Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-19u
ROI
-1.9%
win rate
68%
bets
50
drawdown
14%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
💰
Stake size
2% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+52u
period 3top-up-105u
period 2profit withdrawn+35u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Martingale | 50 | 68% | -7 | -0.8% | 15.9% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 50 | 68% | -10 | -2% | 7.2% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 50 | 68% | -11 | -2.2% | 7.3% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 50 | 68% | -19 | -1.9% | 14% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 50 | 68% | -35 | -1.4% | 31.8% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 50 | 68% | -40 | -0.8% | 54.5% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 50, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.08.26 | Mai Tai – Honvéd | Honvéd | 1.49 | 21 | won | +10 | 981 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Entropy | Omega | 1.46 | 21 | lost | -21 | 971 |
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Bushido Wildcats | 1.29 | 21 | won | +6 | 992 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Inner Circle Academy | Bushido Wildcats | 1.41 | 21 | won | +9 | 986 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – Inner Circle Academy | ex-RUSTEC | 1.47 | 21 | lost | -21 | 978 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Bushido Wildcats | 1.32 | 21 | won | +7 | 999 |
| 16.08.26 | QUINTESSÊNCIA – METANOIA Wolves | QUINTESSÊNCIA | 1.47 | 21 | won | +10 | 992 |
| 15.08.26 | INOX Division – Misa | INOX Division | 1.45 | 21 | won | +9 | 982 |
| 14.08.26 | Enjoy – Misa | Enjoy | 1.49 | 21 | won | +10 | 973 |
| 12.08.26 | Endless Journey – HAVU | Endless Journey | 1.48 | 21 | lost | -21 | 963 |
| 08.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Isurus | Isurus | 1.40 | 21 | won | +8 | 984 |
| 08.08.26 | Virtus.pro – JiJieHao | Virtus.pro | 1.46 | 21 | won | +10 | 976 |
| 07.08.26 | Virtus.pro – Sangal | Virtus.pro | 1.48 | 21 | won | +10 | 966 |
| 07.08.26 | Inner Circle – NIO | Inner Circle | 1.49 | 20 | won | +10 | 956 |
| 07.08.26 | GenOne – lafox | GenOne | 1.38 | 20 | won | +8 | 946 |
| 05.08.26 | Nordic Partners – GenOne | GenOne | 1.38 | 20 | won | +8 | 939 |
| 04.08.26 | fnatic – EAC | fnatic | 1.47 | 20 | won | +9 | 931 |
| 04.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – NEW VISION | ex-RUSTEC | 1.47 | 20 | won | +9 | 922 |
| 03.08.26 | Imperial – Procyon | Imperial | 1.49 | 19 | won | +9 | 913 |
| 03.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | GenOne | 1.37 | 19 | won | +7 | 903 |
| 03.08.26 | 1win – ex-RUBY | ex-RUBY | 1.50 | 20 | lost | -20 | 896 |
| 03.08.26 | fnatic – Lilmix | fnatic | 1.34 | 20 | won | +7 | 916 |
| 02.08.26 | Mai Tai – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.48 | 19 | won | +9 | 909 |
| 02.08.26 | 9INE – BRUTE | BRUTE | 1.49 | 19 | won | +9 | 900 |
| 01.08.26 | ex-1win – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.47 | 20 | lost | -20 | 890 |
| 01.08.26 | SINNERS – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.28 | 20 | lost | -20 | 910 |
| 31.07.26 | INOX Division – Falcons Force | INOX Division | 1.39 | 18 | won | +7 | 930 |
| 30.07.26 | WW – TDK | TDK | 1.44 | 18 | lost | -18 | 923 |
| 30.07.26 | Nordic Partners – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.46 | 18 | won | +8 | 941 |
| 29.07.26 | Nemiga – TDK | TDK | 1.45 | 18 | won | +8 | 933 |
| 28.07.26 | HTX – TDK | TDK | 1.41 | 18 | won | +7 | 925 |
| 28.07.26 | GenOne – NEW VISION | GenOne | 1.41 | 18 | lost | -18 | 918 |
| 27.07.26 | BRUTE – LEO SE | BRUTE | 1.47 | 18 | won | +8 | 936 |
| 27.07.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – Entropy | CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 1.47 | 18 | lost | -18 | 927 |
| 26.07.26 | QUAZAR – NEW VISION | QUAZAR | 1.28 | 19 | lost | -19 | 945 |
| 25.07.26 | NEW VISION – benched gods | benched gods | 1.50 | 19 | lost | -19 | 964 |
| 24.07.26 | 3DMAX – magic | magic | 1.47 | 19 | lost | -19 | 983 |
| 22.07.26 | HOTU – GamerLegion | HOTU | 1.43 | 19 | won | +8 | 1002 |
| 21.07.26 | Nemesis – Astralis | Nemesis | 1.50 | 20 | lost | -20 | 994 |
| 16.07.26 | HEROIC – Phantom | Phantom | 1.47 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1013 |
| 14.07.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Patins da Ferrari | Patins da Ferrari | 1.47 | 20 | won | +9 | 1033 |
| 13.07.26 | Honvéd – Julie&Cie | Honvéd | 1.47 | 20 | won | +9 | 1024 |
| 10.07.26 | LP – paiN | LP | 1.49 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1015 |
| 18.06.26 | TDK – Ursa | TDK | 1.45 | 21 | won | +9 | 1035 |
| 17.06.26 | KOLESIE – illwill | KOLESIE | 1.49 | 20 | won | +10 | 1026 |
| 17.06.26 | SPARTA – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.47 | 20 | won | +10 | 1016 |
| 14.06.26 | illwill – Virtus.pro | Virtus.pro | 1.47 | 21 | lost | -21 | 1006 |
| 12.06.26 | SPARTA – GenOne | GenOne | 1.45 | 20 | won | +9 | 1027 |
| 11.06.26 | Lazer Cats – GenOne | GenOne | 1.42 | 20 | won | +8 | 1018 |
| 06.06.26 | aAa – GenOne | GenOne | 1.45 | 20 | won | +9 | 1009 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.