Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-272u
ROI
-25.3%
win rate
52%
bets
23
drawdown
32%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
💰
Stake size
5% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-103u
period 3top-up-240u
period 2profit withdrawn+71u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 23 | 52% | -58 | -25.8% | 7.2% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 23 | 52% | -60 | -25.9% | 7.3% | Select |
| Martingale | 23 | 52% | -96 | -15.3% | 15% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 23 | 52% | -115 | -25.7% | 13.9% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 23 | 52% | -272 | -25.3% | 32% | Selected |
| 10% of bankroll | 23 | 52% | -495 | -24.7% | 55.9% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 23, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Entropy | Omega | 1.46 | 47 | lost | -47 | 728 |
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Bushido Wildcats | 1.29 | 47 | won | +14 | 775 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Inner Circle Academy | Bushido Wildcats | 1.41 | 46 | won | +19 | 762 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Bushido Wildcats | 1.32 | 45 | won | +14 | 743 |
| 12.08.26 | Endless Journey – HAVU | Endless Journey | 1.48 | 47 | lost | -47 | 729 |
| 07.08.26 | Virtus.pro – Sangal | Virtus.pro | 1.48 | 46 | won | +22 | 776 |
| 04.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – NEW VISION | ex-RUSTEC | 1.47 | 45 | won | +21 | 754 |
| 01.08.26 | ex-1win – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.47 | 48 | lost | -48 | 733 |
| 01.08.26 | SINNERS – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.28 | 50 | lost | -50 | 781 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – G2 Ares | HOTU | 1.46 | 40 | lost | -40 | 831 |
| 30.07.26 | Nordic Partners – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.46 | 39 | won | +18 | 871 |
| 28.07.26 | GenOne – NEW VISION | GenOne | 1.41 | 41 | lost | -41 | 852 |
| 27.07.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – Entropy | CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 1.47 | 43 | lost | -43 | 894 |
| 26.07.26 | QUAZAR – NEW VISION | QUAZAR | 1.28 | 46 | lost | -46 | 937 |
| 24.07.26 | 3DMAX – magic | magic | 1.50 | 48 | lost | -48 | 982 |
| 18.07.26 | ex-RUBY – PsychoFace | ex-RUBY | 1.37 | 47 | won | +18 | 1030 |
| 18.07.26 | PsychoFace – QUAZAR | QUAZAR | 1.38 | 50 | lost | -50 | 1013 |
| 13.07.26 | Honvéd – Julie&Cie | Honvéd | 1.47 | 48 | won | +23 | 1062 |
| 07.07.26 | PsychoFace – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.39 | 48 | won | +19 | 1040 |
| 01.07.26 | PARIVISION – Alliance | Alliance | 1.48 | 50 | lost | -50 | 1021 |
| 17.06.26 | KOLESIE – illwill | KOLESIE | 1.49 | 52 | won | +26 | 1071 |
| 17.06.26 | SPARTA – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.47 | 51 | won | +24 | 1045 |
| 11.06.26 | Lazer Cats – GenOne | GenOne | 1.42 | 50 | won | +21 | 1021 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.