Model favorite (Elo)
Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.
profit
+559u
ROI
+2.1%
win rate
56%
bets
1128
drawdown
41.7%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Model favorite (Elo)
payments
Stake size
Martingale
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+0u
period 6top-up-1000u
period 5profit withdrawn+183u
period 4profit withdrawn+258u
period 3profit withdrawn+252u
period 2profit withdrawn+693u
period 1profit withdrawn+174u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 1128 | 56% | +559 | +2.1% | 41.7% | Selected |
| 1% of bankroll | 1373 | 56% | -670 | -5.2% | 72.1% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 1373 | 56% | -697 | -5.1% | 74.8% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 1373 | 56% | -1287 | -5.3% | 126.1% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 1373 | 56% | -2852 | -5.7% | 214.9% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 1373 | 56% | -4737 | -6.2% | 242.3% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1128, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.09.26 | Noir Verse – Ryvex | Ryvex | 1.67 | 475 | lost | -475 | 1559 |
| 22.09.26 | Inner Circle – 3DMAX | Inner Circle | 1.50 | 320 | lost | -320 | 2034 |
| 22.09.26 | B8 – Luminosity | B8 | 1.37 | 160 | lost | -160 | 2354 |
| 22.09.26 | MAYBE – Noir Verse | MAYBE | 1.75 | 80 | lost | -80 | 2514 |
| 22.09.26 | THE UNIT – XDM | THE UNIT | 1.76 | 40 | lost | -40 | 2594 |
| 22.09.26 | BERG – Permitta | BERG | 1.73 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2634 |
| 22.09.26 | Entropy – eSuba | eSuba | 1.88 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2654 |
| 22.09.26 | Fortress – LPH | LPH | 1.38 | 10 | won | +4 | 2664 |
| 22.09.26 | INOX Division – BAKS | INOX Division | 1.80 | 10 | won | +8 | 2660 |
| 22.09.26 | Rune Eaters – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.65 | 10 | won | +6 | 2653 |
| 22.09.26 | MARKandLARRY – LFO 8 | LFO 8 | 1.88 | 40 | won | +35 | 2646 |
| 22.09.26 | INOX Division – Vexar | INOX Division | 1.67 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2611 |
| 22.09.26 | Saint Sinners – KUUSAMO | Saint Sinners | 1.66 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2631 |
| 21.09.26 | WW – Phantom Academy | WW | 1.70 | 10 | won | +7 | 2641 |
| 21.09.26 | Lavked – NAVI Junior | NAVI Junior | 1.78 | 10 | won | +8 | 2634 |
| 21.09.26 | Misa – Honvéd | Misa | 1.62 | 10 | won | +6 | 2626 |
| 21.09.26 | Leo – UNiTY | UNiTY | 1.60 | 40 | won | +24 | 2620 |
| 21.09.26 | F5 – Omen | Omen | 1.63 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2596 |
| 20.09.26 | BRUTE – BET-M | BRUTE | 1.78 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2616 |
| 20.09.26 | Color – UPGRADE | Color | 1.55 | 10 | won | +6 | 2626 |
| 20.09.26 | Vexar – Entropy | Vexar | 1.64 | 10 | won | +6 | 2620 |
| 20.09.26 | WBT – SAW Youngsters | WBT | 1.59 | 20 | won | +12 | 2614 |
| 20.09.26 | Black Phoenix – benched gods | benched gods | 1.83 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2602 |
| 20.09.26 | Villainous – Overtake Sector | Overtake Sector | 1.63 | 10 | won | +6 | 2612 |
| 20.09.26 | Babag – Zomblers | Zomblers | 1.74 | 10 | won | +7 | 2606 |
| 20.09.26 | Olympus – DETONATE | Olympus | 1.57 | 40 | won | +23 | 2599 |
| 20.09.26 | BESTIA – ShindeN | ShindeN | 1.75 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2576 |
| 19.09.26 | Black Phoenix – BAKS | BAKS | 1.79 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2596 |
| 19.09.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – PCIFIC | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.43 | 20 | won | +9 | 2606 |
| 19.09.26 | Luminosity – BBL | BBL | 1.71 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2597 |
| 19.09.26 | Sementes do Mal – QUINTESSÊNCIA | QUINTESSÊNCIA | 1.67 | 20 | won | +13 | 2607 |
| 19.09.26 | Underworld – MEIA NOITE | Underworld | 1.79 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2594 |
| 18.09.26 | LP – BERG | LP | 1.49 | 20 | won | +10 | 2604 |
| 18.09.26 | NAVI Junior – Banger Gang | Banger Gang | 1.78 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2594 |
| 18.09.26 | Liquid – 3DMAX | Liquid | 1.61 | 160 | won | +98 | 2604 |
| 18.09.26 | NRG – Aurora | NRG | 1.83 | 80 | lost | -80 | 2506 |
| 18.09.26 | BET-M – Just Players | Just Players | 1.82 | 40 | lost | -40 | 2586 |
| 18.09.26 | BBL – 3DMAX | BBL | 1.69 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2626 |
| 18.09.26 | BBL – INFINITE | INFINITE | 1.74 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2646 |
| 18.09.26 | Iowa Stormboar – FarmVille | Iowa Stormboar | 1.71 | 10 | won | +7 | 2656 |
| 18.09.26 | Overtake Sector – F5 | Overtake Sector | 1.57 | 10 | won | +6 | 2649 |
| 18.09.26 | SportsBetExpert – LAG | SportsBetExpert | 1.53 | 10 | won | +5 | 2644 |
| 17.09.26 | BAKS – G2 Ares | BAKS | 1.63 | 10 | won | +6 | 2638 |
| 17.09.26 | BERG – OLDBOYS PL | OLDBOYS PL | 1.58 | 40 | won | +23 | 2632 |
| 17.09.26 | ENCE – KAMUI | ENCE | 1.82 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2609 |
| 17.09.26 | MAYBE – RBLS | MAYBE | 1.87 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2629 |
| 17.09.26 | Eternal Fire – WIMOK | Eternal Fire | 1.55 | 80 | won | +44 | 2639 |
| 17.09.26 | Fluxo – ShindeN | Fluxo | 1.83 | 40 | lost | -40 | 2595 |
| 17.09.26 | GamerLegion – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1.73 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2635 |
| 17.09.26 | M80 – Metizport | Metizport | 1.87 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2655 |
| 17.09.26 | Natus Vincere – Aurora | Aurora | 1.75 | 40 | won | +30 | 2665 |
| 17.09.26 | Black Phoenix – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.55 | 20 | lost | -20 | 2635 |
| 17.09.26 | PCIFIC – Phantom Academy | PCIFIC | 1.76 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2655 |
| 17.09.26 | Luminosity – B8 | B8 | 1.33 | 10 | won | +3 | 2665 |
| 17.09.26 | ShindeN – EHISTO BASE | ShindeN | 1.55 | 10 | won | +5 | 2662 |
| 17.09.26 | WBT – NT | WBT | 1.79 | 20 | won | +16 | 2656 |
| 17.09.26 | Azuolas – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.56 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2640 |
| 17.09.26 | Yawara – Bounty Hunters | Bounty Hunters | 1.69 | 10 | won | +7 | 2650 |
| 17.09.26 | Imperial – Bounty Hunters | Imperial | 1.44 | 10 | won | +4 | 2644 |
| 17.09.26 | Overtake Sector – NuTorious | Overtake Sector | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 2639 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.