Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-127u
ROI
-8.5%
win rate
65%
bets
154
drawdown
18.3%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
payments
Stake size
1% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+15u
period 6top-up-89u
period 5profit withdrawn+15u
period 4top-up-50u
period 3top-up-8u
period 2top-up-10u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 154 | 65% | -55 | -2.1% | 16% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 154 | 65% | -127 | -8.5% | 18.3% | Selected |
| Flat (10 units) | 154 | 65% | -130 | -8.4% | 18.6% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 154 | 65% | -250 | -8.5% | 35.5% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 154 | 65% | -595 | -8.7% | 81.1% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 154 | 65% | -1105 | -9% | 140.4% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 154, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | FORZE Reload – LFO 10 | FORZE Reload | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 873 |
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | fnatic | 1.38 | 10 | won | +4 | 868 |
| 14.10.26 | Banda Chuya – 6666 | 6666 | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 864 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 10 | lost | -10 | 859 |
| 11.10.26 | Galorys – MEIA NOITE | Galorys | 1.41 | 10 | won | +4 | 869 |
| 10.10.26 | Without a Roof – Last Dance US | Without a Roof | 1.31 | 10 | won | +3 | 865 |
| 10.10.26 | FlyQuest – madlikewizards | FlyQuest | 1.45 | 10 | won | +5 | 862 |
| 09.10.26 | HOTU – Acend | HOTU | 1.45 | 10 | won | +4 | 858 |
| 09.10.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.40 | 10 | lost | -10 | 853 |
| 08.10.26 | Leo – Privateer | Leo | 1.26 | 10 | won | +3 | 863 |
| 08.10.26 | megoshort – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 861 |
| 08.10.26 | The Last Resort – Privateer | The Last Resort | 1.42 | 10 | lost | -10 | 856 |
| 08.10.26 | BERG – mellren | mellren | 1.32 | 10 | won | +3 | 866 |
| 08.10.26 | Turma do Pagode – BORRACHEIROS | Turma do Pagode | 1.45 | 10 | won | +5 | 863 |
| 07.10.26 | Famalicão – Lazer Cats | Lazer Cats | 1.50 | 10 | won | +5 | 858 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – SINQU | OG | 1.41 | 10 | won | +4 | 853 |
| 06.10.26 | Falcons – Natus Vincere | Falcons | 1.46 | 10 | won | +5 | 849 |
| 03.10.26 | Spirit – ShindeN | Spirit | 1.37 | 10 | won | +4 | 844 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.30 | 10 | won | +3 | 841 |
| 02.10.26 | Voca – Prestige | Voca | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 838 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | SportsBetExpert | 1.32 | 10 | won | +3 | 833 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 1.49 | 10 | lost | -10 | 830 |
| 02.10.26 | BBL – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 1.37 | 10 | lost | -10 | 840 |
| 01.10.26 | FaZe – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.24 | 10 | won | +2 | 850 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 848 |
| 29.09.26 | Refresher – HOTU | HOTU | 1.32 | 9 | won | +3 | 858 |
| 28.09.26 | Nemiga – FOKUS | Nemiga | 1.33 | 9 | won | +3 | 855 |
| 28.09.26 | Marsborne – FarmVille | Marsborne | 1.41 | 9 | won | +4 | 852 |
| 28.09.26 | Galorys – Procyon | Galorys | 1.43 | 9 | lost | -9 | 848 |
| 27.09.26 | INFINITE – Fluxo | Fluxo | 1.43 | 9 | won | +4 | 857 |
| 27.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Phantom Academy | Bushido Wildcats | 1.45 | 9 | lost | -9 | 853 |
| 26.09.26 | Lilmix – overTIME | overTIME | 1.48 | 9 | won | +4 | 862 |
| 26.09.26 | Legion – Rare Atom | Rare Atom | 1.43 | 9 | won | +4 | 858 |
| 26.09.26 | SportsBetExpert – my life be like | SportsBetExpert | 1.30 | 9 | won | +3 | 854 |
| 26.09.26 | regain – Marsborne | Marsborne | 1.48 | 9 | lost | -9 | 851 |
| 25.09.26 | GenOne – Giant Pandas | GenOne | 1.36 | 9 | won | +3 | 860 |
| 24.09.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – RBLS | BASEMENT BOYS | 1.49 | 9 | lost | -9 | 857 |
| 24.09.26 | Noir Verse – Illyrians | Illyrians | 1.47 | 9 | won | +4 | 866 |
| 24.09.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – GBC | BASEMENT BOYS | 1.43 | 9 | won | +4 | 862 |
| 24.09.26 | Nemesis – Rune Eaters | Nemesis | 1.49 | 9 | won | +4 | 858 |
| 24.09.26 | Fluxo – Famalicão | Fluxo | 1.42 | 9 | won | +4 | 854 |
| 24.09.26 | FlyQuest RED – Wanted Goons | FlyQuest RED | 1.46 | 9 | lost | -9 | 850 |
| 24.09.26 | LAG – DETONATE | LAG | 1.37 | 9 | won | +3 | 859 |
| 23.09.26 | mellren – Permitta | mellren | 1.35 | 9 | lost | -9 | 856 |
| 23.09.26 | EAC – fnatic | fnatic | 1.47 | 9 | won | +4 | 865 |
| 23.09.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – STATE | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.48 | 9 | lost | -9 | 860 |
| 22.09.26 | Inner Circle – 3DMAX | Inner Circle | 1.50 | 9 | lost | -9 | 870 |
| 22.09.26 | Fortress – LPH | LPH | 1.38 | 9 | won | +3 | 879 |
| 18.09.26 | NuTorious – Without a Roof | Without a Roof | 1.38 | 9 | won | +3 | 875 |
| 17.09.26 | Luminosity – B8 | B8 | 1.33 | 9 | won | +3 | 872 |
| 17.09.26 | Imperial – Bounty Hunters | Imperial | 1.44 | 9 | won | +4 | 869 |
| 16.09.26 | Teletubisie – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.43 | 9 | lost | -9 | 865 |
| 15.09.26 | QUAZAR – Permitta | QUAZAR | 1.39 | 9 | won | +4 | 874 |
| 14.09.26 | Young27 – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.29 | 9 | won | +3 | 871 |
| 14.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – NAVI Junior | Bushido Wildcats | 1.47 | 9 | lost | -9 | 868 |
| 13.09.26 | SINNERS – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.44 | 9 | won | +4 | 877 |
| 13.09.26 | INOX Division – FORZE Reload | INOX Division | 1.44 | 9 | lost | -9 | 873 |
| 12.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Bushido Wildcats | 1.44 | 9 | lost | -9 | 883 |
| 12.09.26 | Bebop – benched gods | benched gods | 1.40 | 9 | won | +4 | 892 |
| 11.09.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.25 | 10 | lost | -10 | 888 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.