Model favorite (Elo)
Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.
profit
-1133u
ROI
-2.1%
win rate
58%
bets
543
drawdown
110.4%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Model favorite (Elo)
payments
Stake size
10% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-234u
period 6top-up-667u
period 5top-up-749u
period 4profit withdrawn+921u
period 3top-up-539u
period 2top-up-190u
period 1profit withdrawn+325u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 543 | 58% | +931 | +8% | 18.6% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 543 | 58% | -81 | -1.5% | 19.5% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 543 | 58% | -86 | -1.6% | 20% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 543 | 58% | -182 | -1.7% | 36.7% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 543 | 58% | -510 | -1.9% | 73.7% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 543 | 58% | -1133 | -2.1% | 110.4% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 543, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | GenOne – 6666 | GenOne | 1.55 | 85 | lost | -85 | -133 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | UPGRADE | 1.71 | 79 | won | +56 | -48 |
| 13.10.26 | 100 Thieves – JiJieHao | 100 Thieves | 1.80 | 74 | won | +59 | -104 |
| 12.10.26 | Sangal – Betclic | Sangal | 1.53 | 70 | won | +37 | -162 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Galorys | 1.48 | 67 | won | +32 | -200 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 74 | lost | -74 | -231 |
| 11.10.26 | acidhouze – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 1.53 | 82 | lost | -82 | -157 |
| 11.10.26 | benched gods – Illyrians | benched gods | 1.86 | 92 | lost | -92 | -75 |
| 10.10.26 | Abyssal – Mindfreak | Abyssal | 1.51 | 87 | won | +45 | 17 |
| 10.10.26 | FarmVille – Wanted Goons | FarmVille | 1.47 | 97 | lost | -97 | -28 |
| 10.10.26 | Isurus – Procyon | Procyon | 1.73 | 90 | won | +65 | 69 |
| 09.10.26 | Misa – 6666 | Misa | 1.73 | 100 | lost | -100 | 3 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | mellren | 1.36 | 111 | lost | -111 | 104 |
| 09.10.26 | Black Phoenix – Leo | Black Phoenix | 1.75 | 104 | won | +77 | 215 |
| 09.10.26 | Villainous – Reign Above | Reign Above | 1.65 | 115 | lost | -115 | 138 |
| 08.10.26 | Saint Sinners – mellren | mellren | 1.50 | 128 | lost | -128 | 253 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | Betclic | 1.73 | 142 | lost | -142 | 381 |
| 08.10.26 | EAC – PURE | PURE | 1.70 | 133 | won | +93 | 523 |
| 08.10.26 | Lynn Vision – Chinggis Warriors | Chinggis Warriors | 1.86 | 148 | lost | -148 | 430 |
| 08.10.26 | ENCE – LFO 10 | ENCE | 1.66 | 139 | won | +91 | 578 |
| 08.10.26 | Isurus – MEIA NOITE | Isurus | 1.73 | 129 | won | +94 | 487 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – NAVI Junior | Sangal | 1.42 | 143 | lost | -143 | 392 |
| 07.10.26 | Lazer Cats – NAVI Junior | Lazer Cats | 1.73 | 159 | lost | -159 | 536 |
| 07.10.26 | Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.56 | 177 | lost | -177 | 695 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – Leo | Leo | 1.36 | 171 | won | +61 | 872 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Saint Sinners | Vexar | 1.61 | 190 | lost | -190 | 811 |
| 07.10.26 | Falcons Force – Orion Wanderers | Falcons Force | 1.71 | 177 | won | +126 | 1001 |
| 07.10.26 | G2 Ares – SINQU | G2 Ares | 1.50 | 169 | won | +84 | 875 |
| 07.10.26 | G2 Ares – Falcons Force | G2 Ares | 1.82 | 156 | won | +127 | 791 |
| 07.10.26 | benched gods – Banda Chuya | benched gods | 1.66 | 147 | won | +96 | 664 |
| 06.10.26 | FURIA – Aurora | Aurora | 1.81 | 136 | won | +110 | 567 |
| 06.10.26 | G2 – PARIVISION | G2 | 1.52 | 151 | lost | -151 | 457 |
| 05.10.26 | ShindeN – G2 | G2 | 1.85 | 139 | won | +118 | 608 |
| 03.10.26 | NT – Lazer Cats | Lazer Cats | 1.68 | 154 | lost | -154 | 490 |
| 03.10.26 | regain – LAG | LAG | 1.55 | 146 | won | +80 | 644 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.30 | 142 | won | +42 | 564 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – BASEMENT BOYS | Eternal Fire | 1.51 | 135 | won | +69 | 521 |
| 02.10.26 | BC.Game – Sashi | BC.Game | 1.70 | 126 | won | +88 | 453 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | SportsBetExpert | 1.32 | 122 | won | +39 | 365 |
| 02.10.26 | Bounty Hunters – MEIA NOITE | Bounty Hunters | 1.64 | 115 | won | +73 | 325 |
| 02.10.26 | Voca – Sashi | Voca | 1.61 | 108 | won | +67 | 252 |
| 02.10.26 | UNiTY – aimclub | UNiTY | 1.76 | 101 | won | +76 | 186 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Sangal | Sangal | 1.72 | 94 | won | +68 | 109 |
| 02.10.26 | Astralis – FaZe | FaZe | 1.84 | 104 | lost | -104 | 42 |
| 02.10.26 | 1337 – NEXVOID | NEXVOID | 1.54 | 99 | won | +53 | 146 |
| 01.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – CYBERSHOKE | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.68 | 93 | won | +63 | 93 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.45 | 103 | lost | -103 | 30 |
| 01.10.26 | Lavked – HYPERSPIRIT | Lavked | 1.81 | 95 | won | +77 | 133 |
| 01.10.26 | SINQU – Famalicão | SINQU | 1.84 | 106 | lost | -106 | 56 |
| 01.10.26 | ex-ODDIK – Mira | Mira | 1.60 | 100 | won | +60 | 162 |
| 30.09.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.53 | 32 | won | +17 | 101 |
| 29.09.26 | MASONIC – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.55 | 35 | lost | -35 | 84 |
| 29.09.26 | WW – DNK | WW | 1.63 | 39 | lost | -39 | 120 |
| 29.09.26 | Rune Eaters – DNK | Rune Eaters | 1.67 | 37 | won | +25 | 159 |
| 28.09.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 1.87 | 41 | lost | -41 | 134 |
| 28.09.26 | regain – LAG | LAG | 1.64 | 38 | won | +25 | 175 |
| 28.09.26 | Marsborne – FarmVille | Marsborne | 1.41 | 37 | won | +15 | 150 |
| 28.09.26 | Galorys – Procyon | Galorys | 1.43 | 41 | lost | -41 | 135 |
| 27.09.26 | KUUSAMO – Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 1.82 | 38 | won | +31 | 176 |
| 27.09.26 | INFINITE – RBLS | RBLS | 1.82 | 42 | lost | -42 | 145 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.