Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-24u
ROI
-2.9%
win rate
63%
bets
48
drawdown
10.8%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
💰
Stake size
Martingale
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+75u
period 3top-up-100u
period 2profit withdrawn+1u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Martingale | 48 | 63% | -24 | -2.9% | 10.8% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 48 | 63% | -47 | -9.8% | 7.6% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 48 | 63% | -48 | -10.1% | 7.7% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 48 | 63% | -93 | -9.6% | 15% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 48 | 63% | -220 | -8.9% | 35.8% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 48 | 63% | -408 | -7.9% | 66.8% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 48, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.08.26 | Honvéd – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.42 | 10 | lost | -10 | 976 |
| 19.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | GenOne | 1.50 | 20 | won | +10 | 986 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Entropy | Omega | 1.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 976 |
| 18.08.26 | WBT – Mai Tai | WBT | 1.36 | 10 | won | +4 | 986 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC – Fortress | EAC | 1.45 | 10 | won | +5 | 983 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Inner Circle Academy | Bushido Wildcats | 1.41 | 20 | won | +8 | 978 |
| 16.08.26 | Lavked – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 970 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – MOUZ NXT | INOX Division | 1.46 | 40 | won | +18 | 980 |
| 14.08.26 | Misa – Leo | Leo | 1.50 | 20 | lost | -20 | 961 |
| 12.08.26 | Endless Journey – HAVU | Endless Journey | 1.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 981 |
| 09.08.26 | Inner Circle – Iberian Soul | Inner Circle | 1.46 | 10 | won | +5 | 991 |
| 08.08.26 | GenOne – Galactik rebels | GenOne | 1.44 | 10 | won | +4 | 987 |
| 08.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Isurus | Isurus | 1.40 | 10 | won | +4 | 982 |
| 08.08.26 | Butterfly – BET-M | Butterfly | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 978 |
| 08.08.26 | Virtus.pro – JiJieHao | Virtus.pro | 1.46 | 10 | won | +5 | 974 |
| 07.08.26 | fnatic – 6666 | fnatic | 1.34 | 10 | won | +3 | 969 |
| 05.08.26 | BESTIA – METANOIA Wolves | BESTIA | 1.37 | 10 | won | +4 | 966 |
| 04.08.26 | fnatic – EAC | fnatic | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 962 |
| 04.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – NEW VISION | ex-RUSTEC | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 957 |
| 03.08.26 | Imperial – Procyon | Imperial | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 953 |
| 03.08.26 | fnatic – Lilmix | fnatic | 1.34 | 10 | won | +3 | 948 |
| 02.08.26 | Lazer Cats – GenOne | GenOne | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 944 |
| 02.08.26 | 9INE – BRUTE | BRUTE | 1.49 | 20 | won | +10 | 940 |
| 01.08.26 | ex-1win – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.47 | 10 | lost | -10 | 930 |
| 01.08.26 | JiJieHao – GenOne | GenOne | 1.48 | 80 | won | +38 | 940 |
| 31.07.26 | EAC – HOTU | HOTU | 1.46 | 40 | lost | -40 | 901 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – G2 Ares | HOTU | 1.46 | 20 | lost | -20 | 941 |
| 30.07.26 | WW – TDK | TDK | 1.44 | 10 | lost | -10 | 961 |
| 29.07.26 | Nemiga – TDK | TDK | 1.45 | 10 | won | +4 | 971 |
| 28.07.26 | TDK – BET-M | TDK | 1.38 | 80 | won | +31 | 967 |
| 28.07.26 | GenOne – NEW VISION | GenOne | 1.41 | 40 | lost | -40 | 936 |
| 27.07.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – Entropy | CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 1.47 | 20 | lost | -20 | 976 |
| 25.07.26 | NEW VISION – benched gods | benched gods | 1.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | 996 |
| 22.07.26 | HOTU – GamerLegion | HOTU | 1.43 | 20 | won | +9 | 1006 |
| 21.07.26 | Nemesis – Astralis | Nemesis | 1.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | 998 |
| 18.07.26 | ex-RUBY – PsychoFace | ex-RUBY | 1.38 | 20 | won | +8 | 1008 |
| 17.07.26 | 3DMAX – Gentle Mates | Gentle Mates | 1.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1000 |
| 14.07.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Patins da Ferrari | Patins da Ferrari | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 1010 |
| 13.07.26 | Honvéd – Julie&Cie | Honvéd | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 1005 |
| 09.07.26 | RUSTEC – Honvéd | Honvéd | 1.49 | 20 | won | +10 | 1001 |
| 01.07.26 | PARIVISION – Alliance | Alliance | 1.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 991 |
| 24.06.26 | LP – Vasco | LP | 1.43 | 10 | won | +4 | 1001 |
| 18.06.26 | TDK – Ursa | TDK | 1.45 | 20 | won | +9 | 997 |
| 14.06.26 | illwill – Virtus.pro | Virtus.pro | 1.47 | 10 | lost | -10 | 987 |
| 11.06.26 | Lazer Cats – GenOne | GenOne | 1.42 | 20 | won | +8 | 997 |
| 10.06.26 | SPARTA – brazylijski luz | brazylijski luz | 1.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 989 |
| 06.06.26 | aAa – GenOne | GenOne | 1.45 | 20 | won | +9 | 999 |
| 03.06.26 | HEROIC Academy – TNC | TNC | 1.49 | 10 | lost | -10 | 990 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.