Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-236u
ROI
-8.4%
win rate
65%
bets
145
drawdown
27.7%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
payments
Stake size
2% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-43u
period 6top-up-70u
period 5top-up-56u
period 4top-up-44u
period 3profit withdrawn+45u
period 2top-up-68u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat (10 units) | 145 | 65% | -116 | -8% | 13.9% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 145 | 65% | -117 | -8.2% | 14% | Select |
| Martingale | 145 | 65% | -201 | -6.5% | 30.4% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 145 | 65% | -236 | -8.4% | 27.7% | Selected |
| 5% of bankroll | 145 | 65% | -601 | -9% | 66.9% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 145 | 65% | -1222 | -9.9% | 125.2% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 145, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | Banda Chuya – 6666 | 6666 | 1.49 | 19 | won | +9 | 764 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Galorys | 1.48 | 19 | won | +9 | 755 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 19 | lost | -19 | 746 |
| 10.10.26 | Without a Roof – Last Dance US | Without a Roof | 1.31 | 19 | won | +6 | 765 |
| 10.10.26 | FlyQuest – madlikewizards | FlyQuest | 1.45 | 19 | won | +9 | 759 |
| 10.10.26 | FarmVille – Wanted Goons | FarmVille | 1.47 | 19 | lost | -19 | 751 |
| 09.10.26 | HOTU – Acend | HOTU | 1.45 | 19 | won | +9 | 770 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | mellren | 1.36 | 19 | lost | -19 | 761 |
| 08.10.26 | Saint Sinners – mellren | mellren | 1.50 | 20 | lost | -20 | 781 |
| 08.10.26 | FaZe – Sangal | Sangal | 1.49 | 20 | lost | -20 | 801 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – NAVI Junior | Sangal | 1.42 | 21 | lost | -21 | 821 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – Leo | Leo | 1.36 | 21 | won | +7 | 842 |
| 07.10.26 | G2 Ares – SINQU | G2 Ares | 1.50 | 20 | won | +10 | 834 |
| 06.10.26 | Falcons – Natus Vincere | Falcons | 1.46 | 20 | won | +9 | 824 |
| 03.10.26 | Spirit – ShindeN | Spirit | 1.37 | 20 | won | +7 | 815 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.30 | 20 | won | +6 | 807 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | SportsBetExpert | 1.32 | 20 | won | +6 | 801 |
| 02.10.26 | 100 Thieves – Anteiku | 100 Thieves | 1.41 | 20 | won | +8 | 795 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.45 | 20 | lost | -20 | 787 |
| 30.09.26 | PRIVATE – Nuclear TigeRES | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.48 | 18 | won | +9 | 807 |
| 29.09.26 | Refresher – HOTU | HOTU | 1.32 | 18 | won | +6 | 798 |
| 28.09.26 | Marsborne – FarmVille | Marsborne | 1.41 | 18 | won | +7 | 792 |
| 28.09.26 | Galorys – Procyon | Galorys | 1.43 | 19 | lost | -19 | 785 |
| 27.09.26 | Mai Tai – BIG Academy | BIG Academy | 1.33 | 18 | won | +6 | 803 |
| 27.09.26 | Rare Atom – The Huns | Rare Atom | 1.47 | 19 | lost | -19 | 797 |
| 27.09.26 | INFINITE – Fluxo | Fluxo | 1.43 | 19 | won | +8 | 816 |
| 27.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Phantom Academy | Bushido Wildcats | 1.45 | 19 | lost | -19 | 808 |
| 27.09.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Yawara | Yawara | 1.48 | 19 | won | +9 | 827 |
| 26.09.26 | Lilmix – overTIME | overTIME | 1.48 | 19 | won | +9 | 818 |
| 26.09.26 | SportsBetExpert – my life be like | SportsBetExpert | 1.30 | 19 | won | +6 | 809 |
| 26.09.26 | regain – Marsborne | Marsborne | 1.48 | 19 | lost | -19 | 803 |
| 24.09.26 | Noir Verse – Illyrians | Illyrians | 1.47 | 19 | won | +9 | 822 |
| 24.09.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – GBC | BASEMENT BOYS | 1.43 | 19 | won | +8 | 813 |
| 24.09.26 | paiN – Bounty Hunters | Bounty Hunters | 1.48 | 19 | lost | -19 | 805 |
| 24.09.26 | Fluxo – Famalicão | Fluxo | 1.42 | 19 | won | +8 | 824 |
| 24.09.26 | FlyQuest RED – Wanted Goons | FlyQuest RED | 1.46 | 19 | lost | -19 | 816 |
| 24.09.26 | Marsborne – Iowa Stormboar | Marsborne | 1.49 | 19 | won | +9 | 836 |
| 24.09.26 | Isurus – Grêmio | Isurus | 1.50 | 19 | lost | -19 | 826 |
| 23.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – megoshort | Bushido Wildcats | 1.46 | 19 | won | +9 | 846 |
| 23.09.26 | mellren – Permitta | mellren | 1.35 | 20 | lost | -20 | 837 |
| 22.09.26 | ODDIK – Sementes do Mal | ODDIK | 1.42 | 19 | won | +8 | 856 |
| 22.09.26 | Revise – Fortress | Revise | 1.36 | 19 | won | +7 | 848 |
| 19.09.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – PCIFIC | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.43 | 19 | won | +8 | 841 |
| 18.09.26 | NuTorious – Without a Roof | Without a Roof | 1.38 | 19 | won | +7 | 833 |
| 17.09.26 | Luminosity – B8 | B8 | 1.33 | 19 | won | +6 | 826 |
| 17.09.26 | Imperial – Bounty Hunters | Imperial | 1.44 | 19 | won | +8 | 819 |
| 17.09.26 | Overtake Sector – NuTorious | Overtake Sector | 1.49 | 18 | won | +9 | 811 |
| 16.09.26 | CYBERSHOKE – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.43 | 18 | won | +8 | 802 |
| 16.09.26 | Marsborne – KODEX | Marsborne | 1.43 | 18 | won | +8 | 794 |
| 15.09.26 | QUAZAR – Permitta | QUAZAR | 1.39 | 18 | won | +7 | 786 |
| 14.09.26 | Young27 – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.29 | 18 | won | +5 | 779 |
| 14.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – NAVI Junior | Bushido Wildcats | 1.47 | 18 | lost | -18 | 774 |
| 13.09.26 | SINNERS – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.44 | 18 | won | +8 | 792 |
| 13.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – megoshort | Bushido Wildcats | 1.48 | 18 | won | +9 | 785 |
| 13.09.26 | INOX Division – FORZE Reload | INOX Division | 1.44 | 18 | lost | -18 | 776 |
| 12.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Bushido Wildcats | 1.44 | 19 | lost | -19 | 794 |
| 12.09.26 | Bebop – benched gods | benched gods | 1.40 | 19 | won | +7 | 813 |
| 11.09.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.25 | 19 | lost | -19 | 806 |
| 11.09.26 | Luminosity – LP | LP | 1.41 | 19 | lost | -19 | 825 |
| 11.09.26 | Inner Circle Academy – megoshort | Inner Circle Academy | 1.46 | 20 | lost | -20 | 844 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.