Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
+52u
ROI
+1.8%
win rate
69%
bets
29
drawdown
50%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
💰
Stake size
10% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+474u
period 3top-up-266u
period 2top-up-156u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% of bankroll | 29 | 69% | +52 | +1.8% | 50% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 29 | 69% | +7 | +0.5% | 26.4% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 29 | 69% | -2 | -0.6% | 5.5% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 29 | 69% | -2 | -0.3% | 10.9% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 29 | 69% | -2 | -0.8% | 5.6% | Select |
| Martingale | 29 | 69% | -98 | -10.9% | 31.2% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 29, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | GenOne | 1.50 | 140 | won | +70 | 1052 |
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Bushido Wildcats | 1.29 | 136 | won | +40 | 982 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC – Fortress | EAC | 1.45 | 130 | won | +59 | 942 |
| 15.08.26 | INOX Division – Misa | INOX Division | 1.45 | 125 | won | +56 | 883 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – ex-MANA | INOX Division | 1.48 | 119 | won | +57 | 827 |
| 14.08.26 | Misa – Leo | Leo | 1.50 | 132 | lost | -132 | 770 |
| 14.08.26 | Enjoy – Misa | Enjoy | 1.49 | 126 | won | +61 | 903 |
| 12.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – ex-MANA | Bushido Wildcats | 1.47 | 121 | won | +57 | 841 |
| 09.08.26 | Inner Circle – Iberian Soul | Inner Circle | 1.46 | 115 | won | +53 | 784 |
| 08.08.26 | GenOne – Galactik rebels | GenOne | 1.44 | 110 | won | +49 | 732 |
| 07.08.26 | fnatic – 6666 | fnatic | 1.34 | 107 | won | +36 | 683 |
| 07.08.26 | Inner Circle – NIO | Inner Circle | 1.49 | 102 | won | +50 | 647 |
| 07.08.26 | GenOne – lafox | GenOne | 1.38 | 98 | won | +37 | 597 |
| 04.08.26 | Nemiga – GenOne | GenOne | 1.40 | 94 | won | +38 | 560 |
| 03.08.26 | 1win – ex-RUBY | ex-RUBY | 1.50 | 105 | lost | -105 | 522 |
| 01.08.26 | JiJieHao – GenOne | GenOne | 1.48 | 100 | won | +48 | 627 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – G2 Ares | HOTU | 1.46 | 82 | lost | -82 | 578 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – XCLAN | HOTU | 1.50 | 78 | won | +39 | 660 |
| 30.07.26 | Nordic Partners – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.46 | 74 | won | +34 | 621 |
| 28.07.26 | TDK – BET-M | TDK | 1.38 | 72 | won | +27 | 587 |
| 28.07.26 | HTX – TDK | TDK | 1.41 | 69 | won | +28 | 559 |
| 27.07.26 | ex-RUBY – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUBY | 1.47 | 66 | won | +31 | 531 |
| 25.07.26 | HOTU – Astralis | HOTU | 1.37 | 73 | lost | -73 | 500 |
| 24.07.26 | 3DMAX – magic | magic | 1.47 | 81 | lost | -81 | 573 |
| 18.07.26 | PsychoFace – QUAZAR | QUAZAR | 1.38 | 90 | lost | -90 | 654 |
| 16.07.26 | HEROIC – Phantom | Phantom | 1.47 | 100 | lost | -100 | 744 |
| 14.06.26 | Ursa – GenOne | GenOne | 1.47 | 94 | lost | -94 | 844 |
| 11.06.26 | Lazer Cats – GenOne | GenOne | 1.42 | 90 | won | +38 | 938 |
| 03.06.26 | HEROIC Academy – TNC | TNC | 1.49 | 100 | lost | -100 | 900 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.