Model favorite (Elo)
Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.
profit
-182u
ROI
-1.7%
win rate
58%
bets
543
drawdown
36.7%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Model favorite (Elo)
payments
Stake size
2% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-26u
period 6top-up-130u
period 5top-up-198u
period 4profit withdrawn+188u
period 3top-up-116u
period 2profit withdrawn+23u
period 1profit withdrawn+78u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 543 | 58% | +931 | +8% | 18.6% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 543 | 58% | -81 | -1.5% | 19.5% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 543 | 58% | -86 | -1.6% | 20% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 543 | 58% | -182 | -1.7% | 36.7% | Selected |
| 5% of bankroll | 543 | 58% | -510 | -1.9% | 73.7% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 543 | 58% | -1133 | -2.1% | 110.4% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 543, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | GenOne – 6666 | GenOne | 1.55 | 20 | lost | -20 | 818 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | UPGRADE | 1.71 | 20 | won | +14 | 838 |
| 13.10.26 | 100 Thieves – JiJieHao | 100 Thieves | 1.80 | 19 | won | +15 | 824 |
| 12.10.26 | Sangal – Betclic | Sangal | 1.53 | 19 | won | +10 | 809 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Galorys | 1.48 | 19 | won | +9 | 798 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 19 | lost | -19 | 789 |
| 11.10.26 | acidhouze – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 1.53 | 20 | lost | -20 | 809 |
| 11.10.26 | benched gods – Illyrians | benched gods | 1.86 | 20 | lost | -20 | 828 |
| 10.10.26 | Abyssal – Mindfreak | Abyssal | 1.51 | 20 | won | +10 | 848 |
| 10.10.26 | FarmVille – Wanted Goons | FarmVille | 1.47 | 20 | lost | -20 | 838 |
| 10.10.26 | Isurus – Procyon | Procyon | 1.73 | 20 | won | +15 | 859 |
| 09.10.26 | Misa – 6666 | Misa | 1.73 | 20 | lost | -20 | 844 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | mellren | 1.36 | 21 | lost | -21 | 864 |
| 09.10.26 | Black Phoenix – Leo | Black Phoenix | 1.75 | 21 | won | +15 | 885 |
| 09.10.26 | Villainous – Reign Above | Reign Above | 1.65 | 21 | lost | -21 | 870 |
| 08.10.26 | Saint Sinners – mellren | mellren | 1.50 | 21 | lost | -21 | 891 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | Betclic | 1.73 | 22 | lost | -22 | 912 |
| 08.10.26 | EAC – PURE | PURE | 1.70 | 22 | won | +15 | 934 |
| 08.10.26 | Lynn Vision – Chinggis Warriors | Chinggis Warriors | 1.86 | 22 | lost | -22 | 919 |
| 08.10.26 | ENCE – LFO 10 | ENCE | 1.66 | 22 | won | +14 | 941 |
| 08.10.26 | Isurus – MEIA NOITE | Isurus | 1.73 | 21 | won | +16 | 927 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – NAVI Junior | Sangal | 1.42 | 22 | lost | -22 | 911 |
| 07.10.26 | Lazer Cats – NAVI Junior | Lazer Cats | 1.73 | 22 | lost | -22 | 933 |
| 07.10.26 | Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.56 | 23 | lost | -23 | 955 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – Leo | Leo | 1.36 | 23 | won | +8 | 978 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Saint Sinners | Vexar | 1.61 | 23 | lost | -23 | 970 |
| 07.10.26 | Falcons Force – Orion Wanderers | Falcons Force | 1.71 | 23 | won | +16 | 993 |
| 07.10.26 | G2 Ares – SINQU | G2 Ares | 1.50 | 22 | won | +11 | 977 |
| 07.10.26 | G2 Ares – Falcons Force | G2 Ares | 1.82 | 22 | won | +18 | 965 |
| 07.10.26 | benched gods – Banda Chuya | benched gods | 1.66 | 22 | won | +14 | 948 |
| 06.10.26 | FURIA – Aurora | Aurora | 1.81 | 21 | won | +17 | 933 |
| 06.10.26 | G2 – PARIVISION | G2 | 1.52 | 22 | lost | -22 | 916 |
| 05.10.26 | ShindeN – G2 | G2 | 1.85 | 22 | won | +18 | 938 |
| 03.10.26 | NT – Lazer Cats | Lazer Cats | 1.68 | 22 | lost | -22 | 919 |
| 03.10.26 | regain – LAG | LAG | 1.55 | 22 | won | +12 | 941 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.30 | 22 | won | +6 | 929 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – BASEMENT BOYS | Eternal Fire | 1.51 | 21 | won | +11 | 923 |
| 02.10.26 | BC.Game – Sashi | BC.Game | 1.70 | 21 | won | +15 | 912 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | SportsBetExpert | 1.32 | 21 | won | +7 | 897 |
| 02.10.26 | Bounty Hunters – MEIA NOITE | Bounty Hunters | 1.64 | 21 | won | +13 | 891 |
| 02.10.26 | Voca – Sashi | Voca | 1.61 | 20 | won | +13 | 878 |
| 02.10.26 | UNiTY – aimclub | UNiTY | 1.76 | 20 | won | +15 | 865 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Sangal | Sangal | 1.72 | 20 | won | +14 | 850 |
| 02.10.26 | Astralis – FaZe | FaZe | 1.84 | 20 | lost | -20 | 836 |
| 02.10.26 | 1337 – NEXVOID | NEXVOID | 1.54 | 20 | won | +11 | 856 |
| 01.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – CYBERSHOKE | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.68 | 20 | won | +13 | 845 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.45 | 20 | lost | -20 | 832 |
| 01.10.26 | Lavked – HYPERSPIRIT | Lavked | 1.81 | 20 | won | +16 | 852 |
| 01.10.26 | SINQU – Famalicão | SINQU | 1.84 | 20 | lost | -20 | 836 |
| 01.10.26 | ex-ODDIK – Mira | Mira | 1.60 | 20 | won | +12 | 856 |
| 30.09.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.53 | 17 | won | +9 | 844 |
| 29.09.26 | MASONIC – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.55 | 18 | lost | -18 | 835 |
| 29.09.26 | WW – DNK | WW | 1.63 | 18 | lost | -18 | 852 |
| 29.09.26 | Rune Eaters – DNK | Rune Eaters | 1.67 | 18 | won | +12 | 870 |
| 28.09.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 1.87 | 18 | lost | -18 | 858 |
| 28.09.26 | regain – LAG | LAG | 1.64 | 18 | won | +11 | 876 |
| 28.09.26 | Marsborne – FarmVille | Marsborne | 1.41 | 18 | won | +7 | 865 |
| 28.09.26 | Galorys – Procyon | Galorys | 1.43 | 18 | lost | -18 | 858 |
| 27.09.26 | KUUSAMO – Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 1.82 | 18 | won | +15 | 876 |
| 27.09.26 | INFINITE – RBLS | RBLS | 1.82 | 18 | lost | -18 | 861 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.