Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

profit

-635u

ROI

-9.3%

win rate

65%

bets

150

drawdown

74.5%

payouts

Balance by period

Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.

working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up

Strategy rules

gps_fixed

What we bet on

Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

payments

Stake size

5% of bankroll

restart_alt

Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights

Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups

period 7top-up-76u

period 6top-up-251u

period 5top-up-143u

period 4top-up-110u

period 3profit withdrawn+109u

period 2top-up-165u

period 1profit withdrawn+0u

Stake sizes

Stake	Bets	Hit	Profit	ROI	Drawdown	Pick
Flat (10 units)	150	65%	-125	-8.3%	15.9%	Select
1% of bankroll	150	65%	-126	-8.5%	15.9%	Select
2% of bankroll	150	65%	-252	-8.7%	31.4%	Select
Martingale	150	65%	-280	-8.4%	39.9%	Select
5% of bankroll	150	65%	-635	-9.3%	74.5%	Selected
10% of bankroll	150	65%	-1266	-10.2%	135.8%	Select
Quarter Kelly	0	0%	+0	+0%	0%	Select

Bet-by-bet match log

Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 150, showing the last 60.

All Random 50%Random 25%Random 10%

Date	Match	Bet on	Odds	Stake	Result	±Bank	Bank
14.10.26	fnatic – Sashi	fnatic	1.38	45	won	+17	365
14.10.26	Banda Chuya – 6666	6666	1.49	44	won	+22	348
12.10.26	Yawara – Galorys	Galorys	1.48	43	won	+21	326
11.10.26	DENDELE – Imperial	Imperial	1.35	46	lost	-46	306
11.10.26	mellren – Lavked	mellren	1.47	44	won	+21	351
11.10.26	Just Players – Misa	Just Players	1.50	43	won	+22	330
10.10.26	Elusive – Marsborne	Marsborne	1.35	43	won	+15	309
10.10.26	FlyQuest – madlikewizards	FlyQuest	1.45	42	won	+19	294
09.10.26	MOUZ NXT – Leo	Leo	1.48	44	lost	-44	275
09.10.26	HOTU – Acend	HOTU	1.45	43	won	+19	319
09.10.26	mellren – Bebop	mellren	1.36	45	lost	-45	300
09.10.26	Azuolas – Enjoy	Enjoy	1.40	48	lost	-48	345
08.10.26	FaZe – Sangal	Sangal	1.49	50	lost	-50	392
08.10.26	megoshort – Fire Flux	Fire Flux	1.49	49	won	+24	443
08.10.26	BERG – mellren	mellren	1.32	48	won	+15	418
08.10.26	The Last Resort – Privateer	The Last Resort	1.42	51	lost	-51	403
08.10.26	Wanted Goons – Iowa Stormboar	Iowa Stormboar	1.39	50	won	+19	454
07.10.26	Famalicão – Lazer Cats	Lazer Cats	1.50	48	won	+24	434
07.10.26	Vexar – Privateer	Vexar	1.31	51	lost	-51	410
07.10.26	G2 Ares – SINQU	G2 Ares	1.50	50	won	+25	461
06.10.26	Falcons – Natus Vincere	Falcons	1.46	49	won	+23	436
03.10.26	Spirit – ShindeN	Spirit	1.37	48	won	+18	414
02.10.26	Alliance – Nemiga	Nemiga	1.30	47	won	+14	396
02.10.26	SportsBetExpert – XEPT	SportsBetExpert	1.32	46	won	+15	382
02.10.26	BBL – SportsBetExpert	SportsBetExpert	1.37	49	lost	-49	367
02.10.26	Eternal Fire – Nordic Partners	Eternal Fire	1.29	48	won	+14	416
01.10.26	FaZe – Nemiga	Nemiga	1.24	48	won	+11	402
01.10.26	EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity	ex-Zero Tenacity	1.45	50	lost	-50	391
30.09.26	PRIVATE – Nuclear TigeRES	Nuclear TigeRES	1.48	37	won	+18	441
29.09.26	Refresher – HOTU	HOTU	1.32	36	won	+12	423
28.09.26	Nemiga – FOKUS	Nemiga	1.33	35	won	+12	411
28.09.26	Marsborne – FarmVille	Marsborne	1.41	35	won	+14	400
28.09.26	Galorys – Procyon	Galorys	1.43	37	lost	-37	386
27.09.26	Fluxo – SAW	Fluxo	1.42	38	lost	-38	422
27.09.26	INFINITE – Fluxo	Fluxo	1.43	38	won	+16	460
27.09.26	METANOIA Wolves – Yawara	Yawara	1.48	37	won	+18	444
26.09.26	Lilmix – overTIME	overTIME	1.48	36	won	+17	427
26.09.26	Imperial – Bounty Hunters	Imperial	1.42	35	won	+15	410
26.09.26	regain – Marsborne	Marsborne	1.48	37	lost	-37	395
25.09.26	NEXVOID – Legion	NEXVOID	1.45	36	won	+16	432
25.09.26	EAC – Lilmix	EAC	1.49	35	won	+17	415
25.09.26	Nemiga – INOX Division	Nemiga	1.36	35	won	+12	398
24.09.26	BASEMENT BOYS – GBC	BASEMENT BOYS	1.43	34	won	+15	386
24.09.26	Fluxo – Famalicão	Fluxo	1.42	33	won	+14	371
24.09.26	LAG – DETONATE	LAG	1.37	33	won	+12	357
24.09.26	Galorys – Low Cortisol BR	Galorys	1.43	32	won	+14	345
24.09.26	METANOIA Wolves – Keyd Stars	Keyd Stars	1.38	34	lost	-34	331
23.09.26	mellren – Permitta	mellren	1.35	35	lost	-35	365
23.09.26	ex-Zero Tenacity – STATE	ex-Zero Tenacity	1.48	37	lost	-37	400
23.09.26	Isurus – METANOIA Wolves	Isurus	1.30	39	lost	-39	438
22.09.26	ODDIK – Sementes do Mal	ODDIK	1.42	38	won	+16	477
22.09.26	DAMAJUANA – Bounty Hunters	Bounty Hunters	1.44	38	won	+16	460
22.09.26	Inner Circle – 3DMAX	Inner Circle	1.50	40	lost	-40	444
22.09.26	Fortress – LPH	LPH	1.38	39	won	+15	484
22.09.26	mellren – KUUSAMO	mellren	1.41	41	lost	-41	469
17.09.26	Imperial – Bounty Hunters	Imperial	1.44	40	won	+18	510
15.09.26	QUAZAR – Permitta	QUAZAR	1.39	39	won	+15	492
14.09.26	Young27 – Nemiga	Nemiga	1.29	39	won	+11	477
14.09.26	Bushido Wildcats – NAVI Junior	Bushido Wildcats	1.47	41	lost	-41	466
13.09.26	SINNERS – Nemiga	Nemiga	1.44	40	won	+17	506

Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.

This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓