngsters | 2.17 | 31 | lost | -31 | -1356 |
| 20.08.26 | Natus Vincere – Legacy | Legacy | 1.90 | 30 | won | +27 | -1325 |
| 20.08.26 | Falcons – The MongolZ | The MongolZ | 2.49 | 32 | lost | -32 | -1352 |
| 20.08.26 | G2 Ares – Bebop | Bebop | 1.98 | 33 | lost | -33 | -1320 |
| 20.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Raccoons | Raccoons | 2.35 | 35 | lost | -35 | -1287 |
| 19.08.26 | FURIA – Aurora | FURIA | 2.02 | 33 | won | +34 | -1252 |
| 19.08.26 | Permitta – Falcons Force | Falcons Force | 1.98 | 32 | won | +31 | -1286 |
| 19.08.26 | PCIFIC – SPARTA | SPARTA | 1.99 | 30 | won | +30 | -1317 |
| 19.08.26 | FUT – magic | FUT | 1.98 | 29 | won | +28 | -1347 |
| 19.08.26 | G2 – Astralis | Astralis | 2.06 | 30 | lost | -30 | -1375 |
| 19.08.26 | Enjoy – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.17 | 29 | won | +34 | -1345 |
| 19.08.26 | Lavked – Revise | Lavked | 2.17 | 27 | won | +32 | -1379 |
| 19.08.26 | Misa – The Last Resort | Misa | 2.19 | 29 | lost | -29 | -1410 |
| 19.08.26 | Mai Tai – Honvéd | Mai Tai | 2.57 | 30 | lost | -30 | -1382 |
| 19.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – SPARTA | MOUZ NXT | 2.05 | 32 | lost | -32 | -1352 |
| 19.08.26 | HYPERSPIRIT – Permitta | Permitta | 2.01 | 33 | lost | -33 | -1320 |
| 19.08.26 | Inner Circle Academy – MOUZ NXT | MOUZ NXT | 1.93 | 35 | lost | -35 | -1286 |
| 18.08.26 | Misa – Strael Bora | Misa | 2.09 | 33 | won | +36 | -1251 |
| 18.08.26 | Lavked – HAVU | HAVU | 1.94 | 32 | won | +30 | -1288 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Entropy | Entropy | 2.68 | 29 | won | +49 | -1317 |
| 18.08.26 | Honvéd – Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 1.97 | 31 | lost | -31 | -1367 |
| 18.08.26 | Fire Flux – PCIFIC | PCIFIC | 1.96 | 30 | won | +28 | -1336 |
| 18.08.26 | Entropy – PCIFIC | Entropy | 2.11 | 31 | lost | -31 | -1364 |
| 18.08.26 | WBT – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 3.07 | 33 | lost | -33 | -1333 |
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Misa | 3.50 | 34 | lost | -34 | -1301 |
| 18.08.26 | Color – Misa | Misa | 2.06 | 36 | lost | -36 | -1266 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 2.29 | 34 | won | +44 | -1230 |
| 18.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – SPARTA | MOUZ NXT | 1.98 | 36 | lost | -36 | -1274 |
| 18.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – ex-RUSTEC | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.41 | 33 | won | +47 | -1238 |
| 18.08.26 | Bebop – benched gods | Bebop | 2.05 | 35 | lost | -35 | -1285 |
| 18.08.26 | Honvéd – Entropy | Entropy | 1.92 | 37 | lost | -37 | -1250 |
| 18.08.26 | Fortress – ex-MANA | Fortress | 2.03 | 39 | lost | -39 | -1213 |
| 18.08.26 | PCIFIC – Just Players | Just Players | 1.91 | 37 | won | +34 | -1174 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 2.85 | 39 | lost | -39 | -1208 |
| 17.08.26 | Nexus – G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 2.05 | 37 | won | +39 | -1169 |
| 17.08.26 | NEW VISION – Vexar | NEW VISION | 2.10 | 39 | lost | -39 | -1208 |
| 17.08.26 | ENCE – BERG | BERG | 1.96 | 41 | lost | -41 | -1168 |
| 17.08.26 | Atreides – ex-Sashi Academy | Atreides | 2.06 | 44 | lost | -44 | -1127 |
| 17.08.26 | Permitta – UNiTY | UNiTY | 1.95 | 42 | won | +39 | -1083 |
| 16.08.26 | EAC – BASEMENT BOYS | EAC | 2.17 | 39 | won | +46 | -1123 |
| 16.08.26 | Legacy – MIBR | Legacy | 2.02 | 37 | won | +38 | -1169 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-Sashi Academy – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 1.97 | 36 | won | +35 | -1207 |
| 16.08.26 | Astralis – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Astralis | 1.93 | 34 | won | +32 | -1242 |
| 16.08.26 | G2 Ares – Permitta | G2 Ares | 1.95 | 36 | lost | -36 | -1273 |
| 16.08.26 | Mai Tai – BERG | Mai Tai | 2.50 | 33 | won | +50 | -1238 |
| 16.08.26 | Rune Eaters – DNK | DNK | 2.19 | 35 | lost | -35 | -1288 |
| 16.08.26 | INOX Division – BASEMENT BOYS | BASEMENT BOYS | 2.21 | 33 | won | +40 | -1253 |
| 16.08.26 | MOUZ – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 2.21 | 35 | lost | -35 | -1293 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 2.63 | 32 | won | +53 | -1258 |
| 16.08.26 | The MongolZ – paiN | paiN | 1.95 | 34 | lost | -34 | -1311 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Fortress | 3.32 | 36 | lost | -36 | -1277 |
| 16.08.26 | Nexus – Bushido Wildcats | Nexus | 2.41 | 38 | lost | -38 | -1241 |
| 16.08.26 | ROUNDS – Vexar | ROUNDS | 2.20 | 40 | lost | -40 | -1203 |
| 16.08.26 | QUINTESSÊNCIA – METANOIA Wolves | METANOIA Wolves | 2.58 | 42 | lost | -42 | -1164 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.