Model favorite (Elo)
Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.
profit
-1368u
ROI
-9.2%
win rate
53%
bets
475
drawdown
133.9%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Model favorite (Elo)
payments
Stake size
Martingale
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+0u
period 6profit withdrawn+0u
period 5profit withdrawn+0u
period 4profit withdrawn+0u
period 3profit withdrawn+0u
period 2top-up-1000u
period 1top-up-368u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 475 | 53% | -1368 | -9.2% | 133.9% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 5548 | 57% | -1846 | -3.9% | 189.4% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 5548 | 57% | -2103 | -3.8% | 219.6% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 5548 | 57% | -3245 | -3.9% | 328.6% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 5548 | 57% | -5590 | -4% | 566.6% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 5548 | 57% | -6713 | -3.9% | 352.5% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 475, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09.05.26 | LP – Galorys | Galorys | 1.83 | 81 | lost | -81 | -368 |
| 09.05.26 | Omega – HAVU | Omega | 1.76 | 80 | lost | -80 | -287 |
| 09.05.26 | Nemiga – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.56 | 40 | lost | -40 | -207 |
| 09.05.26 | AM – CYBERSHOKE | AM | 1.81 | 20 | lost | -20 | -167 |
| 09.05.26 | Tricked – Walczaki | Walczaki | 1.33 | 10 | lost | -10 | -147 |
| 09.05.26 | Atreides – NEW VISION | Atreides | 1.83 | 80 | won | +66 | -137 |
| 09.05.26 | Bounty Hunters – Turma do Pagode | Bounty Hunters | 1.79 | 40 | lost | -40 | -203 |
| 09.05.26 | FURIA – Monte | Monte | 1.71 | 20 | lost | -20 | -163 |
| 09.05.26 | PARIVISION – 9z | PARIVISION | 1.88 | 10 | lost | -10 | -143 |
| 09.05.26 | Alliance – Nuclear TigeRES | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.77 | 40 | won | +31 | -133 |
| 09.05.26 | GenOne – Ursa | Ursa | 1.77 | 20 | lost | -20 | -164 |
| 09.05.26 | Eternal Fire – Johnny Speeds | Johnny Speeds | 1.82 | 10 | lost | -10 | -144 |
| 09.05.26 | BET-M – Walczaki | Walczaki | 1.44 | 10 | won | +4 | -134 |
| 09.05.26 | INOX Division – BRUTE | INOX Division | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | -138 |
| 09.05.26 | Falcons – K27 | Falcons | 1.89 | 119 | won | +106 | -143 |
| 09.05.26 | Spirit – The Huns | The Huns | 1.83 | 640 | lost | -640 | -249 |
| 09.05.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Oxuji | Oxuji | 1.72 | 320 | lost | -320 | 391 |
| 09.05.26 | MOUZ – Gentle Mates | Gentle Mates | 1.87 | 160 | lost | -160 | 711 |
| 09.05.26 | The MongolZ – magic | magic | 1.71 | 80 | lost | -80 | 871 |
| 09.05.26 | Aurora – HEROIC | Aurora | 1.89 | 40 | lost | -40 | 951 |
| 09.05.26 | G2 – Fisher College | Fisher College | 1.82 | 20 | lost | -20 | 991 |
| 09.05.26 | Galorys – paiN Academy | paiN Academy | 1.82 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1011 |
| 09.05.26 | LP – Turma do Pagode | Turma do Pagode | 1.83 | 10 | won | +8 | 1021 |
| 08.05.26 | MIBR fe – Isurus | Isurus | 1.78 | 10 | won | +8 | 1013 |
| 08.05.26 | Yawara – Fake do Biru | Yawara | 1.82 | 80 | won | +66 | 1005 |
| 08.05.26 | FAVBET – TNC | FAVBET | 1.84 | 40 | lost | -40 | 939 |
| 08.05.26 | Sashi – Lavked | Lavked | 1.60 | 20 | lost | -20 | 979 |
| 08.05.26 | LP – UNO MILLE | UNO MILLE | 1.67 | 10 | lost | -10 | 999 |
| 08.05.26 | Walczaki – ex-RUBY | Walczaki | 1.58 | 20 | won | +12 | 1009 |
| 08.05.26 | Alliance – Lavked | Lavked | 1.51 | 10 | lost | -10 | 997 |
| 08.05.26 | BET-M – SPARTA | BET-M | 1.84 | 40 | won | +34 | 1007 |
| 08.05.26 | TDK – TNC | TNC | 1.80 | 20 | lost | -20 | 974 |
| 08.05.26 | benched gods – NEW VISION | benched gods | 1.76 | 10 | lost | -10 | 994 |
| 08.05.26 | Bounty Hunters – Keyd Stars | Bounty Hunters | 1.78 | 20 | won | +16 | 1004 |
| 08.05.26 | Nemesis – CYBERSHOKE | Nemesis | 1.68 | 10 | lost | -10 | 988 |
| 08.05.26 | Omega – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.51 | 40 | won | +21 | 998 |
| 08.05.26 | AM – MOUZ NXT | AM | 1.60 | 20 | lost | -20 | 977 |
| 08.05.26 | Atreides – The Last Resort | The Last Resort | 1.88 | 10 | lost | -10 | 997 |
| 08.05.26 | ALGO – BIG Academy | BIG Academy | 1.57 | 10 | won | +6 | 1007 |
| 08.05.26 | 9INE – Walczaki | Walczaki | 1.45 | 10 | won | +5 | 1002 |
| 08.05.26 | SPARTA – ex-RUBY | ex-RUBY | 1.72 | 10 | won | +7 | 997 |
| 08.05.26 | TDK – GenOne | TDK | 1.87 | 10 | won | +9 | 990 |
| 08.05.26 | Imperial – ALZON | Imperial | 1.70 | 20 | won | +14 | 981 |
| 07.05.26 | Fake do Biru – Vasco | Vasco | 1.82 | 10 | lost | -10 | 967 |
| 07.05.26 | Betclic – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.54 | 10 | won | +5 | 977 |
| 07.05.26 | Oxuji – Ursa | Oxuji | 1.81 | 20 | won | +16 | 972 |
| 07.05.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.77 | 10 | lost | -10 | 956 |
| 07.05.26 | Turma do Pagode – BESTIA Academy | Turma do Pagode | 1.82 | 10 | won | +8 | 966 |
| 07.05.26 | MOUZ NXT – Lavked | Lavked | 1.55 | 10 | won | +5 | 957 |
| 07.05.26 | Nemiga – AaB | Nemiga | 1.79 | 20 | won | +16 | 952 |
| 07.05.26 | BRUTE – NEW VISION | NEW VISION | 1.78 | 10 | lost | -10 | 936 |
| 07.05.26 | The Last Resort – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.66 | 10 | won | +7 | 946 |
| 07.05.26 | Procyon – Yawara | Yawara | 1.70 | 10 | won | +7 | 939 |
| 07.05.26 | Tricked – AM | AM | 1.62 | 10 | won | +6 | 932 |
| 07.05.26 | benched gods – M1X KS | benched gods | 1.88 | 20 | won | +18 | 926 |
| 07.05.26 | HAVU – Famalicão | Famalicão | 1.62 | 10 | lost | -10 | 909 |
| 07.05.26 | EC BANGA – Atreides | Atreides | 1.78 | 10 | won | +8 | 919 |
| 07.05.26 | Fire Flux – BIG Academy | BIG Academy | 1.77 | 40 | won | +31 | 911 |
| 07.05.26 | UNiTY – Bebop | Bebop | 1.87 | 20 | lost | -20 | 880 |
| 07.05.26 | BESTIA Academy – DAMAJUANA | DAMAJUANA | 1.83 | 10 | lost | -10 | 900 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.