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Model favorite (Elo)

CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

profit
-1329u
ROI
-5.5%
win rate
56%
bets
1373
drawdown
129.3%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Model favorite (Elo)

payments
Stake size

2% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-127u
period 6top-up-420u
period 5top-up-459u
period 4top-up-46u
period 3top-up-111u
period 2top-up-233u
period 1profit withdrawn+68u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale137356%+1180+3.5%37.5%Select
1% of bankroll137356%-697-5.4%74.1%Select
Flat (10 units)137356%-731-5.3%77.2%Select
2% of bankroll137356%-1329-5.5%129.3%Selected
5% of bankroll137356%-2862-5.6%226.6%Select
10% of bankroll137356%-4519-5.6%291.7%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1373, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4917won+8-329
14.10.26Astralis – SashiAstralis1.5517won+9-338
14.10.26GenOne – 6666GenOne1.5517lost-17-347
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7817won+13-329
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6018lost-18-343
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7117won+12-325
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7618lost-18-338
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.8017won+14-320
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5317won+9-334
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8217won+14-343
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.8217lost-17-357
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4817won+8-340
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3517lost-17-348
11.10.26antidaun – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8117won+14-330
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5317lost-17-344
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8117won+14-327
11.10.26benched gods – Illyriansbenched gods1.8618lost-18-341
11.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – YawaraYawara1.8218lost-18-323
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USWithout a Roof1.3118won+6-305
10.10.26NRG – Unreal NightmareNRG1.5218won+9-311
10.10.26Bebop – 666666661.7217won+13-320
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakAbyssal1.5117won+9-332
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersWBT Academy1.7218lost-18-341
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsFlyQuest1.4517won+8-323
10.10.26FarmVille – Wanted GoonsFarmVille1.4718lost-18-331
10.10.26Club 333 – DETONATEClub 3331.7818lost-18-314
10.10.26ALKA – MEIA NOITEALKA1.6218lost-18-295
10.10.26Isurus – ProcyonProcyon1.7318won+13-277
09.10.26Falcons – SpiritSpirit1.6018won+11-290
09.10.26Iberian Soul – Noir VerseIberian Soul1.8418won+15-301
09.10.26FURIA – MOUZMOUZ1.5818won+10-316
09.10.26Misa – 6666Misa1.7318lost-18-326
09.10.26The Huns – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.7718won+14-308
09.10.26GamerLegion – SINNERSSINNERS1.6318lost-18-322
09.10.26HOTU – AcendHOTU1.4518won+8-304
09.10.26mellren – Bebopmellren1.3618lost-18-312
09.10.26Black Phoenix – LeoBlack Phoenix1.7518won+13-294
09.10.26Villainous – Reign AboveReign Above1.6518lost-18-307
09.10.26LP – Turma do PagodeTurma do Pagode1.6019lost-19-289
09.10.26Bounty Hunters – ALKABounty Hunters1.8218won+15-270
08.10.26INFINITE – G2 AresINFINITE1.7919lost-19-285
08.10.26Saint Sinners – mellrenmellren1.5019lost-19-266
08.10.26FaZe – SangalSangal1.4919lost-19-247
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEBetclic1.7320lost-20-228
08.10.26Azuolas – MisaMisa1.5420won+11-208
08.10.26EAC – PUREPURE1.7019won+14-219
08.10.26Lynn Vision – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.8620lost-20-232
08.10.26bLight blue – BORING PLAYERSBORING PLAYERS1.8419won+16-213
08.10.26THE UNIT – The KnockoutXThe KnockoutX1.8219won+16-229
08.10.26ENCE – LFO 10ENCE1.6619won+12-245
08.10.26Azuolas – Noir VerseNoir Verse1.5019won+9-257
08.10.26OG – SangalSangal1.6318won+12-266
08.10.26Lavked – FortressLavked1.5118won+9-278
08.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ColorColor1.7719lost-19-287
08.10.26Villainous – FarmVilleFarmVille1.7418won+14-269
08.10.26BESTIA Academy – ALKABESTIA Academy1.8719lost-19-282
08.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – ex-Keyd StarsQUINTESSÊNCIA1.7519lost-19-264
08.10.26Isurus – MEIA NOITEIsurus1.7319won+14-244
07.10.26Sangal – NAVI JuniorSangal1.4219lost-19-258
07.10.26Lazer Cats – NAVI JuniorLazer Cats1.7320lost-20-239
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Model favorite (Elo)" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.