Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

profit

-812u

ROI

-5.8%

win rate

68%

bets

151

drawdown

105.4%

payouts

Balance by period

Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.

working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up

Strategy rules

gps_fixed

What we bet on

Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

payments

Stake size

10% of bankroll

restart_alt

Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights

Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups

period 7profit withdrawn+28u

period 6top-up-325u

period 5profit withdrawn+39u

period 4top-up-469u

period 3profit withdrawn+35u

period 2top-up-120u

period 1profit withdrawn+0u

Stake sizes

Stake	Bets	Hit	Profit	ROI	Drawdown	Pick
Martingale	151	68%	-60	-2.4%	17.5%	Select
Flat (10 units)	151	68%	-70	-4.7%	11.6%	Select
1% of bankroll	151	68%	-72	-4.8%	11.7%	Select
2% of bankroll	151	68%	-145	-4.9%	23.1%	Select
5% of bankroll	151	68%	-380	-5.2%	55.9%	Select
10% of bankroll	151	68%	-812	-5.8%	105.4%	Select
Quarter Kelly	0	0%	+0	+0%	0%	Select

Bet-by-bet match log

Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 151, showing the last 60.

All Random 50%Random 25%Random 10%

Date	Match	Bet on	Odds	Stake	Result	±Bank	Bank
14.10.26	Banda Chuya – 6666	6666	1.49	98	won	+48	188
11.10.26	DENDELE – Imperial	Imperial	1.35	109	lost	-109	140
11.10.26	mellren – Lavked	mellren	1.47	104	won	+49	249
11.10.26	Galorys – MEIA NOITE	Galorys	1.41	100	won	+41	201
10.10.26	Without a Roof – Last Dance US	Without a Roof	1.31	97	won	+30	159
10.10.26	FlyQuest – madlikewizards	FlyQuest	1.45	93	won	+42	129
09.10.26	MOUZ NXT – Leo	Leo	1.48	103	lost	-103	87
09.10.26	HOTU – Acend	HOTU	1.45	99	won	+44	190
09.10.26	Azuolas – Enjoy	Enjoy	1.40	110	lost	-110	146
08.10.26	Leo – Privateer	Leo	1.26	107	won	+27	256
08.10.26	megoshort – Fire Flux	Fire Flux	1.49	102	won	+50	228
08.10.26	The Last Resort – Privateer	The Last Resort	1.42	113	lost	-113	178
08.10.26	Wanted Goons – Iowa Stormboar	Iowa Stormboar	1.39	109	won	+43	291
08.10.26	METANOIA Wolves – LP	LP	1.35	105	won	+37	248
08.10.26	Turma do Pagode – BORRACHEIROS	Turma do Pagode	1.45	101	won	+46	212
07.10.26	Famalicão – Lazer Cats	Lazer Cats	1.50	96	won	+48	166
07.10.26	Vexar – Privateer	Vexar	1.31	106	lost	-106	118
07.10.26	The Last Resort – Privateer	The Last Resort	1.38	103	won	+39	225
07.10.26	OG – SINQU	OG	1.41	99	won	+40	186
07.10.26	G2 Ares – SINQU	G2 Ares	1.50	94	won	+47	145
06.10.26	Falcons – Natus Vincere	Falcons	1.46	90	won	+42	98
03.10.26	Spirit – ShindeN	Spirit	1.37	86	won	+32	57
02.10.26	Alliance – Nemiga	Nemiga	1.30	84	won	+25	25
02.10.26	Voca – Prestige	Voca	1.47	80	won	+38	-1
02.10.26	SportsBetExpert – XEPT	SportsBetExpert	1.32	78	won	+25	-38
02.10.26	Ninjas in Pyjamas – SportsBetExpert	SportsBetExpert	1.49	86	lost	-86	-63
02.10.26	BBL – SportsBetExpert	SportsBetExpert	1.37	96	lost	-96	23
02.10.26	100 Thieves – Anteiku	100 Thieves	1.41	92	won	+38	119
01.10.26	FaZe – Nemiga	Nemiga	1.24	90	won	+21	81
01.10.26	EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity	ex-Zero Tenacity	1.45	100	lost	-100	60
29.09.26	Nemesis – DARKWALL	Nemesis	1.36	65	won	+23	160
28.09.26	Marsborne – FarmVille	Marsborne	1.41	63	won	+26	137
28.09.26	Galorys – Procyon	Galorys	1.43	70	lost	-70	111
27.09.26	Rare Atom – The Huns	Rare Atom	1.47	77	lost	-77	181
27.09.26	INFINITE – Fluxo	Fluxo	1.43	74	won	+32	258
27.09.26	METANOIA Wolves – Yawara	Yawara	1.48	71	won	+34	226
26.09.26	Lilmix – overTIME	overTIME	1.48	68	won	+32	192
26.09.26	Imperial – Bounty Hunters	Imperial	1.42	65	won	+27	160
26.09.26	regain – Marsborne	Marsborne	1.48	72	lost	-72	132
24.09.26	BASEMENT BOYS – GBC	BASEMENT BOYS	1.43	69	won	+30	204
24.09.26	Fluxo – Famalicão	Fluxo	1.42	66	won	+28	175
24.09.26	Marsborne – Iowa Stormboar	Marsborne	1.49	63	won	+31	147
24.09.26	Isurus – Grêmio	Isurus	1.50	70	lost	-70	116
24.09.26	Galorys – Low Cortisol BR	Galorys	1.43	67	won	+29	186
23.09.26	Bushido Wildcats – megoshort	Bushido Wildcats	1.46	64	won	+30	157
23.09.26	mellren – Permitta	mellren	1.35	71	lost	-71	127
23.09.26	mellren – Permitta	mellren	1.39	69	won	+27	198
22.09.26	ODDIK – Sementes do Mal	ODDIK	1.42	66	won	+28	172
22.09.26	DAMAJUANA – Bounty Hunters	Bounty Hunters	1.44	63	won	+28	144
22.09.26	Inner Circle – 3DMAX	Inner Circle	1.50	70	lost	-70	116
22.09.26	B8 – Luminosity	B8	1.37	78	lost	-78	186
22.09.26	Fortress – LPH	LPH	1.38	75	won	+28	264
19.09.26	ex-Zero Tenacity – PCIFIC	ex-Zero Tenacity	1.43	72	won	+31	236
18.09.26	LP – BERG	LP	1.49	69	won	+33	205
17.09.26	Luminosity – B8	B8	1.33	67	won	+22	172
17.09.26	Imperial – Bounty Hunters	Imperial	1.44	64	won	+28	150
17.09.26	Overtake Sector – NuTorious	Overtake Sector	1.49	61	won	+30	122
16.09.26	Teletubisie – ex-Zero Tenacity	ex-Zero Tenacity	1.43	67	lost	-67	92
16.09.26	Marsborne – KODEX	Marsborne	1.43	65	won	+28	159
15.09.26	QUAZAR – Permitta	QUAZAR	1.39	62	won	+24	131

Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.

This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy