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Model favorite (Elo)

CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

profit
-289u
ROI
-2.1%
win rate
58%
bets
1371
drawdown
40.2%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Model favorite (Elo)

payments
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-37u
period 6top-up-46u
period 5profit withdrawn+8u
period 4top-up-165u
period 3top-up-13u
period 2top-up-53u
period 1profit withdrawn+17u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale117057%-149-0.5%57.8%Select
Flat (10 units)137158%-289-2.1%40.2%Select
1% of bankroll137158%-319-2.4%41.6%Select
2% of bankroll137158%-691-2.7%78.9%Select
5% of bankroll137158%-2003-3.5%172.7%Select
10% of bankroll137158%-4128-4.8%282.1%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1371, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedGothic1.7410lost-10711
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7810won+8721
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6010lost-10713
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7110won+7723
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7610lost-10716
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.7010won+7726
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.7910won+8719
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8210won+8711
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.8210lost-10703
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4810won+5713
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3510lost-10708
11.10.26XI – ASTRALASTRAL1.6510lost-10718
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5310lost-10728
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8110won+8738
11.10.26Just Players – MisaJust Players1.5010won+5730
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSProcyon1.7110lost-10725
10.10.26Elusive – MarsborneMarsborne1.3510won+3735
10.10.26NRG – Unreal NightmareNRG1.5210won+5731
10.10.26Bebop – 666666661.7210won+7726
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakAbyssal1.5110won+5719
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersWBT Academy1.7210lost-10714
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsFlyQuest1.4510won+5724
10.10.26Ground Zero – KZGGround Zero1.5610won+6719
10.10.26Club 333 – DETONATEClub 3331.7810lost-10714
10.10.26Isurus – ProcyonProcyon1.7310won+7724
10.10.26ALKA – MEIA NOITEALKA1.6210lost-10717
09.10.26Falcons – SpiritSpirit1.6010won+6727
09.10.26MOUZ NXT – LeoLeo1.4810lost-10720
09.10.26FURIA – MOUZMOUZ1.5810won+6730
09.10.26Acend – NexusNexus1.7810won+8725
09.10.26Saint Sinners – MOUZ NXTSaint Sinners1.7010won+7717
09.10.26GamerLegion – SINNERSSINNERS1.6310lost-10710
09.10.26HOTU – AcendHOTU1.4510won+5720
09.10.26mellren – Bebopmellren1.3610lost-10715
09.10.26Black Phoenix – LeoBlack Phoenix1.7510won+7725
09.10.26Chicken Coop – DETONATEChicken Coop1.8110won+8718
09.10.26Grêmio – YawaraYawara1.7510won+8710
09.10.26Isurus – ex-Keyd StarsIsurus1.8510lost-10702
08.10.26INFINITE – G2 AresINFINITE1.7910lost-10712
08.10.26Lilmix – Fire FluxFire Flux1.2310won+2722
08.10.26Leo – PrivateerLeo1.2610won+3720
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEBetclic1.7310lost-10718
08.10.26EAC – PUREPURE1.7010won+7728
08.10.26CYBERSHOKE – NexusCYBERSHOKE1.8210lost-10721
08.10.26THE UNIT – The KnockoutXThe KnockoutX1.8210won+8731
08.10.26HYPERSPIRIT – Banda ChuyaHYPERSPIRIT1.8110won+8722
08.10.26Rare Atom – Just SwingRare Atom1.5710lost-10714
08.10.26Legion – NasNas1.6110won+6724
08.10.26Enjoy – 6666Enjoy1.5110lost-10718
08.10.26OG – SangalSangal1.6310won+6728
08.10.26Banda Chuya – IllyriansIllyrians1.6610won+7722
08.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ColorColor1.7710lost-10715
08.10.26Reign Above – Overtake SectorOvertake Sector1.8410won+8725
08.10.26BESTIA Academy – ALKABESTIA Academy1.8710lost-10717
08.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – ex-Keyd StarsQUINTESSÊNCIA1.7510lost-10727
08.10.26Turma do Pagode – BORRACHEIROSTurma do Pagode1.4510won+5737
07.10.26Sangal – NAVI JuniorSangal1.4210lost-10732
07.10.26RBLS – FamalicãoRBLS1.5510won+6742
07.10.26Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.5610lost-10737
07.10.26Just Players – HYPERSPIRITJust Players1.5510won+6747
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Model favorite (Elo)" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.