Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
+9u
ROI
+3.5%
win rate
72%
bets
25
drawdown
2.6%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
💰
Stake size
1% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+21u
period 3top-up-26u
period 2profit withdrawn+14u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% of bankroll | 25 | 72% | +97 | +3.4% | 21.9% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 25 | 72% | +46 | +3.5% | 12% | Select |
| Martingale | 25 | 72% | +23 | +6.6% | 3.2% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 25 | 72% | +18 | +3.5% | 5.1% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 25 | 72% | +9 | +3.5% | 2.6% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 25 | 72% | +9 | +3.4% | 2.6% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 25, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.08.26 | Honvéd – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.42 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1009 |
| 19.08.26 | Mai Tai – Honvéd | Honvéd | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 1019 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Entropy | Omega | 1.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1014 |
| 17.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – DragonClaw | ex-RUSTEC | 1.44 | 10 | won | +5 | 1024 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – Inner Circle Academy | ex-RUSTEC | 1.47 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1020 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Bushido Wildcats | 1.32 | 10 | won | +3 | 1030 |
| 16.08.26 | QUINTESSÊNCIA – METANOIA Wolves | QUINTESSÊNCIA | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 1027 |
| 15.08.26 | INOX Division – Misa | INOX Division | 1.45 | 10 | won | +5 | 1022 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – MOUZ NXT | INOX Division | 1.46 | 10 | won | +5 | 1017 |
| 08.08.26 | Butterfly – BET-M | Butterfly | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 1013 |
| 07.08.26 | GenOne – lafox | GenOne | 1.38 | 10 | won | +4 | 1008 |
| 05.08.26 | BESTIA – METANOIA Wolves | BESTIA | 1.37 | 10 | won | +4 | 1004 |
| 04.08.26 | Nemiga – GenOne | GenOne | 1.40 | 10 | won | +4 | 1000 |
| 03.08.26 | Imperial – Procyon | Imperial | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 996 |
| 03.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | GenOne | 1.37 | 10 | won | +4 | 991 |
| 31.07.26 | EAC – HOTU | HOTU | 1.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 987 |
| 28.07.26 | GenOne – NEW VISION | GenOne | 1.41 | 10 | lost | -10 | 997 |
| 22.07.26 | HOTU – GamerLegion | HOTU | 1.43 | 10 | won | +4 | 1007 |
| 14.07.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Patins da Ferrari | Patins da Ferrari | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 1003 |
| 13.07.26 | Honvéd – Julie&Cie | Honvéd | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 998 |
| 10.07.26 | LP – paiN | LP | 1.49 | 10 | lost | -10 | 994 |
| 01.07.26 | PARIVISION – Alliance | Alliance | 1.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1004 |
| 18.06.26 | TDK – Ursa | TDK | 1.45 | 10 | won | +5 | 1014 |
| 12.06.26 | SPARTA – GenOne | GenOne | 1.45 | 10 | won | +4 | 1009 |
| 06.06.26 | aAa – GenOne | GenOne | 1.45 | 10 | won | +5 | 1005 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.