Model favorite (Elo)
Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.
profit
-80u
ROI
-1.5%
win rate
58%
bets
543
drawdown
19.7%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Model favorite (Elo)
payments
Stake size
Flat (10 units)
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-14u
period 6top-up-88u
period 5top-up-11u
period 4top-up-25u
period 3top-up-5u
period 2profit withdrawn+98u
period 1top-up-37u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat (10 units) | 543 | 58% | -80 | -1.5% | 19.7% | Selected |
| 1% of bankroll | 543 | 58% | -90 | -1.6% | 20.4% | Select |
| Martingale | 374 | 58% | -179 | -2.1% | 56.5% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 543 | 58% | -197 | -1.8% | 38.5% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 543 | 58% | -617 | -2.3% | 84.5% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 543 | 58% | -1581 | -3% | 133.3% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 543, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | Enjoy – B8 Academy | Enjoy | 1.87 | 10 | won | +9 | 920 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | UPGRADE | 1.71 | 10 | won | +7 | 911 |
| 13.10.26 | Liquid – BBL | Liquid | 1.70 | 10 | won | +7 | 904 |
| 12.10.26 | Inner Circle – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1.79 | 10 | won | +8 | 897 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Galorys | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 889 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 10 | lost | -10 | 884 |
| 11.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Just Players | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.81 | 10 | won | +8 | 894 |
| 11.10.26 | benched gods – Illyrians | benched gods | 1.86 | 10 | lost | -10 | 886 |
| 10.10.26 | Abyssal – Mindfreak | Abyssal | 1.51 | 10 | won | +5 | 896 |
| 10.10.26 | Desi Boyz – EMPIRE | Desi Boyz | 1.83 | 10 | lost | -10 | 891 |
| 10.10.26 | Isurus – Procyon | Procyon | 1.73 | 10 | won | +7 | 901 |
| 09.10.26 | WBT Academy – SAW Youngsters | WBT Academy | 1.53 | 10 | lost | -10 | 894 |
| 09.10.26 | Black Phoenix – Leo | Black Phoenix | 1.75 | 10 | won | +7 | 904 |
| 09.10.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.40 | 10 | lost | -10 | 896 |
| 09.10.26 | regain – Iowa Stormboar | regain | 1.81 | 10 | lost | -10 | 906 |
| 08.10.26 | SINNERS – Black Phoenix | Black Phoenix | 1.81 | 10 | won | +8 | 916 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | Betclic | 1.73 | 10 | lost | -10 | 908 |
| 08.10.26 | Azuolas – Misa | Misa | 1.54 | 10 | won | +5 | 918 |
| 08.10.26 | Alter Ego – Kaleido | Alter Ego | 1.65 | 10 | lost | -10 | 913 |
| 08.10.26 | HYPERSPIRIT – Banda Chuya | HYPERSPIRIT | 1.81 | 10 | won | +8 | 923 |
| 08.10.26 | BESTIA Academy – ALKA | BESTIA Academy | 1.87 | 10 | lost | -10 | 915 |
| 07.10.26 | Famalicão – Lazer Cats | Lazer Cats | 1.50 | 10 | won | +5 | 925 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – SAW | Sangal | 1.72 | 10 | won | +7 | 920 |
| 07.10.26 | Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.56 | 10 | lost | -10 | 912 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – Leo | Leo | 1.36 | 10 | won | +4 | 922 |
| 07.10.26 | Banda Chuya – HYPERSPIRIT | HYPERSPIRIT | 1.87 | 10 | won | +9 | 919 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – SINQU | OG | 1.41 | 10 | won | +4 | 910 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – Falcons Force | OG | 1.56 | 10 | lost | -10 | 906 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – Orion Wanderers | OG | 1.59 | 10 | won | +6 | 916 |
| 07.10.26 | Gothic – LPH | LPH | 1.60 | 10 | lost | -10 | 910 |
| 06.10.26 | FURIA – Aurora | Aurora | 1.81 | 10 | won | +8 | 920 |
| 06.10.26 | Spirit – 1win | Spirit | 1.55 | 10 | lost | -10 | 912 |
| 05.10.26 | PARIVISION – FURIA | FURIA | 1.59 | 10 | won | +6 | 922 |
| 03.10.26 | NT – Lazer Cats | Lazer Cats | 1.68 | 10 | lost | -10 | 916 |
| 03.10.26 | regain – LAG | LAG | 1.55 | 10 | won | +5 | 926 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.30 | 10 | won | +3 | 921 |
| 02.10.26 | FOKUS – BBL | FOKUS | 1.72 | 10 | lost | -10 | 918 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – Anteiku | Eternal Fire | 1.24 | 10 | won | +2 | 928 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | SportsBetExpert | 1.32 | 10 | won | +3 | 925 |
| 02.10.26 | Bounty Hunters – MEIA NOITE | Bounty Hunters | 1.64 | 10 | won | +6 | 922 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 1.49 | 10 | lost | -10 | 916 |
| 02.10.26 | Fire Flux – benched gods | Fire Flux | 1.68 | 10 | won | +7 | 926 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Sangal | Sangal | 1.72 | 10 | won | +7 | 919 |
| 02.10.26 | Astralis – FaZe | FaZe | 1.84 | 10 | lost | -10 | 912 |
| 02.10.26 | 1337 – NEXVOID | NEXVOID | 1.54 | 10 | won | +5 | 922 |
| 01.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – CYBERSHOKE | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.68 | 10 | won | +7 | 916 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 910 |
| 01.10.26 | Yawara – BORRACHEIROS | BORRACHEIROS | 1.87 | 10 | lost | -10 | 920 |
| 01.10.26 | SINQU – Famalicão | SINQU | 1.84 | 10 | lost | -10 | 930 |
| 01.10.26 | ex-ODDIK – Mira | Mira | 1.60 | 10 | won | +6 | 940 |
| 30.09.26 | Leo – mellren | mellren | 1.68 | 10 | won | +7 | 934 |
| 29.09.26 | MASONIC – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.55 | 10 | lost | -10 | 927 |
| 29.09.26 | WW – DNK | WW | 1.63 | 10 | lost | -10 | 937 |
| 29.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – VISION | Bushido Wildcats | 1.56 | 10 | lost | -10 | 947 |
| 28.09.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 1.87 | 10 | lost | -10 | 957 |
| 28.09.26 | regain – LAG | LAG | 1.64 | 10 | won | +6 | 967 |
| 28.09.26 | Marsborne – FarmVille | Marsborne | 1.41 | 10 | won | +4 | 960 |
| 28.09.26 | Galorys – Procyon | Galorys | 1.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 956 |
| 27.09.26 | Fluxo – SAW | Fluxo | 1.42 | 10 | lost | -10 | 966 |
| 27.09.26 | KUUSAMO – Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 1.82 | 10 | won | +8 | 976 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.