Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

profit

-601u

ROI

-9%

win rate

65%

bets

145

drawdown

66.9%

payouts

Balance by period

Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.

working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up

Strategy rules

gps_fixed

What we bet on

Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

payments

Stake size

5% of bankroll

restart_alt

Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights

Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups

period 7top-up-110u

period 6top-up-184u

period 5top-up-143u

period 4top-up-110u

period 3profit withdrawn+109u

period 2top-up-165u

period 1profit withdrawn+0u

Stake sizes

Stake	Bets	Hit	Profit	ROI	Drawdown	Pick
Flat (10 units)	145	65%	-116	-8%	13.9%	Select
1% of bankroll	145	65%	-117	-8.2%	14%	Select
Martingale	145	65%	-201	-6.5%	30.4%	Select
2% of bankroll	145	65%	-236	-8.4%	27.7%	Select
5% of bankroll	145	65%	-601	-9%	66.9%	Select
10% of bankroll	145	65%	-1222	-9.9%	125.2%	Select
Quarter Kelly	0	0%	+0	+0%	0%	Select

Bet-by-bet match log

Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 145, showing the last 60.

All Random 50%Random 25%Random 10%

Date	Match	Bet on	Odds	Stake	Result	±Bank	Bank
14.10.26	Banda Chuya – 6666	6666	1.49	43	won	+21	399
12.10.26	Yawara – Galorys	Galorys	1.48	42	won	+20	377
11.10.26	DENDELE – Imperial	Imperial	1.35	45	lost	-45	357
10.10.26	Without a Roof – Last Dance US	Without a Roof	1.31	44	won	+14	402
10.10.26	FlyQuest – madlikewizards	FlyQuest	1.45	43	won	+19	388
10.10.26	FarmVille – Wanted Goons	FarmVille	1.47	45	lost	-45	369
09.10.26	HOTU – Acend	HOTU	1.45	44	won	+20	414
09.10.26	mellren – Bebop	mellren	1.36	47	lost	-47	394
08.10.26	Saint Sinners – mellren	mellren	1.50	49	lost	-49	441
08.10.26	FaZe – Sangal	Sangal	1.49	52	lost	-52	490
07.10.26	Sangal – NAVI Junior	Sangal	1.42	54	lost	-54	541
07.10.26	BERG – Leo	Leo	1.36	53	won	+19	596
07.10.26	G2 Ares – SINQU	G2 Ares	1.50	52	won	+26	576
06.10.26	Falcons – Natus Vincere	Falcons	1.46	51	won	+24	550
03.10.26	Spirit – ShindeN	Spirit	1.37	50	won	+19	527
02.10.26	Alliance – Nemiga	Nemiga	1.30	49	won	+15	508
02.10.26	SportsBetExpert – XEPT	SportsBetExpert	1.32	48	won	+16	493
02.10.26	100 Thieves – Anteiku	100 Thieves	1.41	48	won	+19	478
01.10.26	EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity	ex-Zero Tenacity	1.45	50	lost	-50	458
30.09.26	PRIVATE – Nuclear TigeRES	Nuclear TigeRES	1.48	40	won	+19	508
29.09.26	Refresher – HOTU	HOTU	1.32	39	won	+13	489
28.09.26	Marsborne – FarmVille	Marsborne	1.41	38	won	+16	476
28.09.26	Galorys – Procyon	Galorys	1.43	40	lost	-40	460
27.09.26	Mai Tai – BIG Academy	BIG Academy	1.33	40	won	+13	501
27.09.26	Rare Atom – The Huns	Rare Atom	1.47	42	lost	-42	488
27.09.26	INFINITE – Fluxo	Fluxo	1.43	41	won	+18	530
27.09.26	Bushido Wildcats – Phantom Academy	Bushido Wildcats	1.45	43	lost	-43	512
27.09.26	METANOIA Wolves – Yawara	Yawara	1.48	42	won	+20	555
26.09.26	Lilmix – overTIME	overTIME	1.48	41	won	+20	535
26.09.26	SportsBetExpert – my life be like	SportsBetExpert	1.30	41	won	+12	515
26.09.26	regain – Marsborne	Marsborne	1.48	43	lost	-43	503
24.09.26	Noir Verse – Illyrians	Illyrians	1.47	42	won	+20	546
24.09.26	BASEMENT BOYS – GBC	BASEMENT BOYS	1.43	41	won	+18	526
24.09.26	paiN – Bounty Hunters	Bounty Hunters	1.48	43	lost	-43	508
24.09.26	Fluxo – Famalicão	Fluxo	1.42	42	won	+18	551
24.09.26	FlyQuest RED – Wanted Goons	FlyQuest RED	1.46	44	lost	-44	534
24.09.26	Marsborne – Iowa Stormboar	Marsborne	1.49	43	won	+21	578
24.09.26	Isurus – Grêmio	Isurus	1.50	46	lost	-46	557
23.09.26	Bushido Wildcats – megoshort	Bushido Wildcats	1.46	44	won	+21	602
23.09.26	mellren – Permitta	mellren	1.35	47	lost	-47	582
22.09.26	ODDIK – Sementes do Mal	ODDIK	1.42	46	won	+19	628
22.09.26	Revise – Fortress	Revise	1.36	45	won	+16	609
19.09.26	ex-Zero Tenacity – PCIFIC	ex-Zero Tenacity	1.43	44	won	+19	592
18.09.26	NuTorious – Without a Roof	Without a Roof	1.38	43	won	+16	574
17.09.26	Luminosity – B8	B8	1.33	43	won	+14	557
17.09.26	Imperial – Bounty Hunters	Imperial	1.44	42	won	+18	543
17.09.26	Overtake Sector – NuTorious	Overtake Sector	1.49	41	won	+20	525
16.09.26	CYBERSHOKE – Nemiga	Nemiga	1.43	40	won	+17	505
16.09.26	Marsborne – KODEX	Marsborne	1.43	39	won	+17	488
15.09.26	QUAZAR – Permitta	QUAZAR	1.39	38	won	+15	471
14.09.26	Young27 – Nemiga	Nemiga	1.29	38	won	+11	456
14.09.26	Bushido Wildcats – NAVI Junior	Bushido Wildcats	1.47	40	lost	-40	445
13.09.26	SINNERS – Nemiga	Nemiga	1.44	39	won	+17	485
13.09.26	Bushido Wildcats – megoshort	Bushido Wildcats	1.48	38	won	+18	468
13.09.26	INOX Division – FORZE Reload	INOX Division	1.44	40	lost	-40	450
12.09.26	Bushido Wildcats – Misa	Bushido Wildcats	1.44	42	lost	-42	490
12.09.26	Bebop – benched gods	benched gods	1.40	41	won	+16	532
11.09.26	DENDELE – Imperial	Imperial	1.25	43	lost	-43	515
11.09.26	Luminosity – LP	LP	1.41	46	lost	-46	559
11.09.26	Inner Circle Academy – megoshort	Inner Circle Academy	1.46	48	lost	-48	604

Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.

This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy