Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
+102u
ROI
+25.6%
win rate
88%
bets
8
drawdown
4.7%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
💰
Stake size
5% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+34u
period 3profit withdrawn+43u
period 2profit withdrawn+25u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% of bankroll | 8 | 88% | +201 | +25.4% | 8.8% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 8 | 88% | +102 | +25.6% | 4.7% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 8 | 88% | +41 | +25.7% | 1.9% | Selected |
| Martingale | 8 | 88% | +25 | +28.1% | 1% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 8 | 88% | +21 | +25.8% | 1% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 8 | 88% | +21 | +25.7% | 1% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 8, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Bushido Wildcats | 1.29 | 51 | won | +15 | 1102 |
| 14.08.26 | Enjoy – Misa | Enjoy | 1.49 | 50 | won | +24 | 1087 |
| 04.08.26 | fnatic – EAC | fnatic | 1.47 | 49 | won | +23 | 1063 |
| 04.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – NEW VISION | ex-RUSTEC | 1.47 | 48 | won | +22 | 1040 |
| 01.08.26 | SINNERS – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.28 | 50 | lost | -50 | 1018 |
| 31.07.26 | INOX Division – Falcons Force | INOX Division | 1.39 | 51 | won | +20 | 1068 |
| 30.07.26 | Nordic Partners – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.46 | 50 | won | +23 | 1048 |
| 17.06.26 | KOLESIE – illwill | KOLESIE | 1.49 | 50 | won | +25 | 1025 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.