Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-267u
ROI
-4.2%
win rate
68%
bets
336
drawdown
40.7%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
payments
Stake size
2% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+29u
period 6top-up-116u
period 5profit withdrawn+36u
period 4top-up-145u
period 3profit withdrawn+8u
period 2top-up-78u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat (10 units) | 336 | 68% | -130 | -3.9% | 21.7% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 336 | 68% | -132 | -4% | 21.2% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 336 | 68% | -267 | -4.2% | 40.7% | Select |
| Martingale | 336 | 68% | -375 | -5.5% | 54.4% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 336 | 68% | -688 | -4.7% | 90.2% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 336 | 68% | -1427 | -5.5% | 160.1% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 336, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | fnatic | 1.38 | 20 | won | +8 | 733 |
| 14.10.26 | Banda Chuya – 6666 | 6666 | 1.49 | 20 | won | +10 | 726 |
| 14.10.26 | 9z – Aurora | Aurora | 1.46 | 21 | lost | -21 | 716 |
| 14.10.26 | ex-Keyd Stars – Galorys | Galorys | 1.43 | 20 | won | +9 | 736 |
| 13.10.26 | Black Phoenix – 6666 | Black Phoenix | 1.40 | 20 | won | +8 | 728 |
| 12.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny Speeds | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.45 | 20 | won | +9 | 719 |
| 12.10.26 | Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.46 | 20 | won | +9 | 710 |
| 12.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Betclic | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1.50 | 20 | won | +10 | 701 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Galorys | 1.48 | 20 | won | +9 | 691 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 20 | lost | -20 | 682 |
| 11.10.26 | mellren – Lavked | mellren | 1.47 | 20 | won | +9 | 702 |
| 11.10.26 | GenOne – Banda Chuya | GenOne | 1.29 | 20 | won | +6 | 693 |
| 11.10.26 | Bebop – mellren | mellren | 1.40 | 19 | won | +8 | 687 |
| 11.10.26 | Aurora – Spirit | Spirit | 1.50 | 20 | lost | -20 | 679 |
| 11.10.26 | Just Players – Misa | Just Players | 1.50 | 20 | won | +10 | 699 |
| 11.10.26 | Galorys – MEIA NOITE | Galorys | 1.41 | 20 | won | +8 | 689 |
| 10.10.26 | Fathom – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 1.42 | 19 | won | +8 | 681 |
| 10.10.26 | Elusive – Marsborne | Marsborne | 1.35 | 19 | won | +7 | 673 |
| 10.10.26 | Iberian Soul – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.23 | 20 | lost | -20 | 667 |
| 10.10.26 | mellren – Honvéd | mellren | 1.36 | 19 | won | +7 | 686 |
| 10.10.26 | Mindfreak – Abyssal | Abyssal | 1.49 | 19 | won | +10 | 679 |
| 10.10.26 | FlyQuest – madlikewizards | FlyQuest | 1.45 | 19 | won | +9 | 670 |
| 10.10.26 | BGNS Orange – Ground Zero | Ground Zero | 1.50 | 19 | won | +9 | 661 |
| 10.10.26 | THUNDER dOWNUNDER – BGNS Orange | THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 1.48 | 19 | lost | -19 | 652 |
| 09.10.26 | Sangal – G2 Ares | Sangal | 1.48 | 19 | won | +9 | 671 |
| 09.10.26 | Lavked – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.42 | 19 | won | +8 | 662 |
| 09.10.26 | MOUZ NXT – Leo | Leo | 1.48 | 19 | lost | -19 | 654 |
| 09.10.26 | Vitality – PARIVISION | Vitality | 1.39 | 19 | won | +8 | 673 |
| 09.10.26 | HOTU – Acend | HOTU | 1.45 | 19 | won | +9 | 666 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | mellren | 1.36 | 19 | lost | -19 | 657 |
| 09.10.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.40 | 20 | lost | -20 | 677 |
| 08.10.26 | Saint Sinners – mellren | mellren | 1.50 | 20 | lost | -20 | 696 |
| 08.10.26 | FaZe – Sangal | Sangal | 1.49 | 21 | lost | -21 | 717 |
| 08.10.26 | megoshort – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.49 | 20 | won | +10 | 737 |
| 08.10.26 | BERG – mellren | mellren | 1.32 | 20 | won | +6 | 727 |
| 08.10.26 | The Last Resort – Privateer | The Last Resort | 1.42 | 21 | lost | -21 | 721 |
| 08.10.26 | Wanted Goons – Iowa Stormboar | Iowa Stormboar | 1.39 | 21 | won | +8 | 741 |
| 08.10.26 | METANOIA Wolves – LP | LP | 1.35 | 20 | won | +7 | 733 |
| 07.10.26 | Famalicão – Lazer Cats | Lazer Cats | 1.50 | 20 | won | +10 | 726 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – NAVI Junior | Sangal | 1.42 | 21 | lost | -21 | 716 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Privateer | Vexar | 1.31 | 21 | lost | -21 | 737 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – mellren | mellren | 1.28 | 22 | lost | -22 | 758 |
| 07.10.26 | Alter Ego – Legion | Alter Ego | 1.47 | 21 | won | +10 | 779 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – SINQU | OG | 1.41 | 21 | won | +9 | 769 |
| 07.10.26 | G2 Ares – SINQU | G2 Ares | 1.50 | 21 | won | +10 | 761 |
| 07.10.26 | HOTU – STATE | HOTU | 1.45 | 21 | won | +9 | 750 |
| 06.10.26 | Falcons – Natus Vincere | Falcons | 1.46 | 21 | won | +10 | 741 |
| 04.10.26 | Spirit – PARIVISION | Spirit | 1.22 | 20 | won | +5 | 731 |
| 03.10.26 | Banda Chuya – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.41 | 20 | won | +8 | 727 |
| 03.10.26 | Spirit – ShindeN | Spirit | 1.37 | 20 | won | +8 | 719 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.30 | 20 | won | +6 | 711 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – Anteiku | Eternal Fire | 1.24 | 20 | won | +5 | 705 |
| 02.10.26 | Voca – Prestige | Voca | 1.47 | 20 | won | +9 | 700 |
| 02.10.26 | Johnny Speeds – MTX | Johnny Speeds | 1.45 | 20 | lost | -20 | 691 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | SportsBetExpert | 1.32 | 20 | won | +6 | 711 |
| 02.10.26 | Sangal – XEPT | Sangal | 1.38 | 20 | won | +8 | 705 |
| 02.10.26 | Nordic Partners – SINNERS | SINNERS | 1.48 | 20 | won | +9 | 697 |
| 02.10.26 | EAC EXTRA – FOKUS | FOKUS | 1.48 | 19 | won | +9 | 688 |
| 02.10.26 | BBL – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 1.37 | 20 | lost | -20 | 678 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – Nordic Partners | Eternal Fire | 1.29 | 20 | won | +6 | 698 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.