Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
+10u
ROI
+11.4%
win rate
78%
bets
9
drawdown
1.5%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
💰
Stake size
1% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+26u
period 3top-up-15u
period 2profit withdrawn+0u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% of bankroll | 9 | 78% | +129 | +13.6% | 15.2% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 9 | 78% | +57 | +12.4% | 7.6% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 9 | 78% | +21 | +11.6% | 3.1% | Select |
| Martingale | 9 | 78% | +18 | +16.8% | 1.1% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 9 | 78% | +10 | +11.4% | 1.5% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 9 | 78% | +10 | +11.1% | 1.5% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 9, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – DragonClaw | ex-RUSTEC | 1.44 | 10 | won | +5 | 1010 |
| 15.08.26 | INOX Division – Misa | INOX Division | 1.45 | 10 | won | +5 | 1006 |
| 05.08.26 | BESTIA – METANOIA Wolves | BESTIA | 1.37 | 10 | won | +4 | 1001 |
| 04.08.26 | Nemiga – GenOne | GenOne | 1.40 | 10 | won | +4 | 997 |
| 03.08.26 | Imperial – Procyon | Imperial | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 993 |
| 03.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | GenOne | 1.37 | 10 | won | +4 | 988 |
| 31.07.26 | EAC – HOTU | HOTU | 1.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 985 |
| 13.07.26 | Honvéd – Julie&Cie | Honvéd | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 995 |
| 10.07.26 | LP – paiN | LP | 1.49 | 10 | lost | -10 | 990 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.