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Model favorite (Elo)

CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

profit
-911u
ROI
-6.6%
win rate
55%
bets
1380
drawdown
94.5%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Model favorite (Elo)

payments
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-71u
period 6top-up-277u
period 5top-up-219u
period 4top-up-116u
period 3top-up-51u
period 2top-up-121u
period 1top-up-57u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale80654%-290-1.3%60.1%Select
1% of bankroll138055%-877-6.9%90.8%Select
Flat (10 units)138055%-911-6.6%94.5%Select
2% of bankroll138055%-1682-7.1%171.2%Select
5% of bankroll138055%-3632-7.8%353.4%Select
10% of bankroll138055%-5555-8.7%507.1%Selected
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1380, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26FURIA – BETBOOMFURIA1.7510won+889
14.10.26Butterfly – Nuclear TigeRESNuclear TigeRES1.6110won+681
14.10.26Just Players – FOKUSJust Players1.7310lost-1075
14.10.26G2 Ares – The Last ResortG2 Ares1.7710won+885
14.10.26PCIFIC – RyvexRyvex1.8610lost-1078
14.10.26fnatic – Sashifnatic1.3810won+488
14.10.26HOTU – AstralisHOTU1.5810lost-1084
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4910won+594
14.10.26HOTU – fnaticHOTU1.8410won+889
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyEnjoy1.8710won+980
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7810won+872
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6010lost-1064
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7110won+774
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7610lost-1067
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.7010won+777
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5310won+570
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8210won+864
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.8210lost-1056
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters1.7210won+766
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3510lost-1059
11.10.26BET-M – PRIVATEBET-M1.8710lost-1069
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5310lost-1079
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8110won+889
11.10.26Just Players – MisaJust Players1.5010won+581
11.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – YawaraYawara1.8210lost-1076
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USWithout a Roof1.3110won+386
10.10.26NRG – Unreal NightmareNRG1.5210won+583
10.10.26Bebop – 666666661.7210won+778
10.10.26Lavked – FortressLavked1.5310won+571
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakAbyssal1.5110won+565
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsFlyQuest1.4510won+560
10.10.26Desi Boyz – EMPIREDesi Boyz1.8310lost-1056
10.10.26Club 333 – DETONATEClub 3331.7810lost-1066
10.10.26ALKA – MEIA NOITEALKA1.6210lost-1076
10.10.26Grêmio – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS1.8010won+886
09.10.26Falcons – SpiritSpirit1.6010won+678
09.10.26MOUZ NXT – LeoLeo1.4810lost-1072
09.10.26FURIA – MOUZMOUZ1.5810won+682
09.10.26Misa – 6666Misa1.7310lost-1076
09.10.26BORING PLAYERS – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.6910won+786
09.10.26GamerLegion – SINNERSSINNERS1.6310lost-1079
09.10.26HOTU – AcendHOTU1.4510won+589
09.10.26Black Phoenix – LeoBlack Phoenix1.7510won+784
09.10.26Azuolas – EnjoyEnjoy1.4010lost-1077
09.10.26New Legends – Wanted GoonsNew Legends1.5810lost-1087
09.10.26Grêmio – YawaraYawara1.7510won+897
09.10.26Isurus – ex-Keyd StarsIsurus1.8510lost-1089
08.10.26INFINITE – G2 AresINFINITE1.7910lost-1099
08.10.26Leo – PrivateerLeo1.2610won+3109
08.10.26Saint Sinners – mellrenmellren1.5010lost-10107
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEBetclic1.7310lost-10117
08.10.26megoshort – Fire FluxFire Flux1.4910won+5127
08.10.26CYBERSHOKE – NexusCYBERSHOKE1.8210lost-10122
08.10.26THE UNIT – The KnockoutXThe KnockoutX1.8210won+8132
08.10.26Lynn Vision – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.8610lost-10124
08.10.26ENCE – LFO 10ENCE1.6610won+7134
08.10.26HYPERSPIRIT – Banda ChuyaHYPERSPIRIT1.8110won+8127
08.10.26Azuolas – Noir VerseNoir Verse1.5010won+5119
08.10.26OG – SangalSangal1.6310won+6114
08.10.26Banda Chuya – IllyriansIllyrians1.6610won+7108
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Model favorite (Elo)" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.