Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
+3u
ROI
+2.8%
win rate
63%
bets
8
drawdown
1%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
💰
Stake size
Martingale
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+9u
period 3top-up-5u
period 2top-up-1u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 8 | 63% | +3 | +2.8% | 1% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 8 | 63% | -7 | -8.2% | 1.1% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 8 | 63% | -7 | -8.4% | 1.1% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 8 | 63% | -14 | -8.6% | 2.2% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 8 | 63% | -37 | -9.1% | 5.6% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 8 | 63% | -83 | -10.1% | 11.7% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 8, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.08.26 | Lavked – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1003 |
| 04.08.26 | fnatic – EAC | fnatic | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 1013 |
| 04.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – NEW VISION | ex-RUSTEC | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 1008 |
| 01.08.26 | JiJieHao – GenOne | GenOne | 1.48 | 20 | won | +10 | 1003 |
| 21.07.26 | Nemesis – Astralis | Nemesis | 1.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | 994 |
| 13.07.26 | Honvéd – Julie&Cie | Honvéd | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 1004 |
| 18.06.26 | TDK – Ursa | TDK | 1.45 | 20 | won | +9 | 999 |
| 10.06.26 | SPARTA – brazylijski luz | brazylijski luz | 1.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 990 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.