Model favorite (Elo)
Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.
profit
-728u
ROI
-7.1%
win rate
55%
bets
548
drawdown
78.9%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Model favorite (Elo)
payments
Stake size
2% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-66u
period 6top-up-171u
period 5top-up-213u
period 4profit withdrawn+0u
period 3top-up-42u
period 2top-up-164u
period 1top-up-72u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat (10 units) | 548 | 55% | -356 | -6.5% | 39% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 548 | 55% | -361 | -6.8% | 39.3% | Select |
| Martingale | 444 | 54% | -588 | -4.9% | 73.8% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 548 | 55% | -728 | -7.1% | 78.9% | Selected |
| 5% of bankroll | 548 | 55% | -1831 | -7.9% | 195.5% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 548 | 55% | -3494 | -9% | 365.8% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 548, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | FURIA – BETBOOM | FURIA | 1.75 | 18 | won | +14 | 272 |
| 14.10.26 | G2 Ares – The Last Resort | G2 Ares | 1.77 | 18 | won | +14 | 258 |
| 14.10.26 | PCIFIC – Ryvex | Ryvex | 1.86 | 18 | lost | -18 | 244 |
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | fnatic | 1.38 | 18 | won | +7 | 262 |
| 14.10.26 | HOTU – Astralis | HOTU | 1.58 | 19 | lost | -19 | 255 |
| 14.10.26 | Enjoy – B8 Academy | Enjoy | 1.87 | 18 | won | +16 | 274 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | UPGRADE | 1.71 | 18 | won | +13 | 258 |
| 13.10.26 | Liquid – BBL | Liquid | 1.70 | 18 | won | +13 | 245 |
| 12.10.26 | Sangal – Betclic | Sangal | 1.53 | 18 | won | +9 | 233 |
| 12.10.26 | BORRACHEIROS – Bounty Hunters | Bounty Hunters | 1.72 | 17 | won | +13 | 223 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 18 | lost | -18 | 211 |
| 11.10.26 | acidhouze – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 1.53 | 18 | lost | -18 | 229 |
| 11.10.26 | Just Players – Misa | Just Players | 1.50 | 18 | won | +9 | 247 |
| 10.10.26 | Lavked – Fortress | Lavked | 1.53 | 18 | won | +10 | 238 |
| 10.10.26 | Desi Boyz – EMPIRE | Desi Boyz | 1.83 | 18 | lost | -18 | 228 |
| 10.10.26 | Grêmio – BORRACHEIROS | BORRACHEIROS | 1.80 | 18 | won | +14 | 246 |
| 09.10.26 | Misa – 6666 | Misa | 1.73 | 18 | lost | -18 | 232 |
| 09.10.26 | Black Phoenix – Leo | Black Phoenix | 1.75 | 18 | won | +13 | 250 |
| 09.10.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.40 | 18 | lost | -18 | 237 |
| 09.10.26 | New Legends – Wanted Goons | New Legends | 1.58 | 19 | lost | -19 | 255 |
| 08.10.26 | Leo – Privateer | Leo | 1.26 | 19 | won | +5 | 274 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | Betclic | 1.73 | 19 | lost | -19 | 269 |
| 08.10.26 | CYBERSHOKE – Nexus | CYBERSHOKE | 1.82 | 19 | lost | -19 | 288 |
| 08.10.26 | THE UNIT – The KnockoutX | The KnockoutX | 1.82 | 19 | won | +16 | 308 |
| 08.10.26 | HYPERSPIRIT – Banda Chuya | HYPERSPIRIT | 1.81 | 19 | won | +15 | 292 |
| 08.10.26 | Bounty Hunters – Procyon | Bounty Hunters | 1.82 | 18 | won | +15 | 277 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – NAVI Junior | Sangal | 1.42 | 19 | lost | -19 | 262 |
| 07.10.26 | Lazer Cats – NAVI Junior | Lazer Cats | 1.73 | 19 | lost | -19 | 280 |
| 07.10.26 | Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.56 | 20 | lost | -20 | 300 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Privateer | Vexar | 1.31 | 20 | lost | -20 | 319 |
| 07.10.26 | LFO 10 – MAYBE | LFO 10 | 1.77 | 20 | won | +15 | 339 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – SINQU | OG | 1.41 | 20 | won | +8 | 324 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – Falcons Force | OG | 1.56 | 20 | lost | -20 | 316 |
| 07.10.26 | PURE – SINQU | PURE | 1.53 | 20 | won | +11 | 336 |
| 07.10.26 | Gothic – LPH | LPH | 1.60 | 20 | lost | -20 | 325 |
| 06.10.26 | FURIA – Aurora | Aurora | 1.81 | 20 | won | +16 | 346 |
| 06.10.26 | Spirit – 1win | Spirit | 1.55 | 20 | lost | -20 | 329 |
| 05.10.26 | PARIVISION – FURIA | FURIA | 1.59 | 20 | won | +12 | 350 |
| 03.10.26 | Aurora – 9z | Aurora | 1.61 | 20 | won | +12 | 338 |
| 03.10.26 | regain – LAG | LAG | 1.55 | 20 | won | +11 | 326 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.30 | 19 | won | +6 | 315 |
| 02.10.26 | FOKUS – BBL | FOKUS | 1.72 | 20 | lost | -20 | 309 |
| 02.10.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – Glitch | BASEMENT BOYS | 1.68 | 20 | won | +13 | 329 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | SportsBetExpert | 1.32 | 19 | won | +6 | 316 |
| 02.10.26 | Nexus – 6yuBoJlbl | Nexus | 1.63 | 20 | lost | -20 | 310 |
| 02.10.26 | Luminosity – BIG | Luminosity | 1.86 | 19 | won | +17 | 329 |
| 02.10.26 | Fire Flux – benched gods | Fire Flux | 1.68 | 19 | won | +13 | 313 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Sangal | Sangal | 1.72 | 19 | won | +14 | 299 |
| 02.10.26 | Astralis – FaZe | FaZe | 1.84 | 19 | lost | -19 | 286 |
| 02.10.26 | 1337 – NEXVOID | NEXVOID | 1.54 | 19 | won | +10 | 305 |
| 01.10.26 | FaZe – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.24 | 19 | won | +5 | 295 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.45 | 19 | lost | -19 | 290 |
| 01.10.26 | Yawara – BORRACHEIROS | BORRACHEIROS | 1.87 | 20 | lost | -20 | 310 |
| 01.10.26 | SINQU – Famalicão | SINQU | 1.84 | 20 | lost | -20 | 330 |
| 01.10.26 | ex-ODDIK – Mira | Mira | 1.60 | 20 | won | +12 | 350 |
| 30.09.26 | PRIVATE – Nuclear TigeRES | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.48 | 16 | won | +8 | 338 |
| 29.09.26 | MAYBE – Illyrians | Illyrians | 1.55 | 17 | lost | -17 | 330 |
| 29.09.26 | WW – DNK | WW | 1.63 | 17 | lost | -17 | 347 |
| 29.09.26 | DEPO – PAQT | DEPO | 1.57 | 17 | lost | -17 | 364 |
| 28.09.26 | Leo – Noir Verse | Leo | 1.64 | 18 | lost | -18 | 381 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.