Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-58u
ROI
-25.8%
win rate
52%
bets
23
drawdown
7.2%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
💰
Stake size
1% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-20u
period 3top-up-52u
period 2profit withdrawn+14u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 23 | 52% | -58 | -25.8% | 7.2% | Selected |
| Flat (10 units) | 23 | 52% | -60 | -25.9% | 7.3% | Select |
| Martingale | 23 | 52% | -96 | -15.3% | 15% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 23 | 52% | -115 | -25.7% | 13.9% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 23 | 52% | -272 | -25.3% | 32% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 23 | 52% | -495 | -24.7% | 55.9% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 23, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Entropy | Omega | 1.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 942 |
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Bushido Wildcats | 1.29 | 10 | won | +3 | 951 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Inner Circle Academy | Bushido Wildcats | 1.41 | 10 | won | +4 | 949 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Bushido Wildcats | 1.32 | 10 | won | +3 | 945 |
| 12.08.26 | Endless Journey – HAVU | Endless Journey | 1.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 941 |
| 07.08.26 | Virtus.pro – Sangal | Virtus.pro | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 951 |
| 04.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – NEW VISION | ex-RUSTEC | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 947 |
| 01.08.26 | ex-1win – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.47 | 10 | lost | -10 | 942 |
| 01.08.26 | SINNERS – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.28 | 10 | lost | -10 | 952 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – G2 Ares | HOTU | 1.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 962 |
| 30.07.26 | Nordic Partners – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.46 | 10 | won | +4 | 972 |
| 28.07.26 | GenOne – NEW VISION | GenOne | 1.41 | 10 | lost | -10 | 967 |
| 27.07.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – Entropy | CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 1.47 | 10 | lost | -10 | 977 |
| 26.07.26 | QUAZAR – NEW VISION | QUAZAR | 1.28 | 10 | lost | -10 | 986 |
| 24.07.26 | 3DMAX – magic | magic | 1.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | 996 |
| 18.07.26 | ex-RUBY – PsychoFace | ex-RUBY | 1.37 | 10 | won | +4 | 1006 |
| 18.07.26 | PsychoFace – QUAZAR | QUAZAR | 1.38 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1002 |
| 13.07.26 | Honvéd – Julie&Cie | Honvéd | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 1012 |
| 07.07.26 | PsychoFace – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.39 | 10 | won | +4 | 1008 |
| 01.07.26 | PARIVISION – Alliance | Alliance | 1.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1004 |
| 17.06.26 | KOLESIE – illwill | KOLESIE | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 1014 |
| 17.06.26 | SPARTA – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 1009 |
| 11.06.26 | Lazer Cats – GenOne | GenOne | 1.42 | 10 | won | +4 | 1004 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.