Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-410u
ROI
-14%
win rate
61%
bets
59
drawdown
47.2%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
payments
Stake size
5% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-190u
period 6top-up-29u
period 5top-up-62u
period 4top-up-118u
period 3profit withdrawn+63u
period 2top-up-73u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat (10 units) | 59 | 61% | -82 | -13.8% | 10.1% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 59 | 61% | -82 | -13.9% | 10.1% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 59 | 61% | -163 | -13.9% | 19.8% | Select |
| Martingale | 59 | 61% | -240 | -14.3% | 40.2% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 59 | 61% | -410 | -14% | 47.2% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 59 | 61% | -822 | -14.3% | 87.3% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 59, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Galorys | 1.48 | 40 | won | +19 | 590 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 42 | lost | -42 | 571 |
| 10.10.26 | FarmVille – Wanted Goons | FarmVille | 1.47 | 44 | lost | -44 | 613 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | mellren | 1.36 | 46 | lost | -46 | 657 |
| 08.10.26 | Saint Sinners – mellren | mellren | 1.50 | 49 | lost | -49 | 703 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – NAVI Junior | Sangal | 1.42 | 51 | lost | -51 | 752 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – Leo | Leo | 1.36 | 50 | won | +18 | 803 |
| 07.10.26 | G2 Ares – SINQU | G2 Ares | 1.50 | 49 | won | +24 | 785 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.30 | 48 | won | +14 | 760 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | SportsBetExpert | 1.32 | 48 | won | +15 | 746 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.45 | 50 | lost | -50 | 731 |
| 28.09.26 | Marsborne – FarmVille | Marsborne | 1.41 | 48 | won | +20 | 781 |
| 28.09.26 | Galorys – Procyon | Galorys | 1.43 | 50 | lost | -50 | 761 |
| 27.09.26 | Mai Tai – BIG Academy | BIG Academy | 1.33 | 49 | won | +16 | 811 |
| 27.09.26 | Rare Atom – The Huns | Rare Atom | 1.47 | 52 | lost | -52 | 794 |
| 27.09.26 | INFINITE – Fluxo | Fluxo | 1.43 | 51 | won | +22 | 846 |
| 27.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Phantom Academy | Bushido Wildcats | 1.45 | 53 | lost | -53 | 824 |
| 26.09.26 | Lilmix – overTIME | overTIME | 1.48 | 52 | won | +25 | 878 |
| 26.09.26 | SportsBetExpert – my life be like | SportsBetExpert | 1.30 | 51 | won | +15 | 853 |
| 24.09.26 | Fluxo – Famalicão | Fluxo | 1.42 | 50 | won | +21 | 837 |
| 24.09.26 | FlyQuest RED – Wanted Goons | FlyQuest RED | 1.46 | 53 | lost | -53 | 816 |
| 19.09.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – PCIFIC | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.43 | 52 | won | +22 | 869 |
| 18.09.26 | NuTorious – Without a Roof | Without a Roof | 1.38 | 51 | won | +19 | 847 |
| 17.09.26 | Overtake Sector – NuTorious | Overtake Sector | 1.49 | 50 | won | +24 | 828 |
| 16.09.26 | CYBERSHOKE – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.43 | 49 | won | +21 | 804 |
| 15.09.26 | QUAZAR – Permitta | QUAZAR | 1.39 | 48 | won | +18 | 783 |
| 14.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – NAVI Junior | Bushido Wildcats | 1.47 | 50 | lost | -50 | 764 |
| 12.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Bushido Wildcats | 1.44 | 53 | lost | -53 | 814 |
| 10.09.26 | Voca – Villainous | Voca | 1.38 | 52 | won | +20 | 867 |
| 09.09.26 | Phantom Academy – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.43 | 51 | won | +22 | 848 |
| 09.09.26 | HOTU – Wildcard | HOTU | 1.44 | 50 | won | +22 | 826 |
| 07.09.26 | Back to Back – METANOIA Wolves | Back to Back | 1.50 | 49 | won | +24 | 804 |
| 06.09.26 | BERG – mellren | mellren | 1.42 | 48 | won | +20 | 780 |
| 01.09.26 | Entropy – Virtus.pro | Virtus.pro | 1.35 | 50 | lost | -50 | 760 |
| 31.08.26 | Spirit – FURIA | Spirit | 1.44 | 46 | won | +20 | 810 |
| 28.08.26 | SINNERS – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.32 | 48 | lost | -48 | 789 |
| 22.08.26 | Lavked – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.47 | 47 | won | +22 | 838 |
| 21.08.26 | Black Phoenix – Bebop | Black Phoenix | 1.47 | 46 | won | +22 | 816 |
| 17.08.26 | Enjoy – HAVU | Enjoy | 1.43 | 49 | lost | -49 | 794 |
| 07.08.26 | BRUTE – NAVI Junior | BRUTE | 1.49 | 51 | lost | -51 | 843 |
| 02.08.26 | 9INE – BRUTE | BRUTE | 1.43 | 50 | won | +22 | 894 |
| 31.07.26 | INOX Division – Falcons Force | INOX Division | 1.27 | 43 | won | +12 | 872 |
| 28.07.26 | TDK – BET-M | TDK | 1.29 | 43 | won | +12 | 860 |
| 26.07.26 | STATE – Lazer Cats | STATE | 1.47 | 45 | lost | -45 | 848 |
| 24.07.26 | Liquid – Vitality | Vitality | 1.48 | 48 | lost | -48 | 893 |
| 17.07.26 | Enjoy – PsychoFace | Enjoy | 1.38 | 50 | lost | -50 | 940 |
| 26.06.26 | Walczaki – Inner Circle | Walczaki | 1.47 | 56 | lost | -56 | 990 |
| 25.06.26 | INFINITE – Betclic | INFINITE | 1.48 | 55 | won | +26 | 1046 |
| 21.06.26 | Chicken Coop – Overtake Sector | Chicken Coop | 1.48 | 53 | won | +26 | 1020 |
| 15.06.26 | 100 Thieves – Betclic | 100 Thieves | 1.46 | 52 | won | +24 | 994 |
| 14.06.26 | 1win – TDK | TDK | 1.46 | 51 | won | +24 | 970 |
| 06.06.26 | Betclic – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.38 | 50 | won | +19 | 946 |
| 27.05.26 | Bounty Hunters – GameHunters | Bounty Hunters | 1.33 | 49 | lost | -49 | 927 |
| 25.05.26 | ex-RUBY – Ursa | ex-RUBY | 1.45 | 51 | lost | -51 | 976 |
| 22.05.26 | Alliance – Walczaki | Walczaki | 1.38 | 54 | lost | -54 | 1028 |
| 22.05.26 | Lavked – HEROIC Academy | Lavked | 1.49 | 53 | won | +26 | 1082 |
| 16.05.26 | SPARTA – Walczaki | Walczaki | 1.38 | 52 | won | +20 | 1056 |
| 14.05.26 | FAVBET – Walczaki | Walczaki | 1.35 | 51 | won | +18 | 1036 |
| 12.05.26 | BET-M – Walczaki | Walczaki | 1.36 | 50 | won | +18 | 1018 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.