Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-16u
ROI
-3.2%
win rate
67%
bets
49
drawdown
6.3%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
💰
Stake size
1% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+29u
period 3top-up-53u
period 2profit withdrawn+8u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 49 | 67% | +29 | +4% | 5.3% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 49 | 67% | -16 | -3.2% | 6.3% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 49 | 67% | -16 | -3.4% | 6.4% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 49 | 67% | -30 | -3% | 12.3% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 49 | 67% | -64 | -2.6% | 28.9% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 49 | 67% | -100 | -1.9% | 52.1% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 49, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.08.26 | Honvéd – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.42 | 10 | lost | -10 | 984 |
| 19.08.26 | Mai Tai – Honvéd | Honvéd | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 995 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Entropy | Omega | 1.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 990 |
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Bushido Wildcats | 1.30 | 10 | won | +3 | 1000 |
| 17.08.26 | Enjoy – HAVU | Enjoy | 1.46 | 11 | lost | -11 | 997 |
| 17.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – DragonClaw | ex-RUSTEC | 1.44 | 10 | won | +5 | 1008 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – Inner Circle Academy | ex-RUSTEC | 1.47 | 11 | lost | -11 | 1003 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Bushido Wildcats | 1.32 | 11 | won | +3 | 1013 |
| 16.08.26 | QUINTESSÊNCIA – METANOIA Wolves | QUINTESSÊNCIA | 1.47 | 11 | won | +5 | 1010 |
| 15.08.26 | INOX Division – Misa | INOX Division | 1.45 | 10 | won | +5 | 1005 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – MOUZ NXT | INOX Division | 1.46 | 10 | won | +5 | 1000 |
| 13.08.26 | Luminosity – Spirit | Spirit | 1.38 | 10 | won | +4 | 996 |
| 12.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – ex-MANA | Bushido Wildcats | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 992 |
| 08.08.26 | GenOne – Galactik rebels | GenOne | 1.44 | 10 | won | +5 | 987 |
| 08.08.26 | Butterfly – BET-M | Butterfly | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 982 |
| 08.08.26 | Virtus.pro – JiJieHao | Virtus.pro | 1.46 | 10 | won | +5 | 977 |
| 07.08.26 | fnatic – 6666 | fnatic | 1.34 | 10 | won | +3 | 973 |
| 07.08.26 | GenOne – lafox | GenOne | 1.38 | 10 | won | +4 | 969 |
| 05.08.26 | BESTIA – METANOIA Wolves | BESTIA | 1.37 | 10 | won | +4 | 965 |
| 04.08.26 | Nemiga – GenOne | GenOne | 1.40 | 10 | won | +4 | 962 |
| 04.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – NEW VISION | ex-RUSTEC | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 958 |
| 03.08.26 | Imperial – Procyon | Imperial | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 953 |
| 03.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | GenOne | 1.37 | 10 | won | +4 | 948 |
| 02.08.26 | Leo – ex-MANA | Leo | 1.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 944 |
| 02.08.26 | Lazer Cats – GenOne | GenOne | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 954 |
| 02.08.26 | Mai Tai – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 950 |
| 01.08.26 | ex-1win – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.47 | 10 | lost | -10 | 945 |
| 31.07.26 | EAC – HOTU | HOTU | 1.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 955 |
| 31.07.26 | ex-RUBY – Lavked | ex-RUBY | 1.40 | 10 | won | +4 | 964 |
| 30.07.26 | Liquid – Spirit | Spirit | 1.46 | 9 | won | +4 | 961 |
| 28.07.26 | HTX – TDK | TDK | 1.41 | 9 | won | +4 | 956 |
| 28.07.26 | GenOne – NEW VISION | GenOne | 1.41 | 10 | lost | -10 | 952 |
| 28.07.26 | TDK – BAKS | TDK | 1.37 | 10 | lost | -10 | 962 |
| 27.07.26 | BRUTE – LEO SE | BRUTE | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 972 |
| 27.07.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – Entropy | CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 1.47 | 10 | lost | -10 | 967 |
| 24.07.26 | 3DMAX – magic | magic | 1.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | 976 |
| 22.07.26 | HOTU – GamerLegion | HOTU | 1.43 | 10 | won | +4 | 986 |
| 17.07.26 | 3DMAX – Gentle Mates | Gentle Mates | 1.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 982 |
| 14.07.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Patins da Ferrari | Patins da Ferrari | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 992 |
| 13.07.26 | Honvéd – Julie&Cie | Honvéd | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 987 |
| 10.07.26 | LP – paiN | LP | 1.49 | 10 | lost | -10 | 983 |
| 09.07.26 | Imperial – LP | LP | 1.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 993 |
| 09.07.26 | RUSTEC – Honvéd | Honvéd | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 1003 |
| 01.07.26 | PARIVISION – Alliance | Alliance | 1.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 998 |
| 18.06.26 | TDK – Ursa | TDK | 1.45 | 10 | won | +5 | 1008 |
| 12.06.26 | SPARTA – GenOne | GenOne | 1.45 | 10 | won | +4 | 1003 |
| 11.06.26 | Lazer Cats – GenOne | GenOne | 1.42 | 10 | won | +4 | 999 |
| 06.06.26 | aAa – GenOne | GenOne | 1.45 | 10 | won | +4 | 994 |
| 03.06.26 | HEROIC Academy – TNC | TNC | 1.49 | 10 | lost | -10 | 990 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.