Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-1185u
ROI
-4.4%
win rate
67%
bets
336
drawdown
162.1%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
payments
Stake size
10% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+368u
period 6top-up-774u
period 5profit withdrawn+420u
period 4top-up-738u
period 3top-up-135u
period 2top-up-326u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1% of bankroll | 336 | 67% | -182 | -5.6% | 26% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 336 | 67% | -191 | -5.7% | 27.3% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 336 | 67% | -345 | -5.4% | 49.1% | Select |
| Martingale | 336 | 67% | -642 | -9.3% | 82.9% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 336 | 67% | -742 | -5% | 104.4% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 336 | 67% | -1185 | -4.4% | 162.1% | Selected |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 336, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | Banda Chuya – 6666 | 6666 | 1.49 | 130 | won | +64 | -185 |
| 14.10.26 | 9z – Aurora | Aurora | 1.46 | 145 | lost | -145 | -249 |
| 14.10.26 | ex-Keyd Stars – Galorys | Galorys | 1.43 | 139 | won | +60 | -104 |
| 13.10.26 | Black Phoenix – 6666 | Black Phoenix | 1.40 | 134 | won | +53 | -164 |
| 12.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny Speeds | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.45 | 128 | won | +58 | -217 |
| 12.10.26 | Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.46 | 122 | won | +56 | -275 |
| 12.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Betclic | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1.50 | 116 | won | +58 | -331 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 129 | lost | -129 | -389 |
| 11.10.26 | mellren – Lavked | mellren | 1.47 | 124 | won | +58 | -259 |
| 11.10.26 | GenOne – Banda Chuya | GenOne | 1.29 | 120 | won | +35 | -317 |
| 11.10.26 | Bebop – mellren | mellren | 1.40 | 116 | won | +46 | -352 |
| 11.10.26 | Aurora – Spirit | Spirit | 1.50 | 128 | lost | -128 | -398 |
| 11.10.26 | FlyQuest – KZG | FlyQuest | 1.42 | 123 | won | +52 | -270 |
| 11.10.26 | Galorys – MEIA NOITE | Galorys | 1.41 | 118 | won | +49 | -321 |
| 10.10.26 | Fathom – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 1.42 | 114 | won | +47 | -370 |
| 10.10.26 | Without a Roof – Last Dance US | Without a Roof | 1.31 | 110 | won | +34 | -418 |
| 10.10.26 | Iberian Soul – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.23 | 122 | lost | -122 | -452 |
| 10.10.26 | mellren – Honvéd | mellren | 1.36 | 118 | won | +43 | -329 |
| 10.10.26 | Mindfreak – Abyssal | Abyssal | 1.49 | 113 | won | +56 | -372 |
| 10.10.26 | FlyQuest – madlikewizards | FlyQuest | 1.45 | 108 | won | +49 | -428 |
| 10.10.26 | BGNS Orange – Ground Zero | Ground Zero | 1.50 | 103 | won | +51 | -476 |
| 10.10.26 | THUNDER dOWNUNDER – BGNS Orange | THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 1.48 | 114 | lost | -114 | -528 |
| 09.10.26 | Lavked – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.42 | 109 | won | +46 | -414 |
| 09.10.26 | MOUZ NXT – Leo | Leo | 1.48 | 122 | lost | -122 | -460 |
| 09.10.26 | Vitality – PARIVISION | Vitality | 1.39 | 117 | won | +46 | -338 |
| 09.10.26 | HOTU – Acend | HOTU | 1.45 | 112 | won | +50 | -384 |
| 09.10.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.40 | 124 | lost | -124 | -434 |
| 08.10.26 | Leo – Privateer | Leo | 1.26 | 121 | won | +31 | -310 |
| 08.10.26 | FaZe – Sangal | Sangal | 1.49 | 135 | lost | -135 | -341 |
| 08.10.26 | megoshort – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.49 | 128 | won | +63 | -207 |
| 08.10.26 | BERG – mellren | mellren | 1.32 | 124 | won | +40 | -270 |
| 08.10.26 | The Last Resort – Privateer | The Last Resort | 1.42 | 138 | lost | -138 | -309 |
| 08.10.26 | Wanted Goons – Iowa Stormboar | Iowa Stormboar | 1.39 | 133 | won | +52 | -171 |
| 08.10.26 | METANOIA Wolves – LP | LP | 1.35 | 128 | won | +45 | -223 |
| 08.10.26 | Turma do Pagode – BORRACHEIROS | Turma do Pagode | 1.45 | 123 | won | +56 | -268 |
| 07.10.26 | Famalicão – Lazer Cats | Lazer Cats | 1.50 | 117 | won | +58 | -324 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – NAVI Junior | Sangal | 1.42 | 130 | lost | -130 | -382 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – RBLS | Sangal | 1.50 | 124 | won | +61 | -252 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Privateer | Vexar | 1.31 | 138 | lost | -138 | -314 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – Famalicão | Sangal | 1.38 | 133 | won | +51 | -176 |
| 07.10.26 | Alter Ego – Legion | Alter Ego | 1.47 | 127 | won | +60 | -226 |
| 07.10.26 | The Last Resort – Privateer | The Last Resort | 1.38 | 122 | won | +47 | -286 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – SINQU | OG | 1.41 | 117 | won | +48 | -333 |
| 07.10.26 | G2 Ares – SINQU | G2 Ares | 1.50 | 112 | won | +56 | -381 |
| 07.10.26 | HOTU – STATE | HOTU | 1.45 | 107 | won | +48 | -436 |
| 06.10.26 | Falcons – Natus Vincere | Falcons | 1.46 | 102 | won | +47 | -485 |
| 06.10.26 | Gothic – mellren | mellren | 1.48 | 97 | won | +47 | -532 |
| 04.10.26 | Spirit – PARIVISION | Spirit | 1.22 | 95 | won | +21 | -579 |
| 03.10.26 | Spirit – ShindeN | Spirit | 1.37 | 92 | won | +34 | -600 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.30 | 89 | won | +27 | -635 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – Anteiku | Eternal Fire | 1.24 | 87 | won | +21 | -661 |
| 02.10.26 | Voca – Prestige | Voca | 1.47 | 83 | won | +39 | -682 |
| 02.10.26 | Johnny Speeds – MTX | Johnny Speeds | 1.45 | 92 | lost | -92 | -721 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | SportsBetExpert | 1.32 | 90 | won | +29 | -629 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 1.49 | 100 | lost | -100 | -657 |
| 02.10.26 | Sangal – XEPT | Sangal | 1.38 | 96 | won | +37 | -558 |
| 02.10.26 | Nordic Partners – SINNERS | SINNERS | 1.48 | 92 | won | +44 | -594 |
| 02.10.26 | EAC EXTRA – FOKUS | FOKUS | 1.48 | 87 | won | +42 | -638 |
| 02.10.26 | 100 Thieves – Nordic Partners | 100 Thieves | 1.33 | 85 | won | +28 | -680 |
| 02.10.26 | BBL – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 1.37 | 94 | lost | -94 | -708 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.