Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-1410u
ROI
-11.3%
win rate
64%
bets
147
drawdown
157.6%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
payments
Stake size
10% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+50u
period 6top-up-513u
period 5top-up-105u
period 4top-up-517u
period 3top-up-154u
period 2top-up-172u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1% of bankroll | 147 | 64% | -150 | -10.3% | 18.3% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 147 | 64% | -150 | -10.2% | 18.4% | Select |
| Martingale | 147 | 64% | -214 | -7% | 38.4% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 147 | 64% | -297 | -10.5% | 36.1% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 147 | 64% | -730 | -10.8% | 85.8% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 147 | 64% | -1410 | -11.3% | 157.6% | Selected |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 147, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | fnatic | 1.38 | 101 | won | +38 | -410 |
| 14.10.26 | Banda Chuya – 6666 | 6666 | 1.49 | 96 | won | +47 | -449 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 107 | lost | -107 | -496 |
| 10.10.26 | FlyQuest – madlikewizards | FlyQuest | 1.45 | 103 | won | +46 | -389 |
| 09.10.26 | HOTU – Acend | HOTU | 1.45 | 98 | won | +44 | -435 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | mellren | 1.36 | 109 | lost | -109 | -479 |
| 08.10.26 | Leo – Privateer | Leo | 1.26 | 106 | won | +27 | -370 |
| 08.10.26 | megoshort – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.49 | 101 | won | +50 | -398 |
| 08.10.26 | Turma do Pagode – BORRACHEIROS | Turma do Pagode | 1.45 | 97 | won | +44 | -448 |
| 08.10.26 | METANOIA Wolves – LP | LP | 1.35 | 94 | won | +33 | -492 |
| 07.10.26 | Famalicão – Lazer Cats | Lazer Cats | 1.50 | 89 | won | +44 | -524 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – Leo | Leo | 1.36 | 86 | won | +31 | -569 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – mellren | mellren | 1.28 | 96 | lost | -96 | -600 |
| 06.10.26 | Falcons – Natus Vincere | Falcons | 1.46 | 91 | won | +42 | -504 |
| 03.10.26 | Spirit – ShindeN | Spirit | 1.37 | 88 | won | +33 | -546 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.30 | 86 | won | +26 | -579 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | SportsBetExpert | 1.32 | 83 | won | +27 | -605 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 1.49 | 92 | lost | -92 | -631 |
| 01.10.26 | FaZe – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.24 | 90 | won | +21 | -539 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.45 | 100 | lost | -100 | -561 |
| 29.09.26 | Nemesis – DARKWALL | Nemesis | 1.36 | 47 | won | +17 | -461 |
| 29.09.26 | Refresher – HOTU | HOTU | 1.32 | 46 | won | +15 | -477 |
| 28.09.26 | Marsborne – FarmVille | Marsborne | 1.41 | 44 | won | +18 | -492 |
| 28.09.26 | Galorys – Procyon | Galorys | 1.43 | 49 | lost | -49 | -510 |
| 27.09.26 | Imperial – paiN | Imperial | 1.29 | 47 | won | +14 | -462 |
| 27.09.26 | INFINITE – Fluxo | Fluxo | 1.43 | 45 | won | +20 | -475 |
| 27.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Phantom Academy | Bushido Wildcats | 1.45 | 50 | lost | -50 | -495 |
| 27.09.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Yawara | Yawara | 1.48 | 48 | won | +23 | -445 |
| 26.09.26 | Imperial – Bounty Hunters | Imperial | 1.42 | 46 | won | +19 | -468 |
| 26.09.26 | SportsBetExpert – my life be like | SportsBetExpert | 1.30 | 45 | won | +13 | -487 |
| 26.09.26 | regain – Marsborne | Marsborne | 1.48 | 50 | lost | -50 | -501 |
| 25.09.26 | NEXVOID – Legion | NEXVOID | 1.45 | 47 | won | +22 | -451 |
| 25.09.26 | Nemiga – INOX Division | Nemiga | 1.36 | 46 | won | +16 | -472 |
| 24.09.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – RBLS | BASEMENT BOYS | 1.49 | 51 | lost | -51 | -489 |
| 24.09.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – GBC | BASEMENT BOYS | 1.43 | 49 | won | +21 | -438 |
| 24.09.26 | paiN – Bounty Hunters | Bounty Hunters | 1.48 | 54 | lost | -54 | -459 |
| 24.09.26 | Nemiga – Just Players | Nemiga | 1.26 | 53 | won | +14 | -405 |
| 24.09.26 | Marsborne – Iowa Stormboar | Marsborne | 1.49 | 50 | won | +25 | -418 |
| 24.09.26 | FlyQuest RED – Wanted Goons | FlyQuest RED | 1.46 | 56 | lost | -56 | -443 |
| 24.09.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Keyd Stars | Keyd Stars | 1.38 | 62 | lost | -62 | -387 |
| 23.09.26 | mellren – Permitta | mellren | 1.35 | 69 | lost | -69 | -325 |
| 22.09.26 | ODDIK – Sementes do Mal | ODDIK | 1.42 | 66 | won | +28 | -256 |
| 22.09.26 | B8 – Luminosity | B8 | 1.37 | 74 | lost | -74 | -284 |
| 22.09.26 | Johnny Speeds – Virtus.pro | Virtus.pro | 1.42 | 82 | lost | -82 | -210 |
| 19.09.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – PCIFIC | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.43 | 79 | won | +34 | -128 |
| 18.09.26 | NuTorious – Without a Roof | Without a Roof | 1.38 | 76 | won | +29 | -162 |
| 17.09.26 | Luminosity – B8 | B8 | 1.33 | 73 | won | +24 | -190 |
| 17.09.26 | Imperial – Bounty Hunters | Imperial | 1.44 | 70 | won | +31 | -215 |
| 17.09.26 | Overtake Sector – NuTorious | Overtake Sector | 1.49 | 67 | won | +33 | -246 |
| 16.09.26 | Teletubisie – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.43 | 74 | lost | -74 | -278 |
| 14.09.26 | Young27 – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.29 | 72 | won | +21 | -204 |
| 14.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – NAVI Junior | Bushido Wildcats | 1.47 | 80 | lost | -80 | -225 |
| 13.09.26 | SINNERS – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.44 | 77 | won | +34 | -145 |
| 13.09.26 | INOX Division – FORZE Reload | INOX Division | 1.44 | 85 | lost | -85 | -178 |
| 12.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Bushido Wildcats | 1.44 | 95 | lost | -95 | -93 |
| 12.09.26 | Bebop – benched gods | benched gods | 1.40 | 91 | won | +36 | 2 |
| 11.09.26 | Luminosity – LP | LP | 1.41 | 101 | lost | -101 | -34 |
| 11.09.26 | 1win – Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1win | 1.36 | 98 | won | +36 | 67 |
| 10.09.26 | Galorys – Back to Back | Galorys | 1.41 | 109 | lost | -109 | 32 |
| 10.09.26 | INOX Division – Black Phoenix | INOX Division | 1.48 | 104 | won | +49 | 140 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.