Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-1427u
ROI
-5.5%
win rate
68%
bets
336
drawdown
160.1%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
payments
Stake size
10% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+33u
period 6top-up-563u
period 5profit withdrawn+73u
period 4top-up-583u
period 3top-up-22u
period 2top-up-364u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat (10 units) | 336 | 68% | -130 | -3.9% | 21.7% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 336 | 68% | -132 | -4% | 21.2% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 336 | 68% | -267 | -4.2% | 40.7% | Select |
| Martingale | 336 | 68% | -375 | -5.5% | 54.4% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 336 | 68% | -688 | -4.7% | 90.2% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 336 | 68% | -1427 | -5.5% | 160.1% | Selected |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 336, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | fnatic | 1.38 | 100 | won | +38 | -427 |
| 14.10.26 | Banda Chuya – 6666 | 6666 | 1.49 | 95 | won | +46 | -465 |
| 14.10.26 | 9z – Aurora | Aurora | 1.46 | 105 | lost | -105 | -511 |
| 14.10.26 | ex-Keyd Stars – Galorys | Galorys | 1.43 | 101 | won | +43 | -406 |
| 13.10.26 | Black Phoenix – 6666 | Black Phoenix | 1.40 | 97 | won | +39 | -449 |
| 12.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny Speeds | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.45 | 93 | won | +42 | -488 |
| 12.10.26 | Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.46 | 89 | won | +41 | -530 |
| 12.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Betclic | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1.50 | 85 | won | +42 | -571 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Galorys | 1.48 | 81 | won | +38 | -613 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 90 | lost | -90 | -651 |
| 11.10.26 | mellren – Lavked | mellren | 1.47 | 86 | won | +40 | -562 |
| 11.10.26 | GenOne – Banda Chuya | GenOne | 1.29 | 83 | won | +24 | -602 |
| 11.10.26 | Bebop – mellren | mellren | 1.40 | 80 | won | +32 | -626 |
| 11.10.26 | Aurora – Spirit | Spirit | 1.50 | 89 | lost | -89 | -658 |
| 11.10.26 | Just Players – Misa | Just Players | 1.50 | 85 | won | +42 | -569 |
| 11.10.26 | Galorys – MEIA NOITE | Galorys | 1.41 | 82 | won | +34 | -611 |
| 10.10.26 | Fathom – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 1.42 | 78 | won | +33 | -645 |
| 10.10.26 | Elusive – Marsborne | Marsborne | 1.35 | 76 | won | +26 | -677 |
| 10.10.26 | Iberian Soul – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.23 | 84 | lost | -84 | -703 |
| 10.10.26 | mellren – Honvéd | mellren | 1.36 | 81 | won | +29 | -619 |
| 10.10.26 | Mindfreak – Abyssal | Abyssal | 1.49 | 77 | won | +38 | -649 |
| 10.10.26 | FlyQuest – madlikewizards | FlyQuest | 1.45 | 74 | won | +33 | -687 |
| 10.10.26 | BGNS Orange – Ground Zero | Ground Zero | 1.50 | 70 | won | +35 | -720 |
| 10.10.26 | THUNDER dOWNUNDER – BGNS Orange | THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 1.48 | 78 | lost | -78 | -755 |
| 09.10.26 | Sangal – G2 Ares | Sangal | 1.48 | 75 | won | +36 | -677 |
| 09.10.26 | Lavked – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.42 | 72 | won | +30 | -713 |
| 09.10.26 | MOUZ NXT – Leo | Leo | 1.48 | 80 | lost | -80 | -743 |
| 09.10.26 | Vitality – PARIVISION | Vitality | 1.39 | 77 | won | +30 | -663 |
| 09.10.26 | HOTU – Acend | HOTU | 1.45 | 73 | won | +33 | -693 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | mellren | 1.36 | 82 | lost | -82 | -726 |
| 09.10.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.40 | 91 | lost | -91 | -645 |
| 08.10.26 | Saint Sinners – mellren | mellren | 1.50 | 101 | lost | -101 | -554 |
| 08.10.26 | FaZe – Sangal | Sangal | 1.49 | 112 | lost | -112 | -454 |
| 08.10.26 | megoshort – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.49 | 107 | won | +53 | -342 |
| 08.10.26 | BERG – mellren | mellren | 1.32 | 103 | won | +33 | -394 |
| 08.10.26 | The Last Resort – Privateer | The Last Resort | 1.42 | 115 | lost | -115 | -427 |
| 08.10.26 | Wanted Goons – Iowa Stormboar | Iowa Stormboar | 1.39 | 110 | won | +43 | -313 |
| 08.10.26 | METANOIA Wolves – LP | LP | 1.35 | 107 | won | +37 | -356 |
| 07.10.26 | Famalicão – Lazer Cats | Lazer Cats | 1.50 | 102 | won | +50 | -393 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – NAVI Junior | Sangal | 1.42 | 113 | lost | -113 | -444 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Privateer | Vexar | 1.31 | 125 | lost | -125 | -331 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – mellren | mellren | 1.28 | 139 | lost | -139 | -205 |
| 07.10.26 | Alter Ego – Legion | Alter Ego | 1.47 | 133 | won | +63 | -66 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – SINQU | OG | 1.41 | 128 | won | +52 | -128 |
| 07.10.26 | G2 Ares – SINQU | G2 Ares | 1.50 | 122 | won | +61 | -181 |
| 07.10.26 | HOTU – STATE | HOTU | 1.45 | 117 | won | +53 | -242 |
| 06.10.26 | Falcons – Natus Vincere | Falcons | 1.46 | 111 | won | +52 | -294 |
| 04.10.26 | Spirit – PARIVISION | Spirit | 1.22 | 109 | won | +24 | -346 |
| 03.10.26 | Banda Chuya – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.41 | 105 | won | +43 | -370 |
| 03.10.26 | Spirit – ShindeN | Spirit | 1.37 | 101 | won | +38 | -413 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.30 | 98 | won | +29 | -451 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – Anteiku | Eternal Fire | 1.24 | 96 | won | +23 | -480 |
| 02.10.26 | Voca – Prestige | Voca | 1.47 | 91 | won | +43 | -503 |
| 02.10.26 | Johnny Speeds – MTX | Johnny Speeds | 1.45 | 102 | lost | -102 | -546 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | SportsBetExpert | 1.32 | 98 | won | +32 | -444 |
| 02.10.26 | Sangal – XEPT | Sangal | 1.38 | 95 | won | +36 | -476 |
| 02.10.26 | Nordic Partners – SINNERS | SINNERS | 1.48 | 90 | won | +43 | -512 |
| 02.10.26 | EAC EXTRA – FOKUS | FOKUS | 1.48 | 86 | won | +41 | -555 |
| 02.10.26 | BBL – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 1.37 | 96 | lost | -96 | -597 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – Nordic Partners | Eternal Fire | 1.29 | 93 | won | +27 | -501 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.